ReadingPort Vale

Reading v Port Vale result

Full-time · Reading 1–0 Port Vale

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Reading · Port Vale

The model’s pre-match pick

Reading 1–0 Port Vale — Reading won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total over 9.5.

Free pick
Away shots total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Reading beat Port Vale 1–0 in League One on Saturday 30 August. Reading have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Reading: Patrick Lane (66’, assisted by Daniel Kyerewaa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patrick Lane’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Reading 0.00, Port Vale 0.00, from 11 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Thomas Parsons, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Reading: Matthew Jacob (45+6’) and Ashqar Ahmed (74’); Port Vale: B. Heneghan (47’) and Ryan Croasdale (56’).

What it changes

Reading move up from 23rd to 17th (six league matches played). Reading have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Reading have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Port Vale move down from 21st to 23rd (six league matches played). Port Vale have scored 36 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Port Vale have conceded 61 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Reading are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Kyerewaa (Reading) 5.1, George Byers (Port Vale) 5.1 and Patrick Lane (Reading) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Port Vale shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Reading next travel to Stockport County on 14 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Accrington ST on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Reading: Stockport County v Reading, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Reading 1–0 Port Vale · League One
  • Referee: Thomas Parsons, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Reading 1 · draws 0 · Port Vale 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Reading 2W 2D 1L · Port Vale 2W 1D 2L

Reading 1–0 Port Vale (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.17 yellows
Referee · Thomas Parsons, England
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReading for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Thomas Parsons, England — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Reading

Reading Defensive

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mark O’Mahony n 755.3
1.64/2
1.44/2
—
Mamadi Camará n 848.5
1.45/1
1.94/3
—
F. Burns n 690
0.83/1
0.53/0
C. Humphreys
C. Savage n 880.8
0.84/2
0.11/0
R. Croasdale
K. Abrefa n 865.8
15/1
16/0
—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mark O’Mahony n 755.3
0.94/0
Mamadi Camará n 848.5
0.93/1
F. Burns n 690
35/4
C. Savage n 880.8
26/4
K. Abrefa n 865.8
2.25/4
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mark O’Mahony n 755.3
0.93/1
0.72/1
Mamadi Camará n 848.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
F. Burns n 690
0.32/0
00/0
C. Savage n 880.8
15/2
0.43/0
K. Abrefa n 865.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mark O’Mahony n 755.3
00/0
00/0
Mamadi Camará n 848.5
0.52/0
00/0
F. Burns n 690
00/0
00/0
C. Savage n 880.8
00/0
0.11/0
K. Abrefa n 865.8
00/0
0.32/0
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Port Vale

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Croasdale n 865.6
0.73/1
0.94/1
C. Savage
C. Humphreys n 682.5
0.74/0
0.21/0
F. Burns
J. Debrah n 883
0.73/1
1.15/3
—
M. Clark n 879.4
0.73/2
00/0
—
L. Gordon n 666.3
0.73/0
1.64/3
—
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Croasdale n 865.6
2.15/3
C. Humphreys n 682.5
0.92/1
J. Debrah n 883
0.95/1
M. Clark n 879.4
1.34/3
L. Gordon n 666.3
1.64/2
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Croasdale n 865.6
15/1
0.21/0
C. Humphreys n 682.5
0.41/1
00/0
J. Debrah n 883
0.52/1
00/0
M. Clark n 879.4
0.75/0
00/0
L. Gordon n 666.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Croasdale n 865.6
00/0
0.21/0
C. Humphreys n 682.5
00/0
00/0
J. Debrah n 883
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 879.4
00/0
00/0
L. Gordon n 666.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ReadingPort Vale
48%Possession52%
11Shots14
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box11
2Corners6
1Offsides4
12Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves5
388Passes395
78%Pass accuracy77%

Reading Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joel Pereira9000000008.3
F. Burns9000000306.9
D. Williams9000001007.2
M. Jacob90000012Y7.6
L. Wing9000101207.5
D. Kyerewaa9001201006.9
C. Savage8200002206.6
A. Ahmed81000012Y6.9
P. Lane7410330007.3
B. Elliott6200110006
Mark O’Mahony6200001106.2
K. Doyle sub2800211006.9
J. Marriott sub2800001006.2
Mamadi Camará sub1600000106.6
J. Dorsett sub900000006.9
L. Fraser sub800000106.6

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gauci9000000007
J. Debrah9000000106.5
C. Humphreys9000000006.9
R. Walters9000100406.9
J. Headley9000000407.9
R. Curtis9000331007.2
B. Heneghan71001010Y6.3
G. Byers7100000507
M. Clark6300000106.9
M. Faal5700000006.5
R. Croasdale56000021Y6.7
F. Ojo sub3400103107.2
D. Brown sub3300201006.3
K. John sub2700002106.3
J. Shipley sub1900000006.9
B. Waine sub1900100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Reading v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ReadingWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Port ValeWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Reading 1 · 0 draws · Port Vale 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2024-02-20 Reading 2–0 Port Vale
  • 2023-08-12 Port Vale 1–0 Reading
League standing · 2025/26
Reading#12 pos63 pts46 pl+4 GD
Port Vale#22 pos42 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Reading scored1.39
Port Vale scored0.78
Reading conceded1.3
Port Vale conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Reading v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Reading v Port Vale was Away shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Reading and Port Vale?
In their last 2 meetings, Reading won 1, Port Vale won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Reading and Port Vale?
Recent form — Reading 2W 2D 1L; Port Vale 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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