Leicester v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion

League One · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · King Power Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion — Burton Albion won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.73 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Burton Albion won 2–1 at King Power Stadium in League One on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Leicester created the better chances, 1.10 xG to 0.71 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Burton Albion led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Burton Albion: Matthew Dennis (5’, assisted by Kyran Lofthouse) and Kgaogelo Chauke (25’); Leicester: Wes Burns (42’). Oliver Skipp (29’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kgaogelo Chauke’s goal on 25 minutes.

Discipline

B. Toner showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leicester: Bobby De Cordova-Reid (83’); Burton Albion: Curtis Tilt (17’), Sulyman Krubally (63’) and Kyran Lofthouse (74’).

What it changes

Leicester move down from first to 17th (two league matches played).

Burton Albion move up from sixth to fourth (two league matches played).

Leicester have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Burton Albion have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kgaogelo Chauke (Burton Albion) 9.0, Finn Delap (Burton Albion) 6.6 and Charles Webster (Burton Albion) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion · League One
Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester, Leicestershire
Referee: B. Toner
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Leicester 2 · draws 0 · Burton Albion 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Leicester 2W 3D 0L · Burton Albion 0W 4D 1L

Leicester 1–2 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

7.88 / 4.63

Corners

against 5.63 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 2.38 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.8 yellows

Referee · B. Toner

25.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Leicester for / against	Line	Burton Albion for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: B. Toner — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Stolarczyk	1	9999 min	21.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. McCarthy	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	1.5 4/2

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Okoli	2	95189 min	21 /90	41.9 /90	10.5 /90	104.8 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
H. Souttar	2	95189 min	00 /90	41.9 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
L. Thomas	2	95189 min	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	115.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Jayden Joseph	2	88176 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	73.6 /90	21 /90	00 /90
O. Skipp	2	95189 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	62.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Braybrooke n 3	68.3	2.2 2/2	0.4 1/0	K. Chauke
O. Skipp n 8	78.6	1.1 6/2	0.6 4/0	G. Evans
L. Thomas n 8	91.1	1 4/3	1.9 7/5	T. Sibbick
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.7 3/2	0 0/0	F. Delap
C. Okoli n 8	92.1	0.5 3/1	0.2 2/0	F. Delap
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Skipp n 8	78.6	2 7/3
L. Thomas n 8	91.1	1.7 7/5
S. Braybrooke n 3	68.3	1.3 2/1
C. Okoli n 8	92.1	0.9 4/1
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.7 4/2
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid	2	75150 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
T. Watson	2	2958 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90
O. Skipp	2	95189 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
S. Braybrooke	2	95189 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	31.4 /90
L. Cullen	2	86171 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Okoli n 8	92.1	1.1 6/2	0.5 3/1
S. Braybrooke n 3	68.3	0.9 2/0	0 0/0
L. Thomas n 8	91.1	0.6 3/1	0.2 2/0
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
O. Skipp n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 3	68.3	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
L. Thomas n 8	91.1	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0
C. Okoli n 8	92.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Skipp n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Addai	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Delap	2	90180 min	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90	105 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90
T. Sibbick	2	90180 min	42 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
C. Tilt	2	79158 min	42.3 /90	10.6 /90	63.4 /90	158.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
G. Evans	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90
J. Armer	2	90180 min	63 /90	21 /90	00 /90	178.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Chauke n 8	76.1	1.8 7/4	0.9 5/1	S. Braybrooke
F. Delap n 8	75.8	1.8 5/3	0.1 1/0	C. Okoli
K. Lofthouse n 8	90	1.4 7/4	1 5/3	—
G. Evans n 8	78.9	0.9 5/1	1 5/2	O. Skipp
T. Sibbick n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.4 3/0	L. Thomas
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Armer n 8	86.8	2.1 7/4
K. Chauke n 8	76.1	2.1 7/5
T. Sibbick n 8	90	1.9 8/4
K. Lofthouse n 8	90	1.5 6/3
G. Evans n 8	78.9	1.1 5/2
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Chauke	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
M. Dennis	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
Zac Scutt	1	8989 min	11 /90	00 /90	44 /90	22 /90	22 /90	00 /90
C. Webster	1	7272 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.5 /90	11.3 /90	22.5 /90	11.3 /90
G. Evans	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	42 /90	00 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.3 1/1
J. Armer n 8	86.8	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
K. Chauke n 8	76.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
F. Delap n 8	75.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
T. Sibbick n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Evans n 8	78.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
T. Sibbick n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Armer n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Chauke n 8	76.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leicester		Burton Albion
74%	Possession	26%
1.10	Expected goals (xG)	0.71
13	Shots	13
3	Shots on target	6
5	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	3
5	Shots inside the box	7
5	Corners	3
0	Offsides	4
13	Fouls	19
1	Yellow cards	3
1	Red cards	0
4	Saves	2
588	Passes	215
85%	Pass accuracy	68%

Leicester Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. McCarthy	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
O. Aluko	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
C. Okoli	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
H. Souttar	90	0	2	1	1	2	0	7.2
S. Braybrooke	90	0	1	0	3	3	0	6.7
L. Thomas	77	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
W. Alves	55	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Bristrić	55	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
Wes Burns	54	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.5
L. Cullen	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
O. Skipp	29	0	0	0	0	1	R	5
H. Choudhury sub	56	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
H. Howell sub	36	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
T. Watson sub	35	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
B. De Cordova-Reid sub	35	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
L. Page sub	13	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9

Burton Albion Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Addai	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
T. Sibbick	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
F. Delap	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.5
C. Tilt	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
K. Lofthouse	90	0	1	0	0	3	1	Y	6.3
G. Evans	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
J. Armer	90	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	6.9
K. Chauke	90	1	0	1	1	1	5	0	8.2
C. Webster	90	0	0	6	3	1	3	0	6.3
M. Dennis	70	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
Sulyman Krubally	64	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.2
W. Collar sub	26	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
Emeka Adeile sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeicesterDDWWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Burton AlbionDDDLD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Leicester 2 · 0 draws · Burton Albion 0 · 3 goals/game

2023-08-09 Burton Albion 0–2 Leicester
2019-10-29 Burton Albion 1–3 Leicester

League standing · 2026/27

Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD

Burton Albion#15 pos17 pts14 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Leicester scored1.69

Burton Albion scored1.29

Leicester conceded1.46

Burton Albion conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Burton Albion?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Burton Albion was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Burton Albion?: In their last 2 meetings, Leicester won 2, Burton Albion won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Burton Albion?: Recent form — Leicester 2W 3D 0L; Burton Albion 0W 4D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.