Burton AlbionBarnsley

Burton Albion v Barnsley result

Full-time · Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burton Albion · Barnsley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Burton Albion and Barnsley drew 1–1 in League One on Friday 3 April. Barnsley are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Burton Albion: Charles Webster (60’, assisted by Kyran Lofthouse); Barnsley: David McGoldrick (90’, assisted by M. Roberts).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with David McGoldrick’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Burton Albion 0.00, Barnsley 0.00, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

K. Dowle showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burton Albion: Alex Hartridge (76’); Barnsley: Luca Connell (11’), Leo Farrell (86’) and M. Roberts (90+5’).

What it changes

Burton Albion move down from 18th to 19th (41 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Burton Albion have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Barnsley stay 13th after this result (38 league matches played). Barnsley have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Barnsley have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, David McGoldrick (Barnsley) 9.1, Kyran Lofthouse (Burton Albion) 5.3 and Jake Beesley (Burton Albion) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Barnsley are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Burton Albion.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Barnsley next travel to Wigan on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barnsley: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley · League One
  • Referee: K. Dowle
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burton Albion 1 · draws 1 · Barnsley 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burton Albion 2W 0D 3L · Barnsley 1W 3D 1L

Burton Albion 1–1 Barnsley (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 3 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · K. Dowle
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBurton Albion for / againstLineBarnsley for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
8.75 for · 9.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 8.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: K. Dowle — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Collins35903150 min932.7 /90461.3 /9010 /90
K. Dudek390270 min134.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Collins n 890
2.46/4

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hartridge34862913 min521.6 /90411.3 /90210.6 /901735.3 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
T. Sibbick33832732 min591.9 /90280.9 /9090.3 /901304.3 /90230.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Armer31792464 min451.6 /90250.9 /90160.6 /901354.9 /90190.7 /9040.1 /90
T. Vancooten19821549 min231.3 /90241.4 /9090.5 /901126.5 /90251.5 /9050.3 /90
K. Lofthouse41893653 min701.7 /90340.8 /9070.2 /902746.8 /90531.3 /9070.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
0.95/2
15/2
L. Connell
J. Beesley n 889.5
1.67/4
1.46/4
—
K. Chauke n 876.9
1.25/3
0.74/1
—
B. Collins n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.65/0
0.65/0
J. Shepherd
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
1.95/5
J. Beesley n 889.5
13/3
K. Chauke n 876.9
1.65/4
A. Hartridge n 887.3
16/1
T. Shade n 885.4
0.31/1
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Beesley40893558 min130.3 /9080.2 /90671.7 /90290.7 /90360.9 /90110.3 /90
T. Shade34722457 min120.4 /9000 /90632.3 /90411.5 /90240.9 /90471.7 /90
Fábio Tavares1753894 min30.3 /9010.1 /90111.1 /9070.7 /90121.2 /9040.4 /90
Julian Larsson16631013 min00 /9020.2 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90
K. Adom952468 min00 /9010.2 /9071.3 /9030.6 /9051 /9020.4 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
0.65/0
0.43/0
J. Beesley n 889.5
1.47/3
15/3
K. Chauke n 876.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
J. Beesley n 889.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Chauke n 876.9
00/0
00/0
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney25902250 min622.5 /90441.8 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
2.34/4

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Shepherd37853132 min260.7 /90240.7 /90431.2 /902236.4 /90260.7 /9080.2 /90
T. Watson33742431 min612.3 /90321.2 /90130.5 /901716.3 /90281 /9030.1 /90
N. Ogbeta23691598 min352 /90181 /9050.3 /90804.5 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
M. de Gevigney22771687 min311.7 /90261.4 /90201.1 /901377.3 /90251.3 /9030.2 /90
C. O'Keeffe17831418 min271.7 /90231.5 /9020.1 /90946 /90271.7 /9060.4 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Phillips n 861.1
1.37/0
0.21/0
—
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.32/0
0.94/2
A. Hartridge
L. Connell n 890
0.65/0
0.85/1
K. Lofthouse
Jonathan Bland n 859.3
0.94/1
0.62/1
—
T. Watson n 862
1.13/1
0.53/0
—
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.1
1.13/2
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.53/1
L. Connell n 890
1.66/5
Jonathan Bland n 859.3
0.93/1
T. Watson n 862
2.56/5
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Keillor-Dunn28812269 min130.5 /9010 /90481.9 /90301.2 /90190.8 /90220.9 /90
Leo Farrell32061 min00 /9000 /9023 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /90
A. Phillips38692636 min80.3 /9040.1 /90321.1 /90160.5 /90411.4 /9090.3 /90
L. Connell35873049 min40.1 /9030.1 /90270.8 /90120.4 /90641.9 /90150.4 /90
Jonathan Bland35702466 min00 /9010 /90170.6 /9080.3 /90190.7 /90110.4 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.1
0.63/0
0.42/0
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.11/0
00/0
L. Connell n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
Jonathan Bland n 859.3
00/0
00/0
T. Watson n 862
00/0
00/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Phillips n 861.1
00/0
0.21/0
J. Shepherd n 885.1
00/0
00/0
L. Connell n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Jonathan Bland n 859.3
00/0
00/0
T. Watson n 862
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Burton AlbionBarnsley
53%Possession47%
11Shots11
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box6
9Corners0
4Offsides2
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves4
275Passes263
61%Pass accuracy62%

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Collins9000000007
U. Godwin-Malife9000101006.2
J. Moon9000100006
A. Hartridge90001112Y7.9
K. Lofthouse9001004007.9
Dylan Williams9000001006.6
J. Armer9000001106.7
J. Beesley9000310207.2
A. Cannon8100101106.2
T. Shade8000000207.2
Sulyman Krubally4500110006.2
C. Webster sub4510220007.5
K. Adom sub1000000106.3
J. McKiernan sub900000006.5

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kieran Flavell9000000006.9
J. Shepherd9000000006.9
L. Connell90002021Y7.2
Vimal Yoganathan9000001406.9
D. McGoldrick9010312308.2
T. Bradshaw9000210006
T. Watson7400000206.7
M. de Gevigney7400001206.9
Patrick Kelly6400001206.6
S. Banks6300110006.2
E. O'Connell70000000–
Jonathan Bland sub8300000006.7
R. Cleary sub2700001006.9
A. Phillips sub2600200006.2
Leo Farrell sub16000000Y6.9
M. Roberts sub16010010Y6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Barnsley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Burton AlbionLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
BarnsleyWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burton Albion 1 · 1 draw · Barnsley 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Barnsley 3–2 Burton Albion
  • 2025-02-01 Barnsley 0–0 Burton Albion
  • 2024-09-21 Burton Albion 1–2 Barnsley
  • 2024-04-01 Burton Albion 1–3 Barnsley
  • 2023-09-16 Barnsley 2–0 Burton Albion
  • 2023-04-07 Burton Albion 2–1 Barnsley
League standing · 2025/26
Burton Albion#17 pos54 pts46 pl-10 GD
Barnsley#15 pos59 pts46 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Burton Albion scored1.09
Barnsley scored1.48
Burton Albion conceded1.3
Barnsley conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burton Albion v Barnsley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Barnsley was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Barnsley?
In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 1, Barnsley won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Barnsley?
Recent form — Burton Albion 2W 0D 3L; Barnsley 1W 3D 1L.

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