Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient result

Full-time · Mansfield Town 4–1 Leyton Orient

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mansfield Town · Leyton Orient · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Mansfield Town 4–1 Leyton Orient — Mansfield Town won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total saves under 7.5.

Free pick
Total saves under 7.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mansfield Town beat Leyton Orient 4–1 in League One on Saturday 23 August. Mansfield Town have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mansfield Town led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Mansfield Town: Regan Hendry (15’, 29’), Will Evans (59’) and Luke Bolton (90’); Leyton Orient: Joshua Koroma (37’, assisted by O. O'Neill). Idris El Mizouni (62’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Regan Hendry’s goal on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Mansfield Town 0.00, Leyton Orient 0.00, from 18 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Brook showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mansfield Town: B. Cargill (42’) and Will Evans (50’); Leyton Orient: Idris El Mizouni (51’) and Idris El Mizouni (62’).

What it changes

Mansfield Town move up from 10th to seventh (five league matches played).

Leyton Orient move down from ninth to 13th (five league matches played).

It is Mansfield Town’s first win over Leyton Orient since 29 January 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Mansfield Town’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 5, across 12 matches. Mansfield Town have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Regan Hendry (Mansfield Town) 10.8, Jamie Carson McDonnell (Mansfield Town) 6.9 and Jordan Bowery (Mansfield Town) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total saves under 7.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Mansfield Town next travel to AFC Wimbledon on 20 October 2026.

Leyton Orient next travel to Reading on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mansfield Town: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Leyton Orient: Reading v Leyton Orient, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mansfield Town 4–1 Leyton Orient · League One
  • Referee: C. Brook
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Mansfield Town 1 · draws 1 · Leyton Orient 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mansfield Town 3W 0D 2L · Leyton Orient 2W 1D 2L

Mansfield Town 4–1 Leyton Orient (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 4.75
Corners
against 4.29 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · C. Brook
1.57 home / 2.43 away
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMansfield Town for / againstLineLeyton Orient for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 11 against n 7
19.5standard
13.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.29 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: C. Brook — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.21 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 14 matches (1.57 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Baccus n 878.5
2.66/5
16/1
—
L. Bolton n 834.5
2.64/3
0.72/0
—
R. Oates n 831.9
2.14/1
1.44/0
—
N. Moriah-Welsh n 827.9
24/1
0.82/0
—
D. Dwyer n 844.8
1.85/2
25/2
—
Mansfield Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Oates n 831.9
3.56/2
1.43/1
W. Evans n 867.1
2.28/5
1.26/1
S. McLaughlin n 857.9
1.67/1
1.26/0
A. Lewis n 852.4
1.55/2
0.62/1
G. Maris n 857.3
1.44/2
0.41/1
Mansfield Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Dwyer n 844.8
0.31/0
0.52/0
W. Evans n 867.1
0.73/1
00/0
S. McLaughlin n 857.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
Caylan Vickers n 872
0.32/0
0.21/0
L. Reed n 884.4
00/0
0.43/0
Mansfield Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jamie Carson McDonnell n 873.4
4.17/6
A. Lewis n 852.4
2.86/3
N. Moriah-Welsh n 827.9
2.85/1
L. Reed n 884.4
2.46/5
A. Oshilaja n 883.5
2.38/6
Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. El Mizouni n 840
2.54/2
0.31/0
—
A. Abdulai n 837.4
2.44/2
1.85/1
—
S. Clare n 873.5
2.15/4
1.46/3
—
O. Beckles n 892.8
1.98/6
0.74/2
—
C. Kelman n 868.5
1.55/2
15/1
—
Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Connolly n 869.1
2.45/3
0.83/1
D. Jaiyesimi n 841.5
2.24/3
0.83/0
J. Koroma n 878.4
27/4
1.46/2
D. Agyei n 860.5
1.95/3
0.93/1
C. Kelman n 868.5
1.54/3
14/2
Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Koroma n 878.4
0.96/0
00/0
O. O'Neill n 863
0.42/0
0.42/0
D. Agyei n 860.5
0.41/1
0.42/0
E. Galbraith n 890.4
0.11/0
0.43/0
C. Kelman n 868.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Currie n 850.6
3.86/4
J. Donley n 875.4
3.47/7
M. Craig n 870.3
2.77/6
I. El Mizouni n 840
2.55/2
R. Edmonds-Green n 891.9
2.38/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mansfield TownLeyton Orient
45%Possession55%
18Shots8
5Shots on target3
8Shots off target0
5Blocked shots5
13Shots inside the box5
7Corners7
0Offsides1
7Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
2Saves1
347Passes426
69%Pass accuracy78%

Mansfield Town player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Roberts9000000006.6
K. Knoyle9000103107.2
J. Bowery9000000308.2
Jamie Carson McDonnell9000300607.7
L. Reed9000001406.2
W. Evans90104101Y6.6
Max Dickov8000000006.6
B. Cargill72000001Y6.6
R. Hendry7220331009.3
F. Blake-Tracy6300001107
N. Moriah-Welsh6300000106.9
L. Bolton sub2810211007.9
S. McLaughlin sub2800001006.6
R. Sweeney sub1900000006.9
G. Maris sub1900001007.2
A. Lewis sub1100001006.9

Leyton Orient player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tommy Simkin9000000005.9
O. Beckles9000000106.2
T. Bakinson9000000006.7
O. O'Neill9001002205.5
A. Connolly9000220006
J. Koroma7010110107.3
I. El Mizouni62000003RY5.5
M. Craig5700000005.6
D. Happe5700001106.7
T. Adaramola5700000006.3
J. Moorhouse5700001006.2
T. James sub3400000106.5
J. Simpson sub3400001006.7
D. Mitchell sub3400000307.3
A. Abdulai sub3400000006
J. White sub2100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Mansfield TownLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Leyton OrientLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Mansfield Town 1 · 1 draw · Leyton Orient 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-04-08 Mansfield Town 2–3 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-02-11 Leyton Orient 3–0 Mansfield Town
  • 2023-04-25 Mansfield Town 1–2 Leyton Orient
  • 2022-08-13 Leyton Orient 1–0 Mansfield Town
  • 2022-01-29 Mansfield Town 2–0 Leyton Orient
  • 2021-09-25 Leyton Orient 0–0 Mansfield Town
League standing · 2025/26
Mansfield Town#10 pos65 pts46 pl+12 GD
Leyton Orient#20 pos52 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Mansfield Town scored1.35
Leyton Orient scored1.28
Mansfield Town conceded1.09
Leyton Orient conceded1.54

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient was Total saves under 7.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Mansfield Town and Leyton Orient?
In their last 6 meetings, Mansfield Town won 1, Leyton Orient won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mansfield Town and Leyton Orient?
Recent form — Mansfield Town 3W 0D 2L; Leyton Orient 2W 1D 2L.

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