Doncaster v Oxford United prediction

League One · · Eco-Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Doncaster v Oxford United, League One on Tue, 15 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5090 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Doncaster host Oxford United in League One on Tuesday 15 December (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Doncaster or Oxford United (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Oxford United are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Doncaster’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Doncaster’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Doncaster have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.29. Doncaster have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Doncaster have conceded 22 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Oxford United have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38. Oxford United have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Oxford United have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Doncaster (20th) and Oxford United (third) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Oxford United the stronger side, 322 rating points above Doncaster (Oxford United 1709, Doncaster 1386, after at least 279 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Oxford United are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Doncaster. The most recent meeting, on 30 April 2022, finished Oxford United 1–1 Doncaster.

Team news

Predicted Doncaster XI (4-2-3-1): T. Simkin, S. Grehan, N. Byrne, J. Sterry, J. McGrath, R. Gotts, I. Hutchinson, L. Ayinde, G. Broadbent, J. Senior, O. Bailey — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Senior (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tommy Simkin (3.7 per match over 14 appearances) have been Doncaster’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Doncaster (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Senior averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1086 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. Tommy Simkin averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 1176 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Oxford United XI (4-2-3-1): J. Cumming, M. Helik, J. Currie, C. Brown, P. Kioso, S. Dembélé, K. Andrews, C. Brannagan, T. Goodrham, L. Sibley, M. Harris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Dembélé (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Jack Currie (3.5 per match over 13 appearances) have been Oxford United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Oxford United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Dembélé averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1047 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Currie averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 897 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Eco-Power Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Doncaster 2 · draws 1 · Oxford United 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Doncaster 1W 0D 4L · Oxford United 2W 3D 0L

Doncaster v Oxford United (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.5 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDoncaster for / againstLineOxford United for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 15.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 3 against n 8

Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Tommy Simkin13901170 min473.6 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Clarke19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tommy Simkin n 890
4.17/7

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Byrne13881144 min80.6 /9090.7 /9090.7 /90443.5 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Grehan13831083 min151.2 /90181.5 /9070.6 /90635.2 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Senior1190990 min222 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90605.5 /90121.1 /9040.4 /90
J. McGrath983750 min101.2 /9060.7 /9040.5 /90546.5 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90
B. McCann835279 min41.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90154.8 /9041.3 /9000 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
1.57/3
16/2
—
R. Gotts n 881.5
1.25/3
2.58/5
—
Tommy Simkin n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
N. Byrne n 888.4
0.62/2
0.11/0
—
S. Grehan n 888.6
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.16/3
R. Gotts n 881.5
1.15/2
N. Byrne n 888.4
0.63/2
S. Grehan n 888.6
1.36/4
A. May n 871.5
0.63/1
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. May1377998 min30.3 /9010.1 /90262.3 /90121.1 /90121.1 /9070.6 /90
B. Hanlan1354705 min00 /9020.3 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90101.3 /9050.6 /90
L. Ayinde1257678 min10.1 /9010.1 /90101.3 /9050.7 /9091.2 /9040.5 /90
W. Keane544219 min00 /9000 /9062.5 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
O. Bailey14851195 min30.2 /9000 /90131 /9070.5 /9090.7 /9040.3 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
14/2
0.63/1
R. Gotts n 881.5
0.43/0
00/0
Tommy Simkin n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Byrne n 888.4
0.42/1
00/0
S. Grehan n 888.6
0.85/1
0.11/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.31/1
00/0
R. Gotts n 881.5
00/0
00/0
Tommy Simkin n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Byrne n 888.4
00/0
00/0
S. Grehan n 888.6
00/0
00/0
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Oxford United

Oxford United Goalkeeper

Oxford United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Cumming890723 min192.4 /9060.7 /9000 /90
S. Eastwood588441 min132.7 /9051 /9000 /90
Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Cumming n 890.4
2.45/4
S. Eastwood n 883.3
2.65/3

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brown12901085 min70.6 /9070.6 /90110.9 /90534.4 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Currie1180875 min383.9 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90747.6 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90
B. Spencer1167737 min242.9 /90111.3 /9050.6 /90647.8 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
M. Helik1090900 min70.7 /90131.3 /9080.8 /90414.1 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
P. Kioso1068676 min152 /90111.5 /9030.4 /90476.3 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90
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Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Dembélé n 885.3
1.68/3
38/7
—
M. Harris n 877.5
1.24/2
0.75/0
—
C. Brown n 890
00/0
0.85/1
—
C. Brannagan n 887.8
0.95/2
16/2
—
G. O'Donkor n 832.9
3.16/2
3.15/2
—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
1.85/3
M. Harris n 877.5
0.94/1
C. Brown n 890
0.63/2
C. Brannagan n 887.8
1.55/3
G. O'Donkor n 832.9
12/1
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Harris13801044 min60.5 /9010.1 /90191.6 /90121 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
G. O'Donkor1231375 min30.7 /9010.2 /90143.4 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
A. Emakhu757397 min00 /9000 /90132.9 /9040.9 /9051.1 /9071.6 /90
L. Snowden22651 min00 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /90
A. Elliott-Wheeler12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /90
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Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
1.67/3
0.74/1
M. Harris n 877.5
26/4
1.25/3
C. Brown n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
C. Brannagan n 887.8
1.86/4
0.84/1
G. O'Donkor n 832.9
4.17/3
13/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
0.32/0
0.54/0
M. Harris n 877.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Brown n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Brannagan n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
G. O'Donkor n 832.9
0.31/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Doncaster v Oxford United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoncasterLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Oxford UnitedDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Doncaster 2 · 1 draw · Oxford United 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2022-04-30 Oxford United 1–1 Doncaster
  • 2021-12-07 Doncaster 1–2 Oxford United
  • 2021-03-16 Oxford United 3–0 Doncaster
  • 2021-02-06 Doncaster 3–2 Oxford United
  • 2020-01-01 Doncaster 1–0 Oxford United
  • 2019-10-12 Oxford United 3–0 Doncaster
League standing · 2026/27
Doncaster#20 pos12 pts13 pl-8 GD
Oxford United#3 pos23 pts12 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Doncaster scored1.08
Oxford United scored1.67
Doncaster conceded1.69
Oxford United conceded0.92

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Doncaster v Oxford United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Doncaster v Oxford United is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Doncaster and Oxford United?
In their last 6 meetings, Doncaster won 2, Oxford United won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Doncaster and Oxford United?
Recent form — Doncaster 1W 0D 4L; Oxford United 2W 3D 0L.

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