DoncasterBurton Albion

Doncaster v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion

League One · · Eco-Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Doncaster · Burton Albion · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion — Doncaster won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster beat Burton Albion 1–0 at Eco-Power Stadium in League One on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

Doncaster led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: Leon Ayinde (45’, assisted by Alfie May).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leon Ayinde’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Doncaster 0.62, Burton Albion 0.94, from 14 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Doncaster: Owen Bailey (41’), Robbie Gotts (70’) and Hakeeb Adelakun (89’); Burton Albion: Matthew Dennis (39’) and Harvey Araujo (84’).

What it changes

Doncaster move up from 20th to 14th (eight league matches played). Doncaster have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Doncaster have conceded 22 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion move down from seventh to ninth (10 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 18 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Burton Albion have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Leon Ayinde (Doncaster) 7.0, Alfie May (Doncaster) 6.1 and Raphael Borges Rodrigues (Burton Albion) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Doncaster are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Burton Albion.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Doncaster or Burton Albion (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Doncaster next travel to Kidderminster Harriers on 7 November 2026.

Burton Albion next host AFC Rushden & Diamonds on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Doncaster: Kidderminster Harriers v Doncaster, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion · League One
  • Venue: Eco-Power Stadium · Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Referee: Blair Harrison
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Doncaster 3 · draws 1 · Burton Albion 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Doncaster 1W 2D 2L · Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L

Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3
Corners
against 6.25 / 6.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDoncaster for / againstLineBurton Albion for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
8.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Blair Harrison.

Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Tommy Simkin790630 min172.4 /9060.9 /9000 /90
J. Clarke19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tommy Simkin n 790
2.45/3

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Byrne788617 min40.6 /9060.9 /9081.2 /90294.2 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
S. Grehan778548 min91.5 /9081.3 /9061 /90335.4 /9061 /9010.2 /90
J. McGrath684503 min50.9 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90386.8 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
Bayley McCann535176 min21 /9000 /9000 /90136.6 /9052.6 /9000 /90
B. McCann430118 min10.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9043.1 /9000 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Senior n 890
1.35/2
1.16/1
—
A. May n 883.5
0.11/0
1.88/4
—
R. Gotts n 882.8
1.26/2
2.78/6
J. Armer
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.86/4
1.57/3
C. Webster
Tommy Simkin n 790
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
2.87/6
A. May n 883.5
0.75/0
R. Gotts n 882.8
1.68/2
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.25/2
N. Byrne n 880.8
0.64/0
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. May884668 min20.3 /9000 /90172.3 /90101.3 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
B. Hanlan761426 min00 /9000 /9061.3 /9020.4 /9071.5 /9030.6 /90
L. Ayinde640242 min00 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9072.6 /9010.4 /90
J. Senior890720 min20.3 /9010.1 /9070.9 /9050.6 /9081 /9060.8 /90
R. Gotts883662 min00 /9010.1 /9030.4 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
0.94/1
0.63/1
A. May n 883.5
2.38/4
1.37/3
R. Gotts n 882.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
O. Bailey n 881.9
0.84/1
0.43/0
Tommy Simkin n 790
00/0
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. May n 883.5
0.32/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 882.8
00/0
0.11/0
O. Bailey n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
Tommy Simkin n 790
00/0
00/0
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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Addai1090900 min292.9 /90151.5 /9000 /90
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Addai n 890
2.87/4

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Tilt987781 min131.5 /9080.9 /90111.3 /90657.5 /90151.7 /9030.3 /90
T. Sibbick890720 min303.8 /9091.1 /9040.5 /90536.6 /9081 /9000 /90
F. Delap888703 min182.3 /90182.3 /9081 /90486.1 /90121.5 /9020.3 /90
J. Lewis336109 min54.1 /9010.8 /9000 /901310.7 /9021.7 /9010.8 /90
Harvey Araujo254108 min65 /9010.8 /9000 /90108.3 /9021.7 /9000 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Addai n 890
00/0
00/0
—
K. Chauke n 889
0.64/1
1.16/2
—
J. Armer n 884.3
1.75/4
1.77/4
R. Gotts
C. Webster n 890
0.52/1
2.17/5
O. Bailey
C. Tilt n 889.1
1.98/3
2.16/5
—
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Chauke n 889
27/4
J. Armer n 884.3
1.56/4
C. Webster n 890
1.46/3
C. Tilt n 889.1
1.37/3
W. Collar n 855.9
1.65/2
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Webster988792 min10.1 /9000 /90182 /9060.7 /90121.4 /9080.9 /90
M. Dennis661367 min10.2 /9000 /9061.5 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9051.2 /90
R. Borges Rodrigues582412 min00 /9000 /9071.5 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90102.2 /90
Caylan Vickers574370 min10.2 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90
K. Adom531155 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9021.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Addai n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 889
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Armer n 884.3
0.83/2
0.52/2
C. Webster n 890
27/4
0.63/1
C. Tilt n 889.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Addai n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 889
0.11/0
00/0
J. Armer n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Webster n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. Tilt n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DoncasterBurton Albion
43%Possession57%
0.62Expected goals (xG)0.94
14Shots20
1Shots on target3
7Shots off target7
6Blocked shots10
7Shots inside the box16
3Corners12
1Offsides0
7Fouls17
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves0
338Passes432

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tommy Simkin9000000007.4
S. Grehan9000000006.9
N. Byrne9000100006.8
J. McGrath9000100106.1
G. Broadbent9000003207.1
R. Gotts90001021Y6.7
O. Bailey90002002Y6.6
A. May9001201207
L. Ayinde8010411107.8
T. Nixon7800200306.6
B. Hanlan7400100006.2
I. Hutchinson1600000006.5
J. Thomas1200000006.5
H. Adelakun10000000Y6.3

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Addai9000000005.7
F. Delap9000003107
G. Evans9000100006.4
C. Tilt9000111206.8
R. Borges Rodrigues9000101206.2
K. Chauke9000100206.7
J. Armer8000003206
C. Webster7100201105.9
M. Dennis71004101Y6.5
T. Sibbick4500000006.6
W. Collar4500300006.3
G. Arubi1900300006.5
Harvey Araujo10002110Y6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Doncaster v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoncasterDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Burton AlbionDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Doncaster 3 · 1 draw · Burton Albion 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-03 Burton Albion 1–2 Doncaster
  • 2025-10-04 Doncaster 1–1 Burton Albion
  • 2022-04-23 Doncaster 2–0 Burton Albion
  • 2021-11-27 Burton Albion 2–0 Doncaster
  • 2021-04-13 Doncaster 0–3 Burton Albion
  • 2020-12-19 Burton Albion 1–3 Doncaster
League standing · 2026/27
Doncaster#20 pos12 pts13 pl-8 GD
Burton Albion#15 pos17 pts14 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Doncaster scored1.08
Burton Albion scored1.29
Doncaster conceded1.69
Burton Albion conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Doncaster v Burton Albion?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Doncaster v Burton Albion was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Doncaster and Burton Albion?
In their last 6 meetings, Doncaster won 3, Burton Albion won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Doncaster and Burton Albion?
Recent form — Doncaster 1W 2D 2L; Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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