This Matchweek

Milton Keynes DonsLeicester

Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester result

Full-time · Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester

League One · · Stadium MK

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester drew 0–0 at Stadium MK in League One on Saturday 29 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Leicester out-shot Milton Keynes Dons 24 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.53 xG to 0.57 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

T. Parsons showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leicester: Luke Thomas (48’), Harry Souttar (80’) and Liam Cullen (90+2’).

What it changes

Milton Keynes Dons move down from 10th to 11th (shared) (three league matches played).

Leicester stay 17th after this result (three league matches played).

It was the only goalless draw of round 3, across 12 matches. Milton Keynes Dons are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Leicester are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Craig MacGillivray (Milton Keynes Dons) 6.1, Thomas Watson (Leicester) 4.1 and Samuel Braybrooke (Leicester) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Milton Keynes Dons next host Burton Albion on 14 November 2026.

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester · League One
  • Venue: Stadium MK · Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
  • Referee: T. Parsons
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Milton Keynes Dons 0 · draws 0 · Leicester 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L · Leicester 2W 1D 2L

Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Leicester (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · T. Parsons
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMilton Keynes Dons for / againstLineLeicester for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: T. Parsons — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Goalkeeper

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. MacGillivray393279 min103.2 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
3.17/4

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Nelson393279 min92.9 /9082.6 /9041.3 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
C. Goode389267 min51.7 /9072.4 /9031 /90268.8 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
M. Ekpiteta378234 min62.3 /9041.5 /9051.9 /90207.7 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
C. Bramall393279 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90113.5 /9020.6 /9000 /90
R. Wintle393279 min51.6 /9000 /9010.3 /90134.2 /9010.3 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.97/0
0.32/0
L. Thomas
C. Bramall n 393
0.61/1
0.31/0
L. Thomas
R. Wintle n 393
0.31/0
0.61/1
—
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
C. Goode n 389
1.33/1
2.43/2
L. Thomas
See more players · Pro
Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Nelson n 888.3
1.87/4
R. Wintle n 393
1.63/2
C. Bramall n 393
1.33/1
C. Goode n 389
1.73/1
B. Wiles n 888.1
0.84/2
See more players · Pro

Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Nombe381242 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9000 /9000 /9020.7 /90
A. Collins361183 min21 /9000 /9073.4 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
C. Paterson335106 min00 /9000 /9043.4 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Mendez-Laing23978 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
S. Silvera14242 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 393
1.63/1
13/0
C. Bramall n 393
12/1
0.62/0
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.64/1
0.32/0
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Goode n 389
1.32/1
0.31/0
See more players · Pro
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Wintle n 393
0.31/0
0.31/0
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Bramall n 393
00/0
00/0
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Goode n 389
0.31/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Stolarczyk295189 min83.8 /9031.4 /9000 /90
A. McCarthy290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Stolarczyk n 892.1
2.15/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Thomas489356 min61.5 /9041 /9030.8 /90164 /9020.5 /9000 /90
C. Okoli393279 min41.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
H. Souttar393279 min20.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9092.9 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Jayden Joseph364192 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /9083.8 /9020.9 /9000 /90
O. Aluko282164 min21.1 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90105.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Braybrooke n 577
1.63/3
0.93/1
—
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.93/3
1.97/5
C. Goode
L. Cullen n 458.5
00/0
0.82/0
—
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.8
1.63/2
0.84/0
—
T. Watson n 445.8
23/1
1.53/0
—
See more players · Pro
Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 577
1.64/2
L. Thomas n 889.5
1.66/5
L. Cullen n 458.5
0.41/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.8
0.21/0
T. Watson n 445.8
1.52/1
See more players · Pro

Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid454214 min00 /9010.4 /9052.1 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9000 /90
T. Watson446183 min00 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
Wes Burns445178 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Bristrić258116 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
S. Braybrooke492369 min00 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9000 /9071.7 /9041 /90
See more players · Pro
Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 577
0.73/0
00/0
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Cullen n 458.5
00/0
00/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.8
1.45/2
0.84/0
T. Watson n 445.8
2.53/1
11/1
See more players · Pro
Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Braybrooke n 577
00/0
0.21/0
L. Thomas n 889.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Cullen n 458.5
00/0
00/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.8
00/0
0.42/0
T. Watson n 445.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
24%Possession76%
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.53
7Shots24
1Shots on target7
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots8
6Shots inside the box11
4Corners9
1Offsides1
9Fouls6
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
7Saves1
197Passes643
65%Pass accuracy89%

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. MacGillivray9000000009.5
R. Wintle9000200106.7
S. Nombe9000102106.7
C. Nelson9000001107.3
M. Ekpiteta9000100106.9
C. Bramall9000000106.7
C. Goode8100000006.9
D. Barlaser8000000207.3
B. Wiles7100100206.7
G. Jones5600000106.7
A. Collins5600001006.3
C. Paterson sub3400000106.7
R. Barnett sub3400001007.3
A. Gilbey sub1900110106.5
S. Silvera sub1000000006.3
J. Sanders sub900000006.7

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Thomas90000002Y7.3
H. Souttar90000021Y8.5
L. Page9000101207.2
C. McFarlane9000002107.3
Jayden Joseph9000310207.6
S. Braybrooke9000423106.6
J. Stolarczyk9000000007.2
T. Watson8200323106.7
B. De Cordova-Reid8200201206.3
Wes Burns6000001106.3
C. Chaplin3600001006.2
A. Bristrić sub5400111006.7
H. Howell sub3000101006.9
W. Alves sub800002006.9
L. Cullen sub8001100Y6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
LeicesterWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Milton Keynes Dons 0 · 0 draws · Leicester 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-12-20 Milton Keynes Dons 0–3 Leicester
League standing · 2026/27
Milton Keynes Dons#12 pos18 pts13 pl+2 GD
Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Milton Keynes Dons scored1.69
Leicester scored1.69
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.54
Leicester conceded1.46

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Leicester was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester?
In their last 1 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 0, Leicester won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester?
Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L; Leicester 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+