LutonOxford United

Luton v Oxford United prediction

League One · · Kenilworth Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Luton v Oxford United, League One on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Luton host Oxford United in League One on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Luton have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Luton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Luton have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Luton have scored 27 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Luton have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Oxford United have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38. Oxford United have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Oxford United have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Luton (fourth) and Oxford United (third) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Oxford United the stronger side, 73 rating points above Luton (Oxford United 1753, Luton 1680, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 January 2025, finished Oxford United 3–2 Luton.

Team news

Predicted Luton XI (4-1-4-1): J. Shea, M. Andersen, G. Johnston, I. Jones, K. Naismith, J. Donley, L. Walsh, K. Palmer, J. Clark, J. Richards, N. Wells — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Clark (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Jamie Donley (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Luton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Luton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Clark averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 762 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jamie Donley averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Oxford United XI (4-2-3-1): J. Cumming, M. Helik, J. Currie, C. Brown, P. Kioso, S. Dembélé, K. Andrews, C. Brannagan, T. Goodrham, L. Sibley, M. Harris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Dembélé (5.1 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Cameron Brannagan (3.6 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Oxford United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Oxford United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Dembélé averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Cameron Brannagan averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1157 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Kenilworth Road
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Luton 2 · draws 1 · Oxford United 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Luton 4W 1D 0L · Oxford United 3W 2D 0L

Luton v Oxford United (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 6.13
Corners
against 5.25 / 6.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 2.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLuton for / againstLineOxford United for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 3.38 against n 8

Luton

Luton Goalkeeper

Luton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Shea890720 min263.3 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Joshua Keeley890720 min172.1 /90141.8 /9000 /90
Luton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Shea n 890
3.26/5
Joshua Keeley n 890
2.15/1

Luton Defensive

Luton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Johnston16881408 min110.7 /90100.6 /90100.6 /90855.4 /9060.4 /9020.1 /90
I. Jones1565979 min282.6 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90706.4 /90121.1 /9010.1 /90
M. Andersen12901074 min90.8 /90181.5 /9050.4 /90715.9 /90151.3 /9020.2 /90
H. Odoffin1184928 min212 /90161.6 /9070.7 /90757.3 /9090.9 /9000 /90
K. Naismith1074737 min212.6 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90617.4 /9081 /9020.2 /90
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Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Johnston n 886
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
L. Walsh n 883.9
1.37/3
0.94/2
—
K. Palmer n 878.3
2.37/5
1.45/3
—
I. Jones n 867.5
13/2
2.55/5
—
J. Richards n 846.4
1.22/1
2.75/4
—
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
0.43/0
L. Walsh n 883.9
27/5
K. Palmer n 878.3
1.97/4
I. Jones n 867.5
3.57/6
J. Richards n 846.4
0.73/0
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Wells1557858 min80.8 /9020.2 /90293 /90171.8 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
C. Marshall1153578 min30.5 /9000 /90193 /9060.9 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
G. Kodua746322 min10.3 /9010.3 /9092.5 /9041.1 /9082.2 /9061.7 /90
S. Morris12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9014.1 /90
D. Cole11919 min14.7 /9000 /9014.7 /9014.7 /9014.7 /9000 /90
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Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
0.11/0
00/0
L. Walsh n 883.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Palmer n 878.3
2.27/5
0.74/1
I. Jones n 867.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Richards n 846.4
0.73/0
0.52/0
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
00/0
0.11/0
L. Walsh n 883.9
00/0
00/0
K. Palmer n 878.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
I. Jones n 867.5
00/0
00/0
J. Richards n 846.4
00/0
0.21/0
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Oxford United

Oxford United Goalkeeper

Oxford United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Cumming890723 min192.4 /9060.7 /9000 /90
S. Eastwood689531 min162.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Cumming n 890.4
2.45/4
S. Eastwood n 883.3
2.75/4

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brown13901175 min70.5 /9080.6 /90120.9 /90554.2 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Currie1280965 min413.8 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90797.4 /9080.7 /9020.2 /90
M. Helik1188967 min70.7 /90171.6 /9070.7 /90444.1 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
P. Kioso1169757 min151.8 /90111.3 /9030.4 /90546.4 /90111.3 /9040.5 /90
B. Spencer1167736 min242.9 /90111.3 /9050.6 /90657.9 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
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Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Dembélé n 885.3
1.57/3
2.88/7
—
M. Harris n 876.6
13/2
0.95/1
—
C. Brown n 890
00/0
0.85/1
—
C. Brannagan n 888.9
0.84/2
1.57/3
—
G. O'Donkor n 833.1
2.75/2
2.74/2
—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
0.85/1
M. Harris n 876.6
1.35/2
C. Brown n 890
0.63/2
C. Brannagan n 888.9
1.86/4
G. O'Donkor n 833.1
12/1
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Harris14801123 min60.5 /9010.1 /90191.5 /90121 /90100.8 /9030.2 /90
G. O'Donkor1331397 min40.9 /9020.5 /90153.4 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
L. Snowden22651 min00 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /90
A. Elliott-Wheeler12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /90
S. Dembélé14811137 min20.2 /9040.3 /90161.3 /9050.4 /90171.3 /90342.7 /90
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Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
1.36/2
0.43/0
M. Harris n 876.6
2.16/4
1.25/3
C. Brown n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
C. Brannagan n 888.9
2.36/5
0.94/2
G. O'Donkor n 833.1
4.48/3
1.44/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Dembélé n 885.3
0.11/0
0.43/0
M. Harris n 876.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Brown n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Brannagan n 888.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. O'Donkor n 833.1
0.72/0
0.31/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Luton v Oxford United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Oxford UnitedWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Luton 2 · 1 draw · Oxford United 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-01-21 Oxford United 3–2 Luton
  • 2024-10-01 Luton 2–2 Oxford United
  • 2019-05-04 Luton 3–1 Oxford United
  • 2018-10-02 Oxford United 1–2 Luton
League standing · 2026/27
Luton#4 pos24 pts14 pl+6 GD
Oxford United#3 pos26 pts13 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Luton scored1.93
Oxford United scored1.69
Luton conceded1.5
Oxford United conceded0.85

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Oxford United?
In their last 4 meetings, Luton won 2, Oxford United won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Oxford United?
Recent form — Luton 4W 1D 0L; Oxford United 3W 2D 0L.

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