StevenageWigan

Stevenage v Wigan result

Full-time · Stevenage 1–0 Wigan

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stevenage 1–0 Wigan — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage beat Wigan 1–0 in League One on Saturday 2 May. It is Stevenage’s first win over Wigan since 27 January 2024, after three meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Daniel Sweeney (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Sweeney’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stevenage 1.64, Wigan 1.19, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Russell showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stevenage: Daniel Kemp (90+6’); Wigan: Joseph Taylor (45+1’).

What it changes

Stevenage move down from fifth to sixth (46 league matches played).

Wigan stay 16th after this result (46 league matches played).

Stevenage are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Wigan are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Stevenage have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Wigan have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charles Goode (Stevenage) 4.9, Daniel Sweeney (Stevenage) 4.1 and S. Earley (Stevenage) 3.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Wigan are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Stevenage.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Wigan, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Wigan next host Barnsley on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Wigan: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stevenage 1–0 Wigan · League One
  • Referee: M. Russell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Stevenage 2 · draws 2 · Wigan 1 · 1.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stevenage 2W 2D 1L · Wigan 3W 1D 1L

Stevenage 1–0 Wigan (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 4 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · M. Russell
22.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStevenage for / againstLineWigan for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Russell — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stevenage

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
H. White n 885.4
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
J. Reid n 885
0.95/2
0.95/1
—
C. Goode n 890
0.43/0
1.36/3
—
C. Piergianni n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
H. White n 885.4
1.86/5
J. Reid n 885
00/0
C. Goode n 890
1.36/3
C. Piergianni n 890
0.42/1
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 885.4
1.16/2
0.32/0
J. Reid n 885
1.66/4
0.85/1
C. Goode n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
C. Piergianni n 890
0.94/2
0.32/0
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
H. White n 885.4
0.11/0
00/0
J. Reid n 885
0.11/0
00/0
C. Goode n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Wigan

Wigan Goalkeeper

Wigan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Tickle50904500 min1242.5 /90621.2 /9000 /90
Wigan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wigan before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 890
2.36/3

Wigan Defensive

Wigan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Aimson46894112 min551.2 /90441 /90280.6 /902856.2 /90400.9 /9090.2 /90
J. Kerr34903047 min421.2 /90401.2 /90270.8 /902146.3 /90100.3 /9020.1 /90
J. Carragher19841591 min160.9 /90171 /9090.5 /90744.2 /90140.8 /9030.2 /90
J. Hunt362187 min31.4 /9031.4 /9021 /9083.9 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Weir39833240 min701.9 /90320.9 /9080.2 /901915.3 /90381.1 /9070.2 /90
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Wigan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wigan before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
W. Aimson n 890
14/1
1.66/5
—
F. Murray n 890
0.53/1
1.15/4
—
C. Wright n 888.1
1.57/4
0.84/1
—
J. Weir n 885.9
1.25/2
0.54/0
—
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Wigan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wigan before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Aimson n 890
1.56/3
F. Murray n 890
2.16/4
C. Wright n 888.1
1.17/1
J. Weir n 885.9
1.77/5
M. Smith n 875.4
0.64/0
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Wigan Attacking

Wigan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Murray46833835 min60.1 /9070.2 /90300.7 /90140.3 /90761.8 /90240.6 /90
C. Wright45793564 min70.2 /9070.2 /90451.1 /90240.6 /90360.9 /90310.8 /90
D. Costelloe37592169 min30.1 /9010 /90361.5 /90160.7 /90160.7 /90110.5 /90
J. Taylor21781643 min110.6 /9000 /90392.1 /90241.3 /9010.1 /90150.8 /90
Harrison Bettoni1358757 min20.2 /9000 /90111.3 /9050.6 /9091.1 /9081 /90
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Wigan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wigan before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
W. Aimson n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
F. Murray n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Wright n 888.1
14/2
0.54/0
J. Weir n 885.9
0.84/2
0.11/0
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Wigan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wigan before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
W. Aimson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
F. Murray n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Wright n 888.1
0.43/0
00/0
J. Weir n 885.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StevenageWigan
52%Possession48%
1.64Expected goals (xG)1.19
14Shots12
5Shots on target6
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box6
3Corners3
2Offsides3
14Fouls16
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves4
341Passes329
67%Pass accuracy68%

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Marschall9000000107
C. Goode9000210007.7
C. Piergianni9000100007.9
D. Kemp90001021Y6.9
H. White9000003108.2
J. Reid9000212106.3
J. Pattenden8500000007.3
S. Earley8500000407.6
J. Roberts8500001007.2
M. Phillips8500100106.3
L. Thompson6800110207
D. Phillips sub2200000106.9
D. Sweeney sub1510110007.6
D. Butler sub1500000006.7
L. James-Wildin sub1500000006.6
P. Patterson sub1500110106.9

Wigan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Tickle9000000007.5
J. Carragher9000000206.9
J. Kerr9000000107
W. Aimson9000001207.2
R. Borges Rodrigues9000101006.2
J. Weir9000000007.3
M. Smith9000001206.9
F. Murray8900000206.3
J. Taylor80001101Y6.3
C. Wright7900002006.2
C. Saydee5800000106.5
Harrison Bettoni sub3200311006.3
Caylan Vickers sub1100001006.7
D. Costelloe sub1000330006.7
Callum Henry McManaman sub10011000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Wigan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StevenageWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
WiganWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Stevenage 2 · 2 draws · Wigan 1 · 1.8 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Wigan 0–0 Stevenage
  • 2025-01-18 Stevenage 1–2 Wigan
  • 2024-09-24 Wigan 0–0 Stevenage
  • 2024-01-27 Wigan 2–3 Stevenage
  • 2023-10-07 Stevenage 1–0 Wigan
League standing · 2025/26
Stevenage#6 pos75 pts46 pl+3 GD
Wigan#16 pos56 pts46 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Stevenage scored1.07
Wigan scored1.07
Stevenage conceded1
Wigan conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Wigan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Wigan was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Wigan?
In their last 5 meetings, Stevenage won 2, Wigan won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Wigan?
Recent form — Stevenage 2W 2D 1L; Wigan 3W 1D 1L.

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