Burton Albion v Leyton Orient result

Full-time · Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient

League One · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Pirelli Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burton Albion · Leyton Orient · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient — Burton Albion won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Burton Albion beat Leyton Orient 2–1 at Pirelli Stadium in League One on Saturday 24 October.

The goals

Burton Albion came from behind: Leyton Orient led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Leyton Orient: Alexander Gilbert (33’); Burton Albion: Kgaogelo Chauke (56’, assisted by Caylan Vickers) and William Collar (86’, assisted by Caylan Vickers).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Collar’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Burton Albion 1.04, Leyton Orient 0.68, from 19 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Burton Albion: Mark O’Mahony (32’).

What it changes

Burton Albion move up from 12th to 11th (13 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 18 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Burton Albion have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs.

Leyton Orient move down from 12th to 15th (12 league matches played). Leyton Orient have scored 16 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Leyton Orient have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Collar (Burton Albion) 8.8, Raphael Borges Rodrigues (Burton Albion) 6.3 and Alexander Gilbert (Leyton Orient) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Burton Albion or Leyton Orient (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Leyton Orient next travel to Doncaster on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Leyton Orient: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient · League One
Venue: Pirelli Stadium · Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Burton Albion 2 · draws 3 · Leyton Orient 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L · Leyton Orient 2W 1D 2L

Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.25

Corners

against 7 / 8.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Burton Albion for / against	Line	Leyton Orient for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Addai	13	901170 min	352.7 /90	151.2 /90	00 /90

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Addai n 8	90	2.3 6/4

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Tilt	12	881051 min	171.5 /90	90.8 /90	121 /90	827 /90	201.7 /90	40.3 /90
T. Sibbick	11	86945 min	302.9 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	595.6 /90	90.9 /90	10.1 /90
G. Evans	10	87869 min	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	313.2 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
F. Delap	10	85853 min	202.1 /90	202.1 /90	80.8 /90	565.9 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90
J. Lewis	3	36109 min	54.1 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	1310.7 /90	21.7 /90	10.8 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
K. Chauke n 8	89	0.4 2/1	1.3 7/2	I. El Mizouni
C. Tilt n 8	90	1.5 8/4	1.6 5/3	F. Stevens
C. Webster n 8	87.6	0.5 2/1	1.7 6/4	—
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2	0.8 4/2	F. Stevens
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Chauke n 8	89	2.4 7/5
C. Tilt n 8	90	1.3 7/3
C. Webster n 8	87.6	1 5/2
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	2.9 5/5
J. Armer n 8	83	1.4 6/4
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Webster	12	871043 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	242.1 /90	80.7 /90	191.6 /90	100.9 /90
M. Dennis	9	57512 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	162.8 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	50.9 /90
Caylan Vickers	5	74370 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
K. Adom	5	31155 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90
Zac Scutt	3	56167 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Chauke n 8	89	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
C. Tilt n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.4 3/0
C. Webster n 8	87.6	1.8 8/5	0.4 3/0
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Addai n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Chauke n 8	89	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Tilt n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Webster n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Sibbick n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient Goalkeeper

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Baxter	10	86857 min	272.8 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Noah Phillips	4	80318 min	133.7 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Baxter n 8	84	2.9 5/5
Noah Phillips n 4	79.5	3.7 4/2

Leyton Orient Defensive

Leyton Orient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Stevens	13	861122 min	302.4 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90	665.3 /90	50.4 /90	30.2 /90
J. Olowu	13	841094 min	141.2 /90	121 /90	100.8 /90	736 /90	121 /90	10.1 /90
W. Forrester	9	85765 min	101.2 /90	141.6 /90	60.7 /90	657.6 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
P. Chinedu	9	84759 min	80.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90	374.4 /90	182.1 /90	20.2 /90
J. Morris	7	70492 min	112 /90	112 /90	30.5 /90	254.6 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Stevens n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.7 3/1	T. Sibbick
J. Olowu n 8	79.9	1.1 4/2	0.7 5/0	—
I. El Mizouni n 8	75.9	1.2 6/2	0.7 4/1	K. Chauke
Y. Akhamrich n 8	69.1	1.1 5/1	1.6 6/3	—
I. Hayden n 8	63	0.7 3/1	0.7 3/1	—
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Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Stevens n 8	84.4	1.9 7/4
J. Olowu n 8	79.9	1.4 6/4
I. El Mizouni n 8	75.9	4.7 8/8
Y. Akhamrich n 8	69.1	0.2 1/0
I. Hayden n 8	63	1.6 5/3
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Leyton Orient Attacking

Leyton Orient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Akhamrich	13	73945 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	171.6 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	171.6 /90
Jaze Kabia	12	68814 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	141.5 /90	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90
A. Dobra	8	47379 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90	71.7 /90	61.4 /90
J. Kabia	7	68479 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
D. Mitchell	6	48290 min	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90
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Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Stevens n 8	84.4	0.8 3/1	0.5 3/1
J. Olowu n 8	79.9	1.1 3/3	0.7 3/2
I. El Mizouni n 8	75.9	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Akhamrich n 8	69.1	0.7 3/1	0.3 2/0
I. Hayden n 8	63	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
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Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Stevens n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Olowu n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. El Mizouni n 8	75.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Akhamrich n 8	69.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
I. Hayden n 8	63	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Burton Albion		Leyton Orient
52%	Possession	48%
1.04	Expected goals (xG)	0.68
19	Shots	13
7	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	6
11	Shots inside the box	7
9	Corners	4
1	Offsides	2
10	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
419	Passes	392

Burton Albion Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Borges Rodrigues	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.2
K. Chauke	90	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.8
W. Collar	90	1	1	1	1	1	0	8.2
T. Sibbick	90	0	3	0	1	2	0	6.1
J. Sraha	90	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.1
C. Tilt	90	0	0	0	1	3	0	7
C. Addai	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
C. Webster	90	0	5	1	1	0	0	6.5
Harvey Araujo	77	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
Mark O’Mahony	58	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.4
G. Arubi	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Emeka Adeile	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Leyton Orient Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
F. Stevens	90	0	0	0	1	1	6.2
I. El Mizouni	90	0	2	0	1	4	6.2
W. Forrester	90	0	1	0	0	1	6.9
A. Gilbert	90	1	2	1	1	0	7.1
A. Gilchrist	90	0	0	0	0	2	5.6
N. Baxter	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens	90	0	1	0	1	0	6.5
J. Kabia	80	0	2	1	1	4	6.4
I. Hayden	73	0	1	0	0	4	6.4
J. Morris	64	0	0	0	1	4	6
D. Scarlett	64	0	2	0	1	0	6.1
P. Chinedu	26	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
A. Connolly	26	0	2	0	0	0	6.7
A. Dobra	17	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
O. O'Neill	10	0	0	0	0	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Leyton Orient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Burton AlbionWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Leyton OrientWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Burton Albion 2 · 3 draws · Leyton Orient 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-05-02 Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion
2025-11-29 Burton Albion 0–4 Leyton Orient
2025-04-01 Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient
2024-12-14 Leyton Orient 0–0 Burton Albion
2024-02-17 Leyton Orient 1–2 Burton Albion
2023-10-28 Burton Albion 0–0 Leyton Orient

League standing · 2026/27

Burton Albion#15 pos17 pts14 pl-3 GD

Leyton Orient#14 pos17 pts13 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Burton Albion scored1.29

Leyton Orient scored1.46

Burton Albion conceded1.5

Leyton Orient conceded1.08

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burton Albion v Leyton Orient?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Leyton Orient was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Leyton Orient?: In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 2, Leyton Orient won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Leyton Orient?: Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L; Leyton Orient 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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