Cambridge UnitedGrimsby

Cambridge United v Grimsby result

Full-time · Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby won 2–1 at Cambridge United in League Two on Tuesday 21 April. Grimsby have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: Kieran Green (23’, assisted by Reece Staunton) and Cameron McJannet (90’); Cambridge United: Benjamin Knight (41’, assisted by Adam Mayor).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cameron McJannet’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cambridge United 0.00, Grimsby 0.00, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Miles showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Grimsby: Géza Turi (42’) and Maldini Kacurri (58’).

What it changes

Cambridge United stay third after this result (44 league matches played).

Grimsby move up from eighth to seventh (44 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Green (Grimsby) 7.4, Cameron McJannet (Grimsby) 7.3 and Sulaiman Kaikai (Cambridge United) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cambridge United or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Cambridge United next travel to Luton on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cambridge United: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby · League Two
  • Referee: J. Miles
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cambridge United 3 · draws 2 · Grimsby 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cambridge United 1W 3D 1L · Grimsby 3W 0D 2L

Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 4 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCambridge United for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 7.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: J. Miles.

Cambridge United

Cambridge United Goalkeeper

Cambridge United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Eastwood46894090 min851.9 /90360.8 /9030.1 /90
Cambridge United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Eastwood n 883.8
0.51/1

Cambridge United Defensive

Cambridge United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bennett39783055 min481.4 /90481.4 /9050.1 /902156.3 /90260.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Jobe37863183 min250.7 /90511.4 /90200.6 /902787.9 /90230.7 /9030.1 /90
J. Gibbons36812927 min541.7 /90381.2 /90120.4 /901725.3 /90250.8 /9050.2 /90
B. Purrington27641731 min392 /90251.3 /9030.2 /901236.4 /90221.1 /9040.2 /90
Z. Rossi582411 min51.1 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90306.6 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Cambridge United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Eastwood n 883.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
P. Mpanzu n 883.3
1.47/3
0.54/0
—
K. Watts n 890
0.43/0
0.53/1
C. McJannet
J. Brophy n 860
1.34/2
1.56/2
—
S. Kaikai n 870.5
15/1
1.46/2
K. Green
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Cambridge United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mpanzu n 883.3
1.26/2
K. Watts n 890
0.11/0
J. Brophy n 860
1.14/2
S. Kaikai n 870.5
1.96/3
L. Bennett n 887
1.27/2
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Cambridge United Attacking

Cambridge United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Kaikai43692957 min110.3 /9040.1 /90541.6 /90210.6 /90581.8 /90250.8 /90
L. Appéré39672604 min80.3 /9020.1 /90270.9 /90170.6 /90250.9 /90190.7 /90
S. Lavery28361010 min70.6 /9010.1 /90272.4 /90171.5 /90111 /9080.7 /90
P. Mpanzu46753454 min30.1 /9030.1 /90240.6 /9090.2 /90260.7 /90170.4 /90
J. Brophy43692978 min40.1 /9080.2 /90220.7 /90130.4 /90611.8 /90260.8 /90
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Cambridge United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Eastwood n 883.8
00/0
00/0
P. Mpanzu n 883.3
0.32/0
00/0
K. Watts n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Brophy n 860
0.82/2
0.62/1
S. Kaikai n 870.5
1.65/2
0.84/1
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Cambridge United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Eastwood n 883.8
00/0
00/0
P. Mpanzu n 883.3
00/0
0.32/0
K. Watts n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 860
00/0
0.21/0
S. Kaikai n 870.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith24902168 min482 /90231 /9010 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
12/1

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet47904217 min631.3 /90420.9 /90270.6 /903627.7 /90290.6 /9070.1 /90
H. Rodgers47864061 min531.2 /90300.7 /90160.4 /902726 /90200.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton31762343 min501.9 /90281.1 /9060.2 /901686.5 /90150.6 /9030.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren21801684 min351.9 /90301.6 /90150.8 /901246.6 /90201.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
15/3
K. Watts
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.74/1
0.52/1
—
K. Green n 887.3
0.85/1
0.54/0
S. Kaikai
Jaze Kabia n 879.4
0.95/1
2.37/6
—
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
1.47/3
H. Rodgers n 883.6
1.16/2
K. Green n 887.3
15/2
Jaze Kabia n 879.4
1.77/4
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia43713035 min160.5 /9020.1 /90581.7 /90361.1 /90200.6 /90180.5 /90
A. Cook20661313 min80.5 /9020.1 /90362.5 /90201.4 /90161.1 /9080.5 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green43803422 min130.3 /9040.1 /90571.5 /90290.8 /90551.4 /90250.7 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.22/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
1.77/4
1.27/2
Jaze Kabia n 879.4
1.87/3
1.35/3
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
0.64/1
0.31/1
Jaze Kabia n 879.4
0.95/1
0.11/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cambridge UnitedGrimsby
66%Possession34%
17Shots10
2Shots on target3
9Shots off target5
6Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box8
6Corners5
3Offsides0
7Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves1
429Passes217
76%Pass accuracy54%

Cambridge United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Eastwood9000000006.3
M. Jobe9000100106.9
K. Watts9000102106.5
J. Gibbons9000002306.3
D. Ball9000100107
B. Knight9010221206.9
S. Kaikai9000302007.2
L. Bennett8900000006.7
A. Mayor8001203007.5
P. Mpanzu7300100006.6
L. Appéré7300000006
K. Smith sub1700000006.3
E. Nevitt sub1700001006.9
J. Brophy sub1000000106.3
G. McConnell sub10000100–

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000007.7
H. Rodgers9000002207.2
M. Kacurri90000002Y6.3
C. McJannet9010110107.6
Justin Amaluzor9000101206.5
Jaze Kabia9000101406.2
A. Cook9000300007.3
R. Staunton8901001307.3
C. Oduor8900000106.2
K. Green6910221007.6
G. Turi68000001Y6.3
J. Walker sub2200000206.6
C. Vernam sub2100001006.7
T. Warren sub1100000006.9
J. Sweeney sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cambridge United v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Cambridge UnitedLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
GrimsbyLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cambridge United 3 · 2 draws · Grimsby 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Grimsby 1–1 Cambridge United
  • 2022-11-26 Cambridge United 1–2 Grimsby
  • 2021-05-08 Cambridge United 3–0 Grimsby
  • 2021-01-02 Grimsby 1–2 Cambridge United
  • 2019-10-22 Cambridge United 0–0 Grimsby
  • 2019-03-02 Grimsby 0–2 Cambridge United
League standing · 2025/26
Cambridge United#3 pos82 pts46 pl+33 GD
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Cambridge United scored1.43
Grimsby scored1.61
Cambridge United conceded0.72
Grimsby conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cambridge United v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cambridge United v Grimsby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cambridge United and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Cambridge United won 3, Grimsby won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cambridge United and Grimsby?
Recent form — Cambridge United 1W 3D 1L; Grimsby 3W 0D 2L.

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