Barnet v Northampton prediction

League Two · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · The Hive Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 17:46 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnet v Northampton, League Two on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Barnet host Northampton in League Two on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Barnet have scored 28 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Northampton have scored nine goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Barnet have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 14 of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%). At home, Barnet have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.25. Barnet have conceded 18 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

One of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (7%). Both teams scored in four of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Northampton have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Northampton have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Barnet are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Northampton are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Barnet (second) and Northampton (21st) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barnet the stronger side, 225 rating points above Northampton (Barnet 1624, Northampton 1399, after at least 105 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Barnet XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cox, D. Collinge, A. Senior, R. Crichlow-Noble, N. Tavares, O. Gallagher, B. Comley, C. Lakin, I. Kanu, N. Ofoborh, K. Tshimanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kabongo Tshimanga (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, 11 goals and five assists) and Charlie Lakin (5.0 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Barnet’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barnet (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kabongo Tshimanga averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1238 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Charlie Lakin averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1197 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Donacien, J. Powell, J. Wormleighton, L. Evans, C. Lemonheigh-Evans, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, M. Warhurst, O. Dale — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.6 per match over 13 appearances) and Janoi Donacien (3.7 per match over 10 appearances) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1036 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Janoi Donacien averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 809 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · League Two · The Hive Stadium
Recent form: Barnet 2W 2D 1L · Northampton 1W 1D 3L

Barnet v Northampton (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.88 / 5.38

Corners

against 4.13 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Barnet for / against	Line	Northampton for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.38 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Barnet

Barnet Goalkeeper

Barnet — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Cox	14	901260 min	342.4 /90	100.7 /90	00 /90

Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Cox n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Collinge	14	901260 min	161.1 /90	110.8 /90	40.3 /90	976.9 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
A. Senior	14	881234 min	251.8 /90	90.7 /90	60.4 /90	836.1 /90	60.4 /90	00 /90
Z. Williams	12	73879 min	80.8 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	747.6 /90	141.4 /90	20.2 /90
N. Tavares	9	79711 min	121.5 /90	70.9 /90	81 /90	627.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
R. Crichlow-Noble	7	66461 min	142.7 /90	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	479.2 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90
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Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.8 5/1	—
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	1.9 7/3	0.3 2/0	—
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.5 4/0	0.8 4/1	—
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.5 2/1	1.6 6/3	—
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.9 5/2
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0
A. Senior n 8	86.8	1.9 5/5
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1
O. Gallagher n 8	81.6	1.5 7/3
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Tshimanga	14	881238 min	110.8 /90	50.4 /90	261.9 /90	171.2 /90	171.2 /90	50.4 /90
T. Knowles	14	48670 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	141.9 /90	70.9 /90	141.9 /90	91.2 /90
J. Maskell	6	27159 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
D. Ajayi	4	36144 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	31.9 /90
I. Williams	2	2039 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90
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Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	2.3 6/5	1.5 6/4
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.9 3/2	0.3 2/0
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	2.8 7/6	1.5 5/3
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Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Northampton

Northampton Goalkeeper

Northampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Jeacock	14	911269 min	302.1 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	2.3 6/4

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Moore	14	911269 min	90.6 /90	120.9 /90	80.6 /90	725.1 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Guthrie	14	911269 min	171.2 /90	221.6 /90	80.6 /90	866.1 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Donacien	10	81809 min	242.7 /90	141.6 /90	40.4 /90	556.1 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Maxwell	10	77771 min	141.6 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90	445.1 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
Joshua Alan Powell	7	68477 min	91.7 /90	71.3 /90	10.2 /90	203.8 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90
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Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.6 4/1	—
E. Moore n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1 4/3	—
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Wormleighton n 8	87.9	1.7 7/4	1.8 8/4	—
Matthew Warhurst n 8	67.4	2 7/3	0.2 1/0	—
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 8	90	1.4 6/3
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 4/1
J. Wormleighton n 8	87.9	4.4 8/8
Matthew Warhurst n 8	67.4	0.5 2/1
L. Evans n 8	85.6	0.8 5/1
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matthew Warhurst	12	65780 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	172 /90	50.6 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
O. Dale	8	80641 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	152.1 /90	60.8 /90	71 /90	101.4 /90
N. Opoku	7	55388 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90
H. Saunders	6	59356 min	00 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90
S. Hoskins	6	59353 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	87.9	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Matthew Warhurst n 8	67.4	2.8 7/4	0.8 4/1
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matthew Warhurst n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnet v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BarnetLDWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

NorthamptonLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Barnet#2 pos26 pts13 pl+10 GD

Northampton#21 pos14 pts13 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Barnet scored2.15

Northampton scored0.69

Barnet conceded1.38

Northampton conceded0.77

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