This Matchweek

BlackpoolPlymouth

Blackpool v Plymouth result

Full-time · Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth

League One · · Bloomfield Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth — Plymouth won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Plymouth won 4–2 at Bloomfield Road in League One on Saturday 19 September. Blackpool have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Blackpool: Jordan Brown (30’, assisted by Zachary Ashworth) and Jerry Yates (70’, assisted by Joshua Bowler); Plymouth: Oliver Irow (36’, 52’), Harvey White (57’) and Aribusitamunoipirim Pepple (89’, assisted by Ronan Curtis).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oliver Irow’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackpool 0.67, Plymouth 2.44, from 10 shots to 24 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Drysdale showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackpool: Jerry Yates (38’), Jordan Williams (47’) and Karoy Anderson (71’).

What it changes

Blackpool move down from eighth to 12th (seven league matches played). Blackpool have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Blackpool have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Plymouth move up from sixth to second (seven league matches played). Plymouth have scored 21 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Plymouth have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 7, across 12 matches. Blackpool are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Plymouth have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oliver Irow (Plymouth) 9.7, Ronan Curtis (Plymouth) 6.6 and Joshua Bowler (Blackpool) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Plymouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Blackpool.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Blackpool next travel to AFC Hornchurch on 7 November 2026.

Plymouth next host Alvechurch on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackpool: AFC Hornchurch v Blackpool, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Plymouth: Plymouth v Alvechurch, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth · League One
  • Venue: Bloomfield Road · Blackpool, Lancashire
  • Referee: D. Drysdale
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Blackpool 1 · draws 2 · Plymouth 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Blackpool 1W 1D 3L · Plymouth 3W 0D 2L

Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.75
Corners
against 7.75 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 7 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · D. Drysdale
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBlackpool for / againstLinePlymouth for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 7.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 7 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Drysdale — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Blackpool

Blackpool Goalkeeper

Blackpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Peacock-Farrell890720 min425.3 /90111.4 /9000 /90
Blackpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
5.38/8

Blackpool Defensive

Blackpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Casey890720 min111.4 /90121.5 /9040.5 /90556.9 /9091.1 /9000 /90
J. Williams882656 min192.6 /9071 /9030.4 /90375.1 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90
Finley Munroe751355 min164.1 /9041 /9000 /90287.1 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90
Z. Ashworth568338 min71.9 /9041.1 /9041.1 /90277.2 /9092.4 /9020.5 /90
J. Earl490360 min30.8 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90205 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Blackpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Casey n 890
1.16/3
0.32/0
W. Harding
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
J. Bowler n 885.4
0.54/0
25/5
W. Evans
J. Williams n 882
0.53/1
0.43/0
W. Harding
Karoy Anderson n 889
1.46/4
1.57/4
W. Evans
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Blackpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Casey n 890
1.45/4
J. Bowler n 885.4
1.17/1
J. Williams n 882
2.67/5
Karoy Anderson n 889
3.28/6
A. Morgan n 867.8
1.86/3
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Blackpool Attacking

Blackpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Bloxham759410 min20.4 /9010.2 /9092 /9061.3 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90
C. Hamilton673436 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
D. Charles661366 min10.2 /9020.5 /9092.2 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9041 /90
J. Yates444174 min10.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /90
K. Kouassi443172 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9021 /9000 /9000 /90
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Blackpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Casey n 890
0.84/1
00/0
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bowler n 885.4
2.58/5
1.37/2
J. Williams n 882
0.43/0
0.11/0
Karoy Anderson n 889
1.15/2
0.53/1
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Blackpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
O. Casey n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Bowler n 885.4
0.43/0
00/0
J. Williams n 882
0.11/0
00/0
Karoy Anderson n 889
0.11/0
00/0
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Plymouth

Plymouth Goalkeeper

Plymouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney791636 min91.3 /9060.8 /9000 /90
M. Cooper390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
James Storer19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 790.9
1.32/2
M. Cooper n 390
1.31/1

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Harding890720 min70.9 /9081 /9030.4 /90263.3 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
A. Mitchell771494 min81.5 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90346.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Julio Pleguezuelo766465 min81.5 /90101.9 /9010.2 /90285.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
M. Sorinola663376 min61.4 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90194.5 /90153.6 /9000 /90
A. Hartridge591456 min142.8 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90224.3 /9081.6 /9000 /90
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Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Harding n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
J. Williams
H. White n 886.8
0.93/3
0.63/2
—
W. Evans n 882.8
2.38/5
0.85/1
Karoy Anderson
A. Pepple n 875
2.17/5
1.87/4
—
M. Mahoney n 790.9
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
0.96/1
H. White n 886.8
0.94/2
W. Evans n 882.8
1.55/3
A. Pepple n 875
0.62/2
R. Curtis n 879
1.15/3
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Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Evans883662 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9060.8 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90
A. Pepple875600 min30.5 /9000 /90142.1 /9071.1 /9081.2 /9050.8 /90
Owen Oseni22345 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
A. Pepple18484 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Tegan Finn13131 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
0.11/0
00/0
H. White n 886.8
1.67/5
0.64/1
W. Evans n 882.8
1.67/4
0.85/1
A. Pepple n 875
2.16/2
1.15/2
M. Mahoney n 790.9
00/0
00/0
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Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 886.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
W. Evans n 882.8
0.32/0
00/0
A. Pepple n 875
0.53/0
00/0
M. Mahoney n 790.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BlackpoolPlymouth
52%Possession48%
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.44
10Shots24
4Shots on target9
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box14
3Corners8
0Offsides2
15Fouls7
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves2
351Passes322
59%Pass accuracy64%

Blackpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Williams90001002Y5.9
Karoy Anderson90001004Y6.3
Z. Ashworth9001002005.5
T. Bloxham9000112006.9
J. Bowler9001213206.3
O. Casey9000000207
B. Peacock-Farrell9000000005.7
J. Yates90101110Y7.3
J. Brown7910211007.3
A. Morgan7400100006
J. Earl5900000206.7
Finley Munroe sub3100000206
D. Charles sub1600000006.5
L. Clarkson sub1100000006.5

Plymouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Bakinson9000101106.3
R. Curtis9001223007
W. Harding9000001106.3
A. Mitchell9000200006.9
A. Pepple9010312006.6
M. Mahoney9000000006
H. White9010421108
W. Evans8600111106.3
O. Irow7720320108.2
M. Sorinola6600000306.3
Julio Pleguezuelo6600210006.3
J. Edwards sub2400000006.5
M. Ross sub2400000006.2
C. Watts sub1300000006.6
B. Ibrahim sub1100000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackpool v Plymouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BlackpoolLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
PlymouthLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Blackpool 1 · 2 draws · Plymouth 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Blackpool 0–4 Plymouth
  • 2025-08-23 Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool
  • 2021-03-27 Blackpool 2–2 Plymouth
  • 2020-09-12 Plymouth 1–0 Blackpool
  • 2019-03-30 Blackpool 2–2 Plymouth
  • 2018-09-15 Plymouth 0–1 Blackpool
League standing · 2026/27
Blackpool#19 pos12 pts12 pl-4 GD
Plymouth#5 pos23 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Blackpool scored1.42
Plymouth scored1.5
Blackpool conceded1.75
Plymouth conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackpool v Plymouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackpool v Plymouth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Blackpool and Plymouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Blackpool won 1, Plymouth won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackpool and Plymouth?
Recent form — Blackpool 1W 1D 3L; Plymouth 3W 0D 2L.

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