Notts CountyOxford United

Notts County v Oxford United result

Full-time · Notts County 1–2 Oxford United

League One · · Meadow Lane

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Notts County · Oxford United

The model’s pre-match pick

Notts County 1–2 Oxford United — Oxford United won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home fouls total over 9.5.

Free pick
Home fouls total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Oxford United won 2–1 at Meadow Lane in League One on Saturday 10 October. Oxford United have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Oxford United led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Oxford United: Mark Harris (18’) and Cameron Brannagan (88’, assisted by Luka Lynch); Notts County: Rory Finneran (90’, assisted by Nicholas Tsaroulla).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mark Harris’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Notts County 0.56, Oxford United 1.35, from 9 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Notts County: Rodney McDonald (7’), Oliver Cooper (23’), M. Sanders (47’), Jacob Bedeau (58’), Rory Finneran (70’) and Lucas Ness (77’); Oxford United: Louie Sibley (44’), Peter Kioso (82’) and Michał Helik (87’).

What it changes

Notts County move down from 19th to 20th (eight league matches played). Notts County have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 11 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Oxford United move up from sixth to fourth (seven league matches played). Oxford United have scored 15 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Oxford United have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Notts County are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Oxford United are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ishé Samuels-Smith (Notts County) 10.8, Cameron Brannagan (Oxford United) 9.2 and Mark Harris (Oxford United) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Notts County fouls total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.

Oxford United next travel to Peterborough on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Oxford United: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Notts County 1–2 Oxford United · League One
  • Venue: Meadow Lane · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
  • Referee: Carl Brook
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Notts County 1W 2D 2L · Oxford United 3W 1D 1L

Notts County 1–2 Oxford United (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.43 / 3.63
Corners
against 5 / 8 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.86 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNotts County for / againstLineOxford United for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
3.63 for · 8 against n 8
Shots
12.29 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
9.75 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.29 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.71 for · 14.29 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Carl Brook.

Notts County

Notts County Goalkeeper

Notts County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Belshaw690540 min111.8 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Notts County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Belshaw n 890
2.15/2

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Bedeau790630 min71 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90233.3 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
L. Ness790630 min60.9 /9091.3 /9091.3 /90365.1 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Gibbons789621 min50.7 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
I. Samuels-Smith21733 min38.2 /9000 /9000 /90513.6 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Baker13434 min00 /9012.6 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ness n 890
1.67/5
0.83/2
—
J. Bedeau n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
—
J. Gibbons n 788.7
0.43/0
0.32/0
—
O. Cooper n 785.1
26/4
2.66/6
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 885.4
0.73/1
1.67/3
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 890
1.15/3
L. Ness n 890
0.95/2
J. Gibbons n 788.7
0.73/2
O. Cooper n 785.1
3.97/7
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 885.4
1.35/5
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Cooper785596 min30.5 /9000 /9091.4 /9050.8 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90
L. Smyth754380 min20.5 /9000 /9092.1 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90
H. Mustapha749342 min00 /9000 /9041.1 /9020.5 /9071.8 /90102.6 /90
C. Roberts655331 min10.3 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9092.4 /9010.3 /90
D. Kanu446184 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /90
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Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ness n 890
0.86/0
0.11/0
J. Bedeau n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Gibbons n 788.7
0.32/0
00/0
O. Cooper n 785.1
1.47/2
0.85/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 885.4
1.14/2
0.11/0
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ness n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bedeau n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Gibbons n 788.7
00/0
00/0
O. Cooper n 785.1
0.53/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 885.4
00/0
0.32/0
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Oxford United

Oxford United Goalkeeper

Oxford United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Eastwood588441 min132.7 /9051 /9000 /90
J. Cumming293185 min52.4 /9041.9 /9000 /90
Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Eastwood n 883.3
2.65/3
J. Cumming n 890.6
2.65/4

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brown791635 min40.6 /9030.4 /9071 /90294.1 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Currie680482 min234.3 /9020.4 /9040.7 /90397.3 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
B. Spencer668405 min122.7 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90327.1 /9030.7 /9000 /90
P. Kioso570350 min102.6 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90297.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
M. Helik490360 min30.8 /9041 /9041 /90153.8 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
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Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brown n 890.6
00/0
0.94/2
—
C. Brannagan n 887.5
0.54/0
0.94/2
—
M. Harris n 876.4
2.28/5
1.55/3
—
S. Dembélé n 876.5
1.36/2
2.97/6
—
G. O'Donkor n 827.8
3.67/2
5.78/4
—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brown n 890.6
0.64/1
C. Brannagan n 887.5
14/2
M. Harris n 876.4
14/2
S. Dembélé n 876.5
2.45/4
G. O'Donkor n 827.8
1.63/1
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Harris783580 min30.5 /9010.2 /9071.1 /9050.8 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
G. O'Donkor728193 min31.4 /9010.5 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90
T. Goodrham647282 min00 /9010.3 /9072.2 /9051.6 /90103.2 /9031 /90
L. Lynch23161 min00 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /90
L. Snowden12727 min00 /9013.3 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /9000 /90
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Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brown n 890.6
0.22/0
0.22/0
C. Brannagan n 887.5
0.64/1
0.42/1
M. Harris n 876.4
1.26/2
0.95/1
S. Dembélé n 876.5
15/2
0.42/1
G. O'Donkor n 827.8
2.45/1
1.64/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brown n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
C. Brannagan n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
M. Harris n 876.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Dembélé n 876.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. O'Donkor n 827.8
1.23/0
0.41/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Notts CountyOxford United
50%Possession50%
0.56Expected goals (xG)1.35
9Shots13
3Shots on target5
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
2Shots inside the box5
5Corners4
2Offsides0
18Fouls11
6Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
401Passes408
76%Pass accuracy78%

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Roberts9000220207.3
J. Bedeau90000002Y5.9
D. Kanu9000100206.5
R. McDonald90000001Y6
L. Ness90000004Y6.9
I. Samuels-Smith90000021007.5
J. Belshaw9000000004.9
C. Grant6500001206.9
O. Cooper45000010Y6.2
J. Gibbons4500100006.5
M. Palmer4500000106.7
Rory Finneran sub45101121Y7.3
M. Sanders sub45000011Y6.2
Nicholas Tsaroulla sub4501002006.9
L. Smyth sub2500100106.5

Oxford United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brannagan9010332309.2
C. Brown9000000006.9
M. Harris9010110307.7
M. Helik90000000Y6.9
P. Kioso90000003Y6.9
J. Cumming9000000006.7
J. Currie7600000307
S. Dembélé7600102106.9
T. Goodrham6600212006.3
M. Missanga6600001206.2
L. Sibley58001001Y6.6
Kai Andrews sub3200000006.5
G. O'Donkor sub2400101206.7
L. Snowden sub2400000106.6
L. Lynch sub1401001006.9
B. Spencer sub1400000206.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Oxford United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Notts CountyWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Oxford UnitedWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Notts County#17 pos14 pts12 pl-1 GD
Oxford United#3 pos26 pts13 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Notts County scored1.08
Oxford United scored1.69
Notts County conceded1.17
Oxford United conceded0.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Notts County v Oxford United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Oxford United was Home fouls total over 9.5.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Oxford United?
Recent form — Notts County 1W 2D 2L; Oxford United 3W 1D 1L.

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