QPRMillwall

QPR v Millwall result

Full-time · QPR 1–1 Millwall

League Cup · · Loftus Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Millwall · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 1–1 Millwall — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR and Millwall drew 1–1 at Loftus Road in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. QPR are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Millwall are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Millwall: Luke Cundle (54’) and an own goal by Mark Sykes (86’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: QPR 0.00, Millwall 0.00, from 11 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Donohue showed no yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jenson Metcalfe (Millwall) 5.9, Caleb Taylor (Millwall) 4.8 and Oluwafemi Azeez (Millwall) 4.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Millwall are unbeaten in the last four meetings with QPR.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Millwall, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

QPR next host Lincoln on 7 November 2026.

Millwall next travel to West Brom on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Millwall: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 1–1 Millwall · League Cup
  • Venue: Loftus Road · London
  • Referee: M. Donohue
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 1 · draws 1 · Millwall 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 0W 1D 4L · Millwall 2W 2D 1L

QPR 1–1 Millwall (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRMillwall
56%Possession44%
11Shots5
3Shots on target2
3Shots off target3
5Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box3
6Corners1
4Offsides5
6Fouls11
1Saves3
466Passes362
81%Pass accuracy77%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Charles9500000006.3
J. Dunne9500100106.9
R. Edwards9500000107
B. Kemper9500110306.9
H. Vale9500100307.5
I. Chair9500113206.9
P. Smyth8000001106.2
A. Mbengue7900101307
R. Kone7000001106.2
N. Madsen6200000207.2
R. Burrell6200000106.2
K. Poku sub3300110006.6
J. Varane sub3300000106.6
A. Lloyd sub2500000006.3
K. Adamson sub1600000006.6
K. Saito sub1500000006.5

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Jensen9500000007.5
J. Cooper9500100207.2
C. Taylor9500000407.5
Zak Norton Sturge9500001106.2
C. De Norre9500001007.2
C. Neghli9500000106.3
Jenson Metcalfe8400000507.2
O. Azeez8400211406.6
R. Leonard7700000106.5
L. Cundle7610111007.5
J. Coburn7600000006.2
K. Lisbie sub1900000206.7
T. Arconte sub1900000006.9
M. Sykes sub1800000206.7
Raees Bangura-Williams sub1100100106.2
D. Kelly sub1100000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
MillwallWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 1 · 1 draw · Millwall 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Millwall 2–0 QPR
  • 2025-10-18 QPR 1–2 Millwall
  • 2025-02-01 Millwall 2–1 QPR
  • 2024-09-21 QPR 1–1 Millwall
  • 2024-01-20 QPR 2–0 Millwall
  • 2023-12-26 Millwall 2–0 QPR
Goals per game
QPR scored0.6
Millwall scored1.2
QPR conceded2
Millwall conceded0.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Millwall was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Millwall?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 1, Millwall won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Millwall?
Recent form — QPR 0W 1D 4L; Millwall 2W 2D 1L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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