Oxford UnitedBrighton

Oxford United v Brighton result

Full-time · Oxford United 0–6 Brighton

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Oxford United 0–6 Brighton — Brighton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Brighton won 6–0 at Oxford United in the League Cup on Wednesday 27 August.

The goals

Brighton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Olivier Boscagli (13’, assisted by Brajan Gruda), Brajan Gruda (20’, assisted by Joël Veltman), D. Gómez (60’, assisted by Diego Coppola), S. Tzimas (71’, assisted by Harry Howell; 77’, assisted by Harry Howell) and Thomas Watson (86’, assisted by S. Tzimas).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Olivier Boscagli’s goal on 13 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Oxford United 0.00, Brighton 0.00, from 19 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Oliver Langford, England showed one yellow card — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Oxford United: Stanley Mills (40’).

What it changes

Oxford United sit 33rd on three points from two games with a goal difference of -5 (2025/26 so far).

Brighton sit 18th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +6 (2025/26 so far).

Oxford United have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Brajan Gruda (Brighton) 15.9, S. Tzimas (Brighton) 10.7 and Olivier Boscagli (Brighton) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Brighton to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Oxford United next travel to Peterborough on 14 November 2026.

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oxford United: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Oxford United 0–6 Brighton · League Cup
  • Referee: Oliver Langford, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Oxford United 1W 1D 3L · Brighton 3W 1D 1L

Oxford United 0–6 Brighton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.86 / 5
Corners
against 5.29 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.29 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameOxford United for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
9.86 for · 13.29 against n 7
19.5standard
13.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.86 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.43 for · 9.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Oxford United

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brannagan n 890
0.95/2
1.14/2
—
M. Helik n 890
0.84/2
0.53/1
—
J. Cumming n 890
00/0
00/0
—
T. Goodrham n 882.6
1.67/3
1.26/2
—
W. Lankshear n 471.8
2.24/3
2.54/2
—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brannagan n 890
2.48/5
M. Helik n 890
1.98/4
J. Cumming n 890
00/0
T. Goodrham n 882.6
2.58/5
B. Spencer n 471.8
4.14/4
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brannagan n 890
1.37/1
17/1
M. Helik n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
J. Cumming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Goodrham n 882.6
14/3
0.42/1
W. Lankshear n 471.8
0.61/1
0.31/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brannagan n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Helik n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Cumming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Goodrham n 882.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
W. Lankshear n 471.8
0.31/0
00/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.55/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. van Hecke290180 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Dunk290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90136.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Wieffer288175 min126.2 /9021 /9000 /90199.8 /9021 /9010.5 /90
M. De Cuyper279157 min31.7 /9010.6 /9000 /9063.4 /9063.4 /9010.6 /90
F. Kadıoğlu22345 min00 /9000 /9000 /9024 /9036 /9024 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. van Hecke n 889.9
0.63/2
15/2
—
L. Dunk n 887.8
0.43/0
0.84/2
—
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. O'Riley n 870
1.15/2
0.85/0
—
M. Wieffer n 884.8
1.26/2
0.73/2
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. van Hecke n 889.9
16/1
L. Dunk n 887.8
0.64/1
M. O'Riley n 870
0.83/1
M. Wieffer n 884.8
6.18/8
K. Mitoma n 856.1
1.85/3
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck256111 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Rutter16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
M. O'Riley289178 min10.5 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9042 /9000 /90
K. Mitoma287173 min00 /9000 /9021 /9000 /9031.6 /9021 /90
Y. Minteh280159 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9074 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Dunk n 887.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. van Hecke n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
M. O'Riley n 870
1.66/2
0.64/0
M. Wieffer n 884.8
0.53/1
0.42/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 889.9
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 887.8
00/0
00/0
M. O'Riley n 870
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Wieffer n 884.8
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Oxford UnitedBrighton
38%Possession62%
19Shots19
11Shots on target9
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots8
11Shots inside the box11
7Corners5
2Offsides2
7Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves10
291Passes505
83%Pass accuracy91%

Oxford United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Ingram9000000005.3
E. Moore9000000004.9
S. Long9000001305.9
J. Currie9000000405.9
S. Mills90003203Y6.5
W. Vaulks9000001206.6
M. Harris8300211006.2
C. Brannagan6700111106.3
P. Płacheta6700211006.2
M. Phillips6600001106.7
B. Spencer5400000106.2
L. Sibley sub3600220006.2
L. Harris sub2400110006.2
B. De Keersmaecker sub2300210005.6
Nik Prelec sub2300221007
T. Bradshaw sub1200000006.3

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jason Steele90000000010
Diego Coppola9001002107.3
O. Boscagli9010110408.9
Igor9000000407.6
B. Gruda9011327209.2
H. Howell9002212007.5
J. Veltman7801001007
J. Milner7800001107.3
J. Hinshelwood6600000106.3
D. Gómez6610222107.5
F. Kadıoğlu6600000106.7
C. Baleba sub2400001007.3
T. Watson sub2410110007.7
S. Tzimas sub24212210010
C. Tasker sub1200000006.6
C. Kostoulas sub1200000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oxford United v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Oxford UnitedDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BrightonWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Oxford United scored1.2
Brighton scored2
Oxford United conceded1.6
Brighton conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Oxford United v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oxford United v Brighton was Away win.
What is the recent form of Oxford United and Brighton?
Recent form — Oxford United 1W 1D 3L; Brighton 3W 1D 1L.

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