CheltenhamRotherham

Cheltenham v Rotherham result

Full-time · Cheltenham 2–1 Rotherham

League Two · · Whaddon Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cheltenham · Rotherham

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 2–1 Rotherham — Cheltenham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham beat Rotherham 2–1 at Whaddon Road in League Two on Saturday 15 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Rotherham out-shot Cheltenham 19 to 6 and created the better chances, 2.18 xG to 0.71 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Cheltenham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cheltenham: Charlie McCann (30’, assisted by Ryan Broom) and Jake Evans (71’, assisted by Robbie Cundy); Rotherham: J. Buyabu (62’, assisted by Fábio Tavares).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jake Evans’s goal on 71 minutes.

Discipline

H. Wager showed four yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Jonathan Tomkinson (38’), Shaun McWilliams (40’) and Pierce Sweeney (73’); Rotherham: Kian Spence (35’).

What it changes

Cheltenham are fourth after this result (one league match played).

Rotherham are 21st after this result (one league match played).

Rotherham are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie McCann (Cheltenham) 8.1, Robbie Cundy (Cheltenham) 7.9 and Denzel Hall (Rotherham) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cheltenham or Rotherham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 2–1 Rotherham · League Two
  • Venue: Whaddon Road · Cheltenham
  • Referee: H. Wager
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Cheltenham 1 · draws 0 · Rotherham 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L · Rotherham 1W 1D 3L

Cheltenham 2–1 Rotherham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 2.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · H. Wager
22.63 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineRotherham for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: H. Wager — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.63 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Day16565 min34.2 /9034.2 /9000 /90
W. Stanway13030 min39 /9000 /9000 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 886.9
2.66/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tomkinson19595 min76.6 /9010.9 /9000 /9098.5 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Sweeney19595 min10.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9032.8 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Cundy19595 min32.8 /9000 /9021.9 /9076.6 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Nurse16565 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Stevenson19595 min32.8 /9010.9 /9000 /9032.8 /9021.9 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
1.15/4
0.54/0
D. Hall
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.53/1
0.53/1
D. Hall
B. Stevenson n 883.1
0.53/1
0.53/1
Brandon Ashley Cover
G. Miller n 850.6
1.84/2
1.35/1
—
G. Nurse n 863
0.72/2
00/0
D. Hall
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
2.68/4
B. Stevenson n 883.1
1.56/3
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.94/2
G. Nurse n 863
1.34/3
G. Miller n 850.6
00/0
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Miller16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. McCann19595 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Tomlinson19595 min00 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
J. Shipley17979 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
S. McWilliams17979 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
0.43/0
00/0
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Stevenson n 883.1
0.11/0
00/0
G. Miller n 850.6
2.96/3
1.85/2
J. Day n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
00/0
0.11/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
00/0
00/0
B. Stevenson n 883.1
00/0
00/0
G. Miller n 850.6
1.15/0
00/0
G. Nurse n 863
00/0
0.21/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Goalkeeper

Rotherham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Cann19494 min65.7 /9043.8 /9000 /90
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
3.26/4

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Adegboyega19494 min21.9 /9011 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Otoo19494 min11 /9000 /9011 /9065.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Sonny Aljofree19494 min11 /9011 /9000 /9054.8 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Hall17676 min22.4 /9022.4 /9000 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9000 /90
A. Martha13232 min25.6 /9012.8 /9000 /9025.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Spence n 876.5
1.65/2
0.73/1
—
E. Adegboyega n 868.6
0.84/1
0.72/1
—
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
0.75/1
—
D. Hall n 857.4
1.45/2
0.42/0
G. Nurse
Brandon Ashley Cover n 763.7
1.85/3
1.85/3
B. Stevenson
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Spence n 876.5
2.68/7
E. Adegboyega n 868.6
2.38/5
D. Hall n 857.4
2.47/4
Brandon Ashley Cover n 763.7
3.67/4
A. Martha n 851.3
1.34/2
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mullin16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Fábio Tavares19494 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9021.9 /9011 /90
K. Spence19494 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9021.9 /9011 /90
J. Buyabu17777 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
E. Adegboyega19494 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Adegboyega n 868.6
0.83/1
00/0
K. Spence n 876.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 857.4
0.82/2
0.42/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 763.7
0.63/0
0.21/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
00/0
K. Spence n 876.5
00/0
00/0
E. Adegboyega n 868.6
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 857.4
00/0
00/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 763.7
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamRotherham
40%Possession60%
0.71Expected goals (xG)2.18
6Shots19
4Shots on target5
1Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
3Shots inside the box14
5Corners4
2Offsides1
10Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves2
306Passes460
59%Pass accuracy71%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000006.7
J. Tomkinson90000000Y6.3
R. Cundy9001101207.3
P. Sweeney90000001Y6.6
G. Nurse9000000306.9
B. Stevenson9000000307
C. McCann8910111408
R. Broom7001001106.6
J. Shipley7000110006.3
K. Otchere5800000006
S. McWilliams45000001Y6.2
J. Evans sub4510110007.3
J. Bickerstaff sub3200000106.7
J. Tomlinson sub2000110006.7
A. Weimann sub2000001106.6
F. Willcox sub10000000–

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9000000005.9
D. Hall9000113407
L. Agbaire9000100106.7
E. Otoo9000001206.9
K. Spence90002010Y6.3
Jamie Jellis9000200106.2
Fábio Tavares9001115006.5
P. Mullin9000321006.3
J. Buyabu7910212007.3
Sonny Aljofree7200001106.6
Brandon Ashley Cover7200000106.6
O. Ashley sub1800000006.6
T. Bradshaw sub1800000006.5
A. Martha sub1100001106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
RotherhamWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Cheltenham 1 · 0 draws · Rotherham 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2024-11-02 Rotherham 1–3 Cheltenham
  • 2022-01-22 Rotherham 1–0 Cheltenham
  • 2021-10-02 Cheltenham 0–2 Rotherham
League standing · 2026/27
Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD
Rotherham#22 pos12 pts14 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.64
Rotherham scored1.29
Cheltenham conceded1.79
Rotherham conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Rotherham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Rotherham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Rotherham?
In their last 3 meetings, Cheltenham won 1, Rotherham won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Rotherham?
Recent form — Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L; Rotherham 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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