This Matchweek

BarnsleyLeicester

Barnsley v Leicester result

Full-time · Barnsley 1–1 Leicester

League One · · Oakwell

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnsley 1–1 Leicester — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley and Leicester drew 1–1 at Oakwell in League One on Saturday 19 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Leicester out-shot Barnsley 20 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.40 xG to 1.18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Leicester led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Leicester: Liam Cullen (7’, assisted by Luke Thomas); Barnsley: Reyes Cleary (61’, assisted by A. Kay). Luca Connell (26’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reyes Cleary’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

S. Stockbridge showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barnsley: Patrick Kelly (71’), A. Kay (89’), Jonathan Bland (90+1’) and Clayton Taylor (90+6’); Leicester: Olabade Aluko (11’), William Alves (46’), Samuel Braybrooke (56’) and Louis Page (63’).

What it changes

Barnsley move up from 17th to 14th (seven league matches played). Barnsley have scored seven goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Barnsley have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Leicester move up from 13th to 10th (seven league matches played). Leicester have scored nine goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Leicester have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.

Barnsley are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Kay (Barnsley) 7.5, Reyes Cleary (Barnsley) 6.8 and Luke Thomas (Leicester) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Barnsley next host Aldershot Town on 7 November 2026.

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnsley: Barnsley v Aldershot Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barnsley 1–1 Leicester · League One
  • Venue: Oakwell · Barnsley, South Yorkshire
  • Referee: S. Stockbridge
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Barnsley 2W 1D 2L · Leicester 2W 1D 2L

Barnsley 1–1 Leicester (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
10.43 / 5.63
Corners
against 4 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.77 yellows
Referee · S. Stockbridge
26.08 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarnsley for / againstLineLeicester for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
10.43 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
19.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: S. Stockbridge — 4.77 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 26.08 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rogan Ravenhill790630 min162.3 /9081.1 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rogan Ravenhill n 790
2.34/2

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Gale790630 min131.9 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90395.6 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
A. Kay790629 min243.4 /90192.7 /9010.1 /90557.9 /9091.3 /9010.1 /90
T. Noslin788616 min131.9 /9050.7 /9081.2 /90345 /90121.8 /9020.3 /90
C. O'Riordan490360 min41 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90225.5 /9041 /9000 /90
Noah Philip Town32060 min11.5 /9000 /9000 /9023 /9023 /9000 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Gale n 790
0.64/0
1.34/3
L. Thomas
Rogan Ravenhill n 790
00/0
0.43/0
—
A. Kay n 789.9
1.35/4
14/1
L. Thomas
Patrick Kelly n 889.9
1.16/2
0.85/1
—
T. Noslin n 788
1.86/2
1.34/3
—
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Gale n 790
1.97/3
A. Kay n 789.9
3.47/6
Patrick Kelly n 889.9
0.63/2
T. Noslin n 788
1.96/3
C. McGeehan n 878.3
1.46/2
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Kirk752361 min10.2 /9000 /90123 /9041 /9010.2 /9020.5 /90
Amani Richards646274 min10.3 /9000 /9031 /9020.7 /9031 /9072.3 /90
Clayton Taylor31957 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9023.2 /9000 /90
B. Touré14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024 /9012 /90
Patrick Kelly790629 min00 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90223.1 /9091.3 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Gale n 790
0.32/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 790
00/0
00/0
Patrick Kelly n 889.9
15/3
0.32/0
A. Kay n 789.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
T. Noslin n 788
2.86/6
0.64/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gale n 790
00/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 790
00/0
00/0
Patrick Kelly n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
A. Kay n 789.9
00/0
00/0
T. Noslin n 788
0.11/0
00/0
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Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. McCarthy589444 min132.6 /90102 /9000 /90
J. Stolarczyk393279 min92.9 /9031 /9000 /90
Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. McCarthy n 588.8
2.64/2
J. Stolarczyk n 892.1
24/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Thomas890716 min151.9 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90324 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
H. Souttar791639 min60.8 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90304.2 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
Jayden Joseph778543 min111.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90315.1 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
C. McFarlane482329 min71.9 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90215.7 /9020.5 /9000 /90
C. Okoli393279 min41.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.94/2
1.15/3
A. Kay
S. Braybrooke n 888.8
1.36/3
0.84/2
—
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
0.81/1
14/1
—
H. Souttar n 890.9
1.16/2
0.42/1
—
Jayden Joseph n 777.6
0.85/0
26/3
—
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Thomas n 889.5
1.96/6
S. Braybrooke n 888.8
1.58/3
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
0.62/1
H. Souttar n 890.9
0.94/2
Jayden Joseph n 777.6
1.85/3
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid856450 min00 /9010.2 /90112.2 /9030.6 /9051 /9010.2 /90
T. Watson650299 min00 /9000 /9092.7 /9041.2 /9082.4 /9041.2 /90
A. Bristrić549243 min00 /9000 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
H. Howell547233 min10.4 /9000 /9062.3 /9031.2 /9051.9 /90103.9 /90
E. Riis273145 min21.2 /9000 /9031.9 /9031.9 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Braybrooke n 888.8
1.16/1
0.53/1
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
2.27/3
0.63/0
H. Souttar n 890.9
0.64/1
0.43/0
Jayden Joseph n 777.6
1.34/2
0.73/1
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Thomas n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
S. Braybrooke n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
00/0
0.21/0
H. Souttar n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Jayden Joseph n 777.6
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnsleyLeicester
21%Possession79%
1.18Expected goals (xG)2.40
12Shots20
5Shots on target8
7Shots off target7
0Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box14
5Corners12
2Offsides2
19Fouls12
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
6Saves4
165Passes676
61%Pass accuracy90%

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rogan Ravenhill9000000008.3
C. O'Riordan9000000206.9
J. Shepherd9000000106.3
A. Kay90011025Y7.9
Patrick Kelly90002102Y6.3
R. Cleary9010531108.3
S. Gale6700000206.5
C. McGeehan6700001006.2
B. Touré5400000006.7
Amani Richards3400000006.3
L. Connell26001010R4.2
T. Noslin sub5600102307.2
Jonathan Bland sub36000001Y7.2
Vimal Yoganathan sub2300110106.7
Clayton Taylor sub23001000Y6.3

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. McCarthy9000000007.2
W. O'Hora9000200106.6
Wout Felix Lina Faes9000001007.2
L. Thomas9001113107.5
J. Lundstram9000001107.7
E. Riis9000211006.3
W. Alves86003121Y7.5
L. Page81001010Y6.6
S. Braybrooke62002220Y6.5
L. Cullen6210320107
O. Aluko45000002Y7
W. Coulibaly sub4500000206.6
T. Watson sub2800113106.5
Wes Burns sub2800000006.7
B. De Cordova-Reid sub1100002006.3
H. Howell sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnsley v Leicester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnsleyWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
LeicesterLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Barnsley#23 pos9 pts12 pl-10 GD
Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Barnsley scored1
Leicester scored1.69
Barnsley conceded1.83
Leicester conceded1.46

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnsley v Leicester?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnsley v Leicester was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Leicester?
Recent form — Barnsley 2W 1D 2L; Leicester 2W 1D 2L.

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