Notts County v Leicester result

Full-time · Notts County 1–1 Leicester

League One · Sat, 15 Aug 2026 12:30 BST · Meadow Lane

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Notts County · Leicester

The model’s pre-match pick

Notts County 1–1 Leicester — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County and Leicester drew 1–1 at Meadow Lane in League One on Saturday 15 August. Notts County are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Leicester are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Leicester: Jayden Joseph (62’, assisted by Samuel Braybrooke); Notts County: Conor Grant (81’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Conor Grant’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Notts County out-shot Leicester 16 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 0.78 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed three yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Notts County: Jack Evans (15’) and James Gibbons (43’); Leicester: William Alves (44’).

What it changes

Notts County are first (shared) after this result (one league match played). Notts County have scored 13 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Leicester are first (shared) after this result (one league match played). Leicester have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Leicester have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Leicester have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jayden Joseph (Leicester) 6.3, Conor Grant (Notts County) 5.9 and Oliver Cooper (Notts County) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Notts County or Leicester (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Notts County next travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026.

Leicester next travel to Oxford City on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Notts County: Altrincham v Notts County, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leicester: Oxford City v Leicester, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Notts County 1–1 Leicester · League One
Venue: Meadow Lane · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Referee: E. Duckworth
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Notts County 2W 3D 0L · Leicester 2W 2D 1L

Notts County 1–1 Leicester (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.29 / 8.13

Corners

against 4.57 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 2.86 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.71 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3 yellows

Referee · E. Duckworth

21.45 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Notts County for / against	Line	Leicester for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	8.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.86 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.13 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.86 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: E. Duckworth — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Stolarczyk	1	9999 min	21.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	1.5 4/2

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Okoli	1	9999 min	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
H. Souttar	1	9999 min	00 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Thomas	1	9999 min	32.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	54.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Jayden Joseph	1	8686 min	11 /90	33.1 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
O. Skipp	1	9999 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Skipp n 8	75	1.2 6/2	0.5 3/0	—
L. Thomas n 8	92.1	1 4/3	1.8 7/5	—
C. Okoli n 8	90.4	0.5 3/1	0.2 2/0	—
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.4 2/1	0 0/0	—
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
See more players · Pro

Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Skipp n 8	75	2.3 8/3
L. Thomas n 8	92.1	2 7/5
C. Okoli n 8	90.4	1 4/2
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.9 5/2
B. De Cordova-Reid n 8	49.3	0.5 2/0
See more players · Pro

Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid	1	7979 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Wes Burns	1	3838 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
O. Skipp	1	9999 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
S. Braybrooke	1	9999 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	21.8 /90
L. Cullen	1	8787 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Okoli n 8	90.4	1 5/2	0.5 3/1
L. Thomas n 8	92.1	0.9 4/2	0.4 3/0
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
O. Skipp n 8	75	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Thomas n 8	92.1	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0
C. Okoli n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Souttar n 8	90.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Skipp n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Notts County		Leicester
31%	Possession	69%
2.27	Expected goals (xG)	0.78
16	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	2
12	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	4
11	Shots inside the box	8
3	Corners	5
3	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	1
277	Passes	638
71%	Pass accuracy	88%

Notts County Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Belshaw	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Nicholas Tsaroulla	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
J. Gibbons	90	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.2
L. Ness	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	7
J. Bedeau	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Lipsiuc	90	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.7
O. Cooper	90	0	1	0	1	7	0	7.2
D. Campbell	83	0	1	0	2	3	0	6.9
J. Evans	67	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6
L. Smyth	67	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
C. Roberts	67	0	4	1	1	0	0	6.9
H. Mustapha sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Acquah sub	23	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. Grant sub	23	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.9
S. Robertson sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Leicester Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. McCarthy	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Jayden Joseph	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.9
C. Okoli	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.3
H. Souttar	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Thomas	90	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	7.2
O. Skipp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Braybrooke	90	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	6.9
L. Cullen	84	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
W. Alves	77	0	0	1	0	2	0	Y	7.2
B. De Cordova-Reid	71	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	5.9
Wes Burns	70	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
T. Watson sub	20	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Choudhury sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
H. Howell sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
A. Bristrić sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Leicester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Notts CountyDWDWD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

LeicesterLDDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Notts County#17 pos14 pts12 pl-1 GD

Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Notts County scored1.08

Leicester scored1.69

Notts County conceded1.17

Leicester conceded1.46

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Notts County v Leicester?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Leicester was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Leicester?: Recent form — Notts County 2W 3D 0L; Leicester 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.