BarnsleyBurton Albion

Barnsley v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Barnsley 3–2 Burton Albion

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barnsley · Burton Albion · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnsley 3–2 Burton Albion — Barnsley won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley beat Burton Albion 3–2 in League One on Saturday 9 August. Barnsley have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Burton Albion have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barnsley came from behind: Burton Albion led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Burton Albion: Jake Beesley (4’ pen) and Fábio Tavares (35’, assisted by John McKiernan); Barnsley: Caylan Vickers (55’, assisted by Adam Phillips), Davis Keillor-Dunn (63’) and David McGoldrick (90’, assisted by Adam Phillips).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with David McGoldrick’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Barnsley 1.57, Burton Albion 1.64, from 13 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rock showed four yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barnsley: Josh Earl (45+3’), David McGoldrick (63’) and Patrick Kelly (86’); Burton Albion: John McKiernan (82’).

What it changes

Barnsley stay second after this result (two league matches played). Barnsley have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Barnsley have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion move down from second to 12th (two league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Burton Albion have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Barnsley have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jake Beesley (Burton Albion) 7.8, Adam Phillips (Barnsley) 7.5 and Caylan Vickers (Barnsley) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Barnsley are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Burton Albion.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barnsley or Burton Albion (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Barnsley next travel to Wigan on 14 November 2026.

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnsley: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barnsley 3–2 Burton Albion · League One
  • Referee: D. Rock
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barnsley 4 · draws 1 · Burton Albion 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barnsley 2W 1D 2L · Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L

Barnsley 3–2 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.86 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 2
Cards
against 1.29 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · D. Rock
20.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBarnsley for / againstLineBurton Albion for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 5.86 against n 7
9.5standard
3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.43 for · 12.71 against n 7
19.5standard
8.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
7 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 8.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.57 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: D. Rock — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Barnsley

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Phillips n 885.1
1.58/3
0.42/1
J. McKiernan
L. Connell n 879.8
1.45/3
0.74/1
K. Chauke
M. de Gevigney n 889.9
1.37/3
1.86/4
J. Moon
J. Earl n 882.3
1.25/3
1.46/3
J. Moon
D. Keillor-Dunn n 889.9
0.43/0
0.53/1
J. McKiernan
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Earl n 882.3
2.15/4
L. Connell n 879.8
27/5
A. Phillips n 885.1
1.57/2
M. de Gevigney n 889.9
1.45/3
D. Keillor-Dunn n 889.9
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Keillor-Dunn n 889.9
2.18/5
1.36/3
A. Phillips n 885.1
1.26/3
0.95/2
L. Connell n 879.8
0.63/1
00/0
M. de Gevigney n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Earl n 882.3
0.43/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Keillor-Dunn n 889.9
0.64/1
0.43/0
A. Phillips n 885.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Earl n 882.3
00/0
0.42/1
M. de Gevigney n 889.9
00/0
00/0
L. Connell n 879.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Burton Albion

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. McKiernan n 876.5
1.87/4
2.67/6
D. Keillor-Dunn
J. Armer n 878.1
1.37/2
1.25/2
—
U. Godwin-Malife n 887.6
0.85/1
1.97/6
—
J. Moon n 885.6
0.75/0
0.43/0
J. Earl
K. Chauke n 887.9
0.42/1
1.85/5
L. Connell
See more players · Pro
Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Moon n 885.6
2.26/5
K. Chauke n 887.9
1.96/5
J. Armer n 878.1
1.35/3
J. McKiernan n 876.5
1.36/3
U. Godwin-Malife n 887.6
1.22/2
See more players · Pro

Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. McKiernan n 876.5
0.93/3
0.42/1
J. Amissah n 390
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 887.9
00/0
00/0
U. Godwin-Malife n 887.6
00/0
00/0
J. Moon n 885.6
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Godwin-Malife n 887.6
00/0
0.11/0
J. Amissah n 390
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 887.9
00/0
00/0
J. Moon n 885.6
00/0
00/0
J. Armer n 878.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnsleyBurton Albion
68%Possession32%
1.57Expected goals (xG)1.64
13Shots8
7Shots on target3
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box5
7Corners4
2Offsides2
16Fouls14
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
483Passes223
77%Pass accuracy51%

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Mahoney9000000006.3
Jonathan Bland9000000006.5
M. de Gevigney9000000005.7
J. Earl90000011Y5.9
N. Ogbeta9000100206.2
L. Connell9000112206.6
A. Phillips9002004007.5
D. Keillor-Dunn9010220006.6
D. McGoldrick89103120Y6.3
Vimal Yoganathan7200000106.5
Caylan Vickers7210111107.6
Patrick Kelly sub18000001Y6.6
R. Cleary sub1800220006.6
J. Russell sub10000000–

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Amissah9000000006.2
U. Godwin-Malife9000000206.5
J. Moon9000001206.2
T. Sibbick9000000006.3
K. Lofthouse9000001106.3
C. Webster9000210106.3
J. Beesley9010310007.3
Dylan Williams8700000306.5
J. McKiernan87011011Y6.9
Fábio Tavares7110110107.9
K. Chauke5800000006.5
C. Gilligan sub3200000206.3
T. Shade sub1900000006.5
N. Akoto sub1100000206.6
Julian Larsson sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnsley v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnsleyLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Burton AlbionLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barnsley 4 · 1 draw · Burton Albion 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-02-01 Barnsley 0–0 Burton Albion
  • 2024-09-21 Burton Albion 1–2 Barnsley
  • 2024-04-01 Burton Albion 1–3 Barnsley
  • 2023-09-16 Barnsley 2–0 Burton Albion
  • 2023-04-07 Burton Albion 2–1 Barnsley
  • 2022-12-17 Barnsley 2–0 Burton Albion
League standing · 2025/26
Barnsley#15 pos59 pts46 pl-5 GD
Burton Albion#17 pos54 pts46 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Barnsley scored1.48
Burton Albion scored1.09
Barnsley conceded1.59
Burton Albion conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnsley v Burton Albion?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnsley v Burton Albion was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Barnsley and Burton Albion?
In their last 6 meetings, Barnsley won 4, Burton Albion won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Burton Albion?
Recent form — Barnsley 2W 1D 2L; Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+