BradfordStevenage

Bradford v Stevenage result

Full-time · Bradford 0–1 Stevenage

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bradford 0–1 Stevenage — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage won 1–0 at Bradford in League One on Saturday 11 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bradford out-shot Stevenage 13 to 3 and created the better chances, 1.64 xG to 0.26 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Daniel Kemp (61’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Kemp’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

T. Reeves showed five yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bradford: Curtis Tilt (64’) and Ibou Touray (90+1’); Stevenage: Daniel Kemp (64’), Charles Goode (73’) and Daniel Sweeney (76’).

What it changes

Bradford stay third after this result (42 league matches played). Bradford have scored 58 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bradford have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Stevenage stay sixth after this result (41 league matches played). Stevenage have scored 49 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stevenage have conceded 46 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Stevenage are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Stevenage have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carl Piergianni (Stevenage) 5.8, Daniel Kemp (Stevenage) 4.5 and Joe Wright (Bradford) 4.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bradford are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Stevenage, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bradford or Stevenage (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Bradford next travel to Leicester on 14 November 2026.

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bradford: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bradford 0–1 Stevenage · League One
  • Referee: T. Reeves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bradford 4 · draws 2 · Stevenage 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bradford 2W 1D 2L · Stevenage 3W 1D 1L

Bradford 0–1 Stevenage (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · T. Reeves
22.88 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBradford for / againstLineStevenage for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 7.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: T. Reeves — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.88 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bradford

Bradford Defensive

Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Walker n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Power n 890.8
0.75/1
1.25/2
—
I. Touray n 877.4
1.76/4
1.56/4
—
J. Neufville n 883.4
1.25/2
0.43/0
—
A. Sarcevic n 872.9
1.56/4
0.64/0
—
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Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Walker n 890.8
00/0
M. Power n 890.8
17/1
I. Touray n 877.4
2.98/6
J. Neufville n 883.4
1.66/4
A. Sarcevic n 872.9
1.15/2
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Bradford Attacking

Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Walker n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Power n 890.8
1.44/4
0.52/2
I. Touray n 877.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Neufville n 883.4
0.32/0
00/0
A. Sarcevic n 872.9
1.56/1
0.84/1
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Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Walker n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Power n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
I. Touray n 877.4
00/0
00/0
J. Neufville n 883.4
00/0
0.32/0
A. Sarcevic n 872.9
0.31/1
00/0
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Stevenage

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
H. White n 886.4
0.94/3
0.73/1
—
J. Reid n 887
1.36/3
1.36/3
—
C. Goode n 890
0.32/0
1.36/2
—
C. Piergianni n 889.9
0.84/2
1.15/3
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
H. White n 886.4
27/4
J. Reid n 887
0.11/0
C. Goode n 890
1.16/2
C. Piergianni n 889.9
1.45/4
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 886.4
17/1
0.43/0
J. Reid n 887
1.97/6
0.85/1
C. Goode n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
C. Piergianni n 889.9
1.35/4
0.84/2
See more players · Pro
Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Reid n 887
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Goode n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BradfordStevenage
58%Possession42%
1.64Expected goals (xG)0.26
13Shots3
5Shots on target1
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box3
1Corners0
0Offsides2
12Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves5
390Passes291
62%Pass accuracy52%

Bradford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Walker9000000006
A. Baldwin9000000006.6
C. Tilt90000013Y6.6
J. Neufville9000002407.2
M. Power9000104007.7
I. Touray90001110Y6.9
A. Sarcevic9000210106
S. Humphrys9000200006.3
J. Wright7800000406.6
Jenson Metcalfe6800001106.2
B. Pointon1800001106.9
G. Lapslie sub4900000106.7
K. Jackson sub2300110006.3
N. Powell sub2200220106.6
P. Mullin sub1200001006.3

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Marschall9000000007.9
C. Goode90000001Y7.3
C. Piergianni9000000107.3
J. Pattenden9000000106.3
H. White9000000206.6
J. Roberts9000000206.9
J. Reid8900000006
D. Phillips8800100206.5
D. Kemp78101101Y7.3
M. Phillips7800100405.6
L. Freestone1000000006.9
D. Sweeney sub80000012Y7
L. Thompson sub1200000006.7
B. Lubala sub1200000006.6
J. Houghton sub900000006.3
S. Earley sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bradford v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BradfordLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
StevenageWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bradford 4 · 2 draws · Stevenage 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Stevenage 1–1 Bradford
  • 2023-02-11 Stevenage 2–3 Bradford
  • 2022-09-17 Bradford 3–0 Stevenage
  • 2022-02-08 Stevenage 0–1 Bradford
  • 2021-08-17 Bradford 4–1 Stevenage
  • 2021-04-05 Stevenage 1–1 Bradford
League standing · 2025/26
Bradford#4 pos77 pts46 pl+7 GD
Stevenage#6 pos75 pts46 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Bradford scored1.26
Stevenage scored1.07
Bradford conceded1.11
Stevenage conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bradford v Stevenage?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v Stevenage was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and Stevenage?
In their last 6 meetings, Bradford won 4, Stevenage won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bradford and Stevenage?
Recent form — Bradford 2W 1D 2L; Stevenage 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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