Stevenage v Lincoln result
Team pages: Stevenage · Lincoln · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Stevenage and Lincoln drew 2–2 in League One on Saturday 18 April. Lincoln are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.
The goals
Stevenage led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Stevenage: Louis Thompson (3’, assisted by Carl Piergianni) and Jamie Reid (27’, assisted by Daniel Kemp); Lincoln: Tendayi Darikwa (17’) and Robert Street (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Robert Street’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Stevenage 0.89, Lincoln 0.81, from 6 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
N. Hair showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stevenage: M. Phillips (45+2’); Lincoln: Sonny Bradley (44’), Ivan Varfolomeev (51’) and Robert Street (90+5’).
What it changes
Stevenage stay sixth after this result (43 league matches played). Stevenage have scored 49 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stevenage have conceded 46 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Lincoln stay first after this result (43 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 89 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Lincoln have conceded 41 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Lincoln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tendayi Darikwa (Lincoln) 6.5, Louis Thompson (Stevenage) 6.1 and S. Earley (Stevenage) 5.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
Lincoln are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Stevenage.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Stevenage or Lincoln (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.
Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln · League One
- Referee: N. Hair
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stevenage 1 · draws 3 · Lincoln 2 · 1.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Stevenage 3W 1D 1L · Lincoln 4W 1D 0L
Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stevenage for / against | Line | Lincoln for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: N. Hair — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.4 fouls over 5 matches.
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Stevenage
Stevenage Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| H. White n 8 | 82.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Reid n 8 | 84.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | — |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.9 | 0.8 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| H. White n 8 | 82.9 | 2.3 |
| J. Reid n 8 | 84.5 | 0 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.9 | 1 |
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Stevenage Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. White n 8 | 82.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Reid n 8 | 84.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. White n 8 | 82.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Reid n 8 | 84.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| C. Goode n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
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Lincoln
Lincoln Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 88.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 1.5 | — |
| R. Street n 8 | 64.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 1.4 | — |
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 88.4 | 1.5 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| R. Street n 8 | 64.4 | 1 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.5 |
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90 | 0 |
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Lincoln Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 88.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| R. Street n 8 | 64.4 | 1 | 0.5 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 88.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 |
| R. Street n 8 | 64.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Wickens n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Stevenage | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Possession | 60% |
| 0.89 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.81 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 258 | Passes | 390 |
| 63% | Pass accuracy | 66% |
Stevenage Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Pattenden | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Piergianni | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Goode | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Kemp | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. White | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Roberts | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Earley | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Phillips | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.6 |
| J. Reid | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Thompson | 56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Houghton sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Sweeney sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Lubala sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Butler sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Lincoln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| T. Hamer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| S. Bradley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. McGrandles | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Hackett | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Moylan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Towler | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Darikwa | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Oné | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| B. House | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Bayliss sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Lloyd sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Street sub | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| D. Elerewe sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Jefferies sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Stevenage v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-18 Lincoln 1–0 Stevenage
- 2025-01-04 Lincoln 0–0 Stevenage
- 2024-08-31 Stevenage 0–1 Lincoln
- 2024-03-02 Lincoln 0–0 Stevenage
- 2023-11-18 Stevenage 1–0 Lincoln
- 2019-02-16 Lincoln 2–2 Stevenage
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Lincoln?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Lincoln was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Lincoln?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stevenage won 1, Lincoln won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stevenage and Lincoln?
- Recent form — Stevenage 3W 1D 1L; Lincoln 4W 1D 0L.
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