LeicesterDoncaster

Leicester v Doncaster result

Full-time · Leicester 2–1 Doncaster

League One · · King Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leicester · Doncaster

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 2–1 Doncaster — Leicester won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Leicester beat Doncaster 2–1 at King Power Stadium in League One on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Leicester led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Leicester: John Lundstram (45’, assisted by W. O'Hora) and Kamari Doyle (61’, assisted by Luke Thomas); Doncaster: Alfie May (84’, assisted by Brandon Hanlan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with John Lundstram’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Leicester 1.76, Doncaster 0.60, from 15 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Leicester: Luke Thomas (17’); Doncaster: Alfie May (57’), John-Alan McGrath (59’) and Leon Ayinde (65’).

What it changes

Leicester move up from 15th to 12th (nine league matches played). Leicester have scored 12 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Leicester have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Doncaster move down from 14th to 17th (nine league matches played). Doncaster have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Doncaster have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luke Thomas (Leicester) 6.6, Kamari Doyle (Leicester) 6.0 and John Lundstram (Leicester) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Doncaster next travel to Kidderminster Harriers on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Kidderminster Harriers v Doncaster, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leicester 2–1 Doncaster · League One
  • Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester, Leicestershire
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Leicester 2W 1D 2L · Doncaster 2W 1D 2L

Leicester 2–1 Doncaster (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 6.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.25
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeicester for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 6.88 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. McCarthy789624 min192.7 /90142 /9000 /90
J. Stolarczyk393279 min92.9 /9031 /9000 /90
Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. McCarthy n 789.1
2.76/3
J. Stolarczyk n 892.1
24/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Thomas1090896 min191.9 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90434.3 /90101 /9010.1 /90
H. Souttar791639 min60.8 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90304.2 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
Jayden Joseph778543 min111.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90315.1 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
O. Aluko557285 min72.2 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90247.6 /9072.2 /9020.6 /90
C. Okoli489357 min41 /9041 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Thomas n 888.4
1.36/3
14/2
R. Gotts
S. Braybrooke n 876
15/2
1.26/2
O. Bailey
B. De Cordova-Reid n 854.5
0.21/0
14/1
—
Wes Burns n 845.9
26/2
1.76/1
—
L. Page n 880.1
1.15/2
2.28/5
R. Gotts
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
1.76/5
S. Braybrooke n 876
1.36/2
B. De Cordova-Reid n 854.5
0.62/1
Wes Burns n 845.9
0.52/0
L. Page n 880.1
0.72/2
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid957515 min00 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9030.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
Wes Burns945405 min10.2 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90
T. Watson747327 min00 /9000 /90102.8 /9051.4 /90113 /9041.1 /90
A. Bristrić549243 min00 /9000 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
H. Howell547233 min10.4 /9000 /9062.3 /9031.2 /9051.9 /90103.9 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Braybrooke n 876
1.35/2
0.94/2
B. De Cordova-Reid n 854.5
2.57/4
0.42/0
Wes Burns n 845.9
0.52/0
0.21/0
L. Page n 880.1
0.75/0
0.32/0
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
S. Braybrooke n 876
00/0
00/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 854.5
00/0
0.21/0
Wes Burns n 845.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Page n 880.1
00/0
0.42/1
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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Tommy Simkin890720 min202.5 /9060.8 /9000 /90
J. Clarke19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tommy Simkin n 890
2.56/4

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Byrne888707 min40.5 /9060.8 /9081 /90324.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Grehan880638 min91.3 /90101.4 /9060.8 /90375.2 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
J. McGrath785593 min60.9 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90446.7 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
Bayley McCann535176 min21 /9000 /9000 /90136.6 /9052.6 /9000 /90
B. McCann430118 min10.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9043.1 /9000 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. May n 883.5
0.11/0
1.58/3
—
R. Gotts n 885.9
1.47/3
38/7
L. Page
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.66/4
1.26/2
S. Braybrooke
J. Senior n 890
1.35/2
1.16/1
—
Tommy Simkin n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. May n 883.5
0.85/1
R. Gotts n 885.9
1.38/1
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.45/3
J. Senior n 890
2.87/6
N. Byrne n 888.4
0.54/0
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. May984758 min20.2 /9010.1 /90192.3 /90101.2 /90111.3 /9040.5 /90
B. Hanlan863500 min00 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9071.3 /9040.7 /90
L. Ayinde746322 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.7 /9030.8 /9082.2 /9020.6 /90
R. Gotts984752 min00 /9010.1 /9040.5 /9010.1 /9081 /9020.2 /90
O. Bailey983745 min10.1 /9000 /9081 /9030.4 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. May n 883.5
2.28/4
1.16/2
R. Gotts n 885.9
0.42/1
00/0
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.15/2
0.43/0
J. Senior n 890
0.94/1
0.63/1
Tommy Simkin n 890
00/0
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. May n 883.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Gotts n 885.9
00/0
00/0
O. Bailey n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Tommy Simkin n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeicesterDoncaster
54%Possession46%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.60
15Shots15
8Shots on target4
3Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
13Shots inside the box9
6Corners7
1Offsides0
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves6
457Passes393

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. McCarthy9000000006.9
L. Thomas90010042Y7.1
E. Riis9000434007
L. Page9000100006.2
C. Okoli9000000106.8
W. O'Hora9001002206.1
J. Lundstram9010110007.9
H. Souttar9000110006.1
W. Alves8900201106.6
K. Doyle7910221107.8
S. Braybrooke7100411006.4
C. Chaplin1900000106.6
L. Cullen1100000006.5
O. Aluko100000106.5

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. McGrath90003103Y6.2
A. May90104100Y5.9
R. Gotts9000100305.6
N. Byrne9000000206.6
O. Bailey9000111206.7
Tommy Simkin9000000006.6
S. Grehan8500100105.8
T. Nixon6900112006.3
G. Broadbent6900002106.1
L. Ayinde69000000Y5.9
I. Hutchinson5800200006.4
B. Hanlan3201001006.3
H. Adelakun2100201106.5
W. Keane2100000006.3
B. McCann2100001006
H. Clifton500000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeicesterWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
DoncasterDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD
Doncaster#20 pos12 pts13 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Leicester scored1.69
Doncaster scored1.08
Leicester conceded1.46
Doncaster conceded1.69

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Doncaster was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Leicester and Doncaster?
Recent form — Leicester 2W 1D 2L; Doncaster 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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