RotherhamWest Brom

Rotherham v West Brom result

Full-time · Rotherham 1–4 West Brom

League Cup · · Aesseal New York Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rotherham 1–4 West Brom — West Brom won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

West Brom won 4–1 at Aesseal New York Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Rotherham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

West Brom led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — West Brom: J. Morgan (8’, assisted by Harry Whitwell; 61’, assisted by Callum Styles), Harry Whitwell (24’) and Felix Horn Myhre (55’); Rotherham: Fábio Tavares (87’, assisted by Ar'jany Martha).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Morgan’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rotherham 0.00, West Brom 0.00, from 8 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Rotherham: Brandon Ashley Cover (78’) and Fábio Tavares (90+2’).

What it changes

Rotherham sit 61st on no points from one game with a goal difference of -3 (2026/27 so far).

West Brom sit first on three points from one game with a goal difference of +3 (2026/27 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Whitwell (West Brom) 10.4, Jimmy Morgan (West Brom) 9.5 and Felix Horn Myhre (West Brom) 8.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or West Brom, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

West Brom next travel to Swansea on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for West Brom: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rotherham 1–4 West Brom · League Cup
  • Venue: Aesseal New York Stadium · Rotherham
  • Referee: T. Reeves
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rotherham 1 · draws 0 · West Brom 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rotherham 1W 1D 3L · West Brom 2W 2D 1L

Rotherham 1–4 West Brom (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineWest Brom for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: T. Reeves.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RotherhamWest Brom
29%Possession71%
8Shots18
2Shots on target10
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box13
1Corners2
5Offsides4
9Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
6Saves1
291Passes749
71%Pass accuracy90%

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9400000006.9
Sonny Aljofree9400000105.9
E. Adegboyega9400100205.7
E. Otoo9400000105.9
K. Spence9400102206.2
Jamie Jellis9400000506.7
Fábio Tavares94101122Y7.6
J. Buyabu7700101205.9
D. Hall7600001206
P. Mullin6200210006.3
O. Ashley5600000106.5
Brandon Ashley Cover sub38000001Y6.3
A. Martha sub3201001207.3
J. Rafferty sub1800000106.9
A. Nemane sub1700000106.7

West Brom Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. O’Leary9400000007.2
N. Galves9400112106.7
N. Phillips9400000108.3
G. Campbell9400001207.9
I. Price9400320206.7
O. Diakité9400000306.9
C. Styles7301001207.2
A. Mowatt7300002207.3
A. Heggebø7300200105.9
Jimmy Morgan6520431008
Harry Whitwell4511223007.9
Felix Horn Myhre sub4910221507.2
M. Johnston sub2900000006.7
C. Townsend sub2100000006.2
J. Molumby sub2100000006.3
B. Stewart sub2100001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v West Brom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
West BromDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rotherham 1 · 0 draws · West Brom 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-04-10 West Brom 2–0 Rotherham
  • 2023-12-12 Rotherham 0–2 West Brom
  • 2023-04-07 Rotherham 3–1 West Brom
  • 2022-12-17 West Brom 3–0 Rotherham
  • 2019-04-27 West Brom 2–1 Rotherham
  • 2018-12-22 Rotherham 0–4 West Brom
Goals per game
Rotherham scored1
West Brom scored1.2
Rotherham conceded1.8
West Brom conceded0.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v West Brom?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v West Brom was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rotherham and West Brom?
In their last 6 meetings, Rotherham won 1, West Brom won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and West Brom?
Recent form — Rotherham 1W 1D 3L; West Brom 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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