Tranmere v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Tranmere 1–1 Burton Albion

League Cup · Tue, 19 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tranmere · Burton Albion

The model’s pre-match pick

Tranmere 1–1 Burton Albion — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Tranmere and Burton Albion drew 1–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 19 August. Tranmere are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Burton Albion are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Burton Albion: B. Whitfield (10’); Tranmere: Charlie Jay Whitaker (37’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Charlie Jay Whitaker’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tranmere 0.00, Burton Albion 0.00, from 13 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Simon Mather, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Tranmere: C. Jennings (41’); Burton Albion: J. Newall (72’) and Toby Sibbick (90+7’).

What it changes

Tranmere sit 42nd on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

Burton Albion sit 52nd on one point from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Tranmere have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie Jay Whitaker (Tranmere) 6.8, B. Whitfield (Burton Albion) 5.7 and Jordan Turnbull (Tranmere) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Tranmere next travel to Fleetwood Town on 14 November 2026.

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Tranmere 1–1 Burton Albion · League Cup
Referee: Simon Mather, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Tranmere 1 · draws 0 · Burton Albion 1 · 4.5 goals/game
Recent form: Tranmere 3W 2D 0L · Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L

Tranmere 1–1 Burton Albion (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.25

Corners

against 3.13 / 3.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 2.38 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 3 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tranmere for / against	Line	Burton Albion for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Smith n 3	90	1 3/0	2.3 3/3	—
C. Norman n 8	78.5	0.7 3/2	2 6/5	—
L. O'Connor n 8	88.5	0.4 3/0	0.9 5/1	—
P. Brough n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0.7 2/0	—
L. McGee n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1	—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Brough n 3	90	2.7 3/3
L. O'Connor n 8	88.5	2 7/4
C. Norman n 8	78.5	1.3 5/3
N. Smith n 3	90	0.3 1/0
L. McGee n 8	90	0 0/0
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0 0/0
C. Norman n 8	78.5	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
L. O'Connor n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. McGee n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Brough n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Norman n 8	78.5	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
N. Smith n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. McGee n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Brough n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. O'Connor n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Beesley n 3	90	2.3 3/3	2 2/2	—
T. Sibbick n 3	90	1.3 2/2	0.7 1/1	—
J. Moon n 8	89.6	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Amissah n 5	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0	—
C. Webster n 8	88.8	0.5 3/1	0.8 4/1	—
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Moon n 8	89.6	1.9 6/4
T. Sibbick n 3	90	1.7 2/1
J. Beesley n 3	90	1.3 1/1
J. Amissah n 5	90	0.2 1/0
C. Webster n 8	88.8	1.3 6/2
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Beesley n 3	90	3 3/3	0.7 2/0
T. Sibbick n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Amissah n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Moon n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Webster n 8	88.8	1.9 6/5	0.9 5/1
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Beesley n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
T. Sibbick n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Amissah n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Moon n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Webster n 8	88.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tranmere		Burton Albion
63%	Possession	37%
13	Shots	6
5	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	0
2	Blocked shots	4
7	Shots inside the box	3
1	Corners	6
6	Offsides	4
9	Fouls	11
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
575	Passes	322
83%	Pass accuracy	67%

Tranmere Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. McGee	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
J. Lowe	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
N. Smith	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Turnbull	90	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.7
C. Norman	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.6
Billy Blacker	90	0	2	0	0	2	0	6.2
E. Bristow	79	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Charlie Jay Whitaker	67	1	2	2	0	2	0	7.3
S. Solomon	67	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
C. Jennings	67	0	1	0	2	0	Y	6.3
R. Smallwood	60	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
L. O'Connor sub	31	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
O. Patrick sub	24	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.3
Taylan Harris sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
H. Saunders sub	24	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
J. Davison sub	12	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.7

Burton Albion Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Dudek	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
N. Akoto	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
F. Delap	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
J. Taroni	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
B. Whitfield	90	1	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
Dylan Williams	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Julian Larsson	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
C. Gilligan	79	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
J. Newall	79	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6
T. Shade	64	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
G. Bajrami	45	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
S. Revan sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Fábio Tavares sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
T. Sibbick sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
B. Krubally sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tranmere v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TranmereWWDWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Burton AlbionDLWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Tranmere 1 · 0 draws · Burton Albion 1 · 4.5 goals/game

2019-12-26 Burton Albion 4–2 Tranmere
2019-09-21 Tranmere 2–1 Burton Albion

Goals per game

Tranmere scored2.4

Burton Albion scored1.2

Tranmere conceded0.6

Burton Albion conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tranmere v Burton Albion?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tranmere v Burton Albion was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tranmere and Burton Albion?: In their last 2 meetings, Tranmere won 1, Burton Albion won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tranmere and Burton Albion?: Recent form — Tranmere 3W 2D 0L; Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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