DoncasterStevenage

Doncaster v Stevenage result

Full-time · Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Doncaster · Stevenage

The model’s pre-match pick

Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster and Stevenage drew 1–1 in League One on Saturday 25 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Doncaster out-shot Stevenage 12 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.21 xG to 1.06 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Stevenage led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Stevenage: M. Phillips (9’); Doncaster: B. Sharp (69’, assisted by Hakeeb Adelakun).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Sharp’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

M. Coy showed three yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Doncaster: John-Alan McGrath (45+3’) and Jack Senior (72’); Stevenage: S. Earley (60’).

What it changes

Doncaster move up from 15th to 13th (45 league matches played).

Stevenage move up from sixth to fifth (45 league matches played).

Stevenage are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Stevenage have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Phillips (Stevenage) 6.0, B. Sharp (Doncaster) 4.8 and Jack Senior (Doncaster) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stevenage are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Doncaster, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage · League One
  • Referee: M. Coy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Doncaster 0 · draws 1 · Stevenage 2 · 0.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Doncaster 2W 0D 3L · Stevenage 3W 1D 1L

Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.44 yellows
Referee · M. Coy
25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDoncaster for / againstLineStevenage for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: M. Coy — 2.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala33902970 min782.4 /90511.5 /9020.1 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
2.35/4

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Senior36762740 min652.1 /90341.1 /90160.5 /901826 /90230.8 /9070.2 /90
J. McGrath31802479 min301.1 /90321.2 /90170.6 /901525.5 /90321.2 /9080.3 /90
J. Sterry31792456 min582.1 /90200.7 /9090.3 /901264.6 /90381.4 /9040.1 /90
M. Pearson29822371 min281.1 /90301.1 /90160.6 /901877.1 /90200.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Maxwell22761668 min573.1 /90301.6 /9020.1 /901297 /90100.5 /9030.2 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
0.95/2
1.47/4
—
L. Molyneux n 888.5
0.53/1
0.95/2
—
R. Gotts n 883.5
1.67/3
2.47/6
—
J. Gibson n 839.9
0.62/0
0.83/0
—
J. Senior n 890
0.31/1
0.83/1
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.67/3
L. Molyneux n 888.5
1.37/2
R. Gotts n 883.5
2.77/7
J. Gibson n 839.9
23/2
J. Senior n 890
2.46/6
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Sharp32541743 min30.2 /9020.1 /90221.1 /90120.6 /90110.6 /9060.3 /90
B. Hanlan30631888 min50.2 /9000 /90160.8 /90110.5 /9080.4 /90130.6 /90
Francis Okoronkwo469277 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9031 /90
O. Bailey49874279 min150.3 /9060.1 /90621.3 /90300.6 /90461 /90110.2 /90
L. Molyneux44833634 min80.2 /9090.2 /90641.6 /90270.7 /90591.5 /90581.4 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
L. Molyneux n 888.5
28/6
0.43/0
R. Gotts n 883.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Gibson n 839.9
1.14/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
0.63/2
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Molyneux n 888.5
00/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 883.5
00/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 839.9
00/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
00/0
00/0
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Stevenage

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
H. White n 883.9
0.73/2
0.32/0
—
J. Reid n 885
1.16/2
0.95/1
—
C. Goode n 890
0.43/0
1.56/3
—
C. Piergianni n 889.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
H. White n 883.9
2.37/6
J. Reid n 885
00/0
C. Goode n 890
1.16/2
C. Piergianni n 889.9
0.53/1
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 883.9
1.27/2
0.32/0
J. Reid n 885
27/5
0.85/1
C. Goode n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
C. Piergianni n 889.9
0.83/2
0.32/0
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 883.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Reid n 885
0.11/0
00/0
C. Goode n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DoncasterStevenage
63%Possession37%
2.21Expected goals (xG)1.06
12Shots8
3Shots on target4
7Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box5
4Corners3
0Offsides6
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
426Passes251
70%Pass accuracy58%

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala9000000007.3
M. Pearson9000201006.9
J. McGrath90000000Y6.3
G. Broadbent9000200206.9
O. Bailey9000200205.9
J. Senior90002131Y7
B. Hanlan9000001106.2
D. Robinson7700001007.2
S. Grehan4500110006.5
T. Nixon4500000106.5
E. Lee4500000006.9
J. Sterry sub4500000007.2
H. Adelakun sub4501001007.6
B. Sharp sub4510112006.9
Bayley McCann sub1300001006.5

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Marschall9000000006.9
J. Pattenden9000001206.2
C. Goode9000111207.7
C. Piergianni9000101007.6
D. Kemp9000211106.2
H. White9000002006.9
J. Roberts9000000106.2
J. Reid9000000006.3
L. Thompson7600000006.5
M. Phillips7610220007.3
S. Earley67000003Y6.9
D. Butler sub2300000006.3
B. Lubala sub1400001106.2
J. Houghton sub1400000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Doncaster v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoncasterLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
StevenageWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Doncaster 0 · 1 draw · Stevenage 2 · 0.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Stevenage 0–0 Doncaster
  • 2023-04-18 Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster
  • 2022-10-25 Doncaster 0–1 Stevenage
League standing · 2025/26
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Stevenage#6 pos75 pts46 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Doncaster scored1.09
Stevenage scored1.07
Doncaster conceded1.5
Stevenage conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Doncaster v Stevenage?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Doncaster v Stevenage was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Doncaster and Stevenage?
In their last 3 meetings, Doncaster won 0, Stevenage won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Doncaster and Stevenage?
Recent form — Doncaster 2W 0D 3L; Stevenage 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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