PlymouthAFC Wimbledon

Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon result

Full-time · Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon

League One · · Home Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Plymouth · AFC Wimbledon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon — Plymouth won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Plymouth beat AFC Wimbledon 2–1 at Home Park in League One on Saturday 10 October.

AFC Wimbledon have scored nine goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — AFC Wimbledon: Jayden Stockley (16’, assisted by Callum Maycock); Plymouth: Caleb Watts (25’) and Xavier Amaechi (90’, assisted by Alex Hartridge).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Xavier Amaechi’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Plymouth 1.72, AFC Wimbledon 0.98, from 18 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Plymouth: Matthew Sorinola (90+6’).

What it changes

Plymouth stay first after this result (10 league matches played). Plymouth have scored 21 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Plymouth have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

AFC Wimbledon move down from sixth to 10th (nine league matches played). AFC Wimbledon have conceded 21 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Steven Seddon (AFC Wimbledon) 7.2, Jayden Stockley (AFC Wimbledon) 6.9 and Caleb Watts (Plymouth) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Plymouth to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Plymouth next host Alvechurch on 7 November 2026.

AFC Wimbledon next travel to Crewe on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Plymouth: Plymouth v Alvechurch, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: Crewe v AFC Wimbledon, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon · League One
  • Venue: Home Park · Plymouth
  • Referee: Stephen Parkinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Plymouth 4 · draws 1 · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Plymouth 4W 0D 1L · AFC Wimbledon 2W 2D 1L

Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 5 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePlymouth for / againstLineAFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Stephen Parkinson.

Plymouth

Plymouth Goalkeeper

Plymouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney1091906 min171.7 /9080.8 /9000 /90
M. Cooper390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
James Storer19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
1.95/3
M. Cooper n 390
1.31/1

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Harding1190990 min151.4 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90413.7 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
A. Mitchell1076764 min101.2 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90516 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Julio Pleguezuelo967605 min91.3 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90365.4 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Sorinola958519 min111.9 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90325.5 /90172.9 /9000 /90
M. Ross863504 min101.8 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90447.9 /90122.1 /9030.5 /90
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Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Harding n 890
0.83/2
0.64/1
S. Seddon
H. White n 886.1
0.94/2
0.74/1
M. Hippolyte
W. Evans n 880.8
2.28/6
0.85/1
J. Stockley
A. Pepple n 874
1.56/4
1.77/3
—
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
1.56/3
H. White n 886.1
1.24/3
W. Evans n 880.8
2.16/4
A. Pepple n 874
0.62/2
R. Curtis n 875.9
1.56/4
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Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Evans1182897 min30.3 /9000 /90171.7 /9080.8 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
A. Pepple1179868 min50.5 /9000 /90222.3 /90101 /90121.2 /9060.6 /90
X. Amaechi742293 min20.6 /9000 /9061.8 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
Owen Oseni22345 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
A. Pepple18484 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
0.11/0
00/0
H. White n 886.1
27/6
0.95/2
W. Evans n 880.8
1.57/4
0.75/0
A. Pepple n 874
2.67/4
1.16/1
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
00/0
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Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Harding n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 886.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
W. Evans n 880.8
0.32/0
00/0
A. Pepple n 874
0.64/0
00/0
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
00/0
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AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Goalkeeper

AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bursik490360 min174.3 /9000 /9000 /90
J. McDonnell390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
N. Bishop290180 min52.5 /9063 /9000 /90
AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bursik n 490
4.34/2
J. McDonnell n 890
2.96/5
N. Bishop n 890
3.67/6

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Sweeney883664 min131.8 /90162.2 /90101.4 /90598 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
I. Ogundere789626 min142 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90314.5 /9040.6 /9000 /90
R. Johnson787608 min40.6 /9071 /9071 /90304.4 /9071 /9020.3 /90
S. Sessegnon658345 min51.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9082.1 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
A. Yiadom473290 min123.7 /9072.2 /9030.9 /90216.5 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
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AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Seddon n 890
1.34/3
0.94/1
W. Harding
A. Smith n 890
1.15/3
1.36/3
—
J. Stockley n 880.3
2.47/6
2.26/4
W. Evans
M. Hippolyte n 885.1
1.27/2
1.55/3
H. White
D. Sweeney n 883
1.46/2
0.93/3
—
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AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Seddon n 890
1.16/3
A. Smith n 890
1.96/5
J. Stockley n 880.3
0.64/0
M. Hippolyte n 885.1
1.36/4
D. Sweeney n 883
1.87/5
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Stockley976687 min30.4 /9010.1 /90222.9 /9070.9 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
A. Sasu660362 min00 /9000 /9030.7 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
Donnell McNeilly431125 min00 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9053.6 /9010.7 /90
M. Browne290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Junior Nkeng12323 min00 /9000 /9013.9 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /90
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AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Seddon n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Smith n 890
0.43/0
00/0
J. Stockley n 880.3
2.88/6
14/3
M. Hippolyte n 885.1
1.15/3
0.43/0
D. Sweeney n 883
0.84/1
0.32/0
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AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Seddon n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Stockley n 880.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Hippolyte n 885.1
0.43/0
00/0
D. Sweeney n 883
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PlymouthAFC Wimbledon
55%Possession45%
1.72Expected goals (xG)0.98
18Shots14
8Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box10
4Corners9
4Offsides0
10Fouls15
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves6
378Passes305

Plymouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Curtis9000211006
M. Mahoney9000000006.7
H. White9000312006.3
M. Ross9000101306.2
A. Mitchell9000100006.6
B. Ibrahim9000100406.1
W. Evans9000211006.1
W. Harding7800000106.5
C. Watts7710321107.7
O. Irow6500322106.4
M. Sorinola60000023Y5.8
J. Edwards3000000206.8
X. Amaechi2510111007.5
T. Bakinson1300100006.4
A. Hartridge1201001106.7

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stockley9010222008
A. Yiadom9000110305.9
A. Smith9000000205.8
S. Seddon9000004506.8
R. Johnson9000000006.2
M. Hippolyte9000200106
J. Bursik9000000006.6
A. Sasu8900313107.6
O. Harrison7700111106.3
C. Maycock7601101006.3
F. Simmonds7300201105.6
I. Ogundere1700000006.1
M. Browne1400100006
Z. Nelson1300001006.1
S. Sessegnon100100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlymouthWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
AFC WimbledonLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Plymouth 4 · 1 draw · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth
  • 2025-10-18 Plymouth 1–2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2022-03-08 Plymouth 2–0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2021-09-18 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Plymouth
  • 2021-04-02 Plymouth 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2020-09-19 AFC Wimbledon 4–4 Plymouth
League standing · 2026/27
Plymouth#5 pos23 pts14 pl+2 GD
AFC Wimbledon#18 pos13 pts13 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Plymouth scored1.5
AFC Wimbledon scored0.69
Plymouth conceded1.36
AFC Wimbledon conceded1.62

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon was Home win (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon?
In their last 6 meetings, Plymouth won 4, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon?
Recent form — Plymouth 4W 0D 1L; AFC Wimbledon 2W 2D 1L.

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