ChesterfieldGrimsby

Chesterfield v Grimsby result

Full-time · Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chesterfield · Grimsby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby — Chesterfield won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chesterfield beat Grimsby 2–1 in League Two on Tuesday 14 April. Chesterfield are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Chesterfield led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Chesterfield: Liam Mandeville (31’, assisted by Lewis Gordon) and Lee Bonis (34’, assisted by Samuel Braybrooke); Grimsby: J. Kabia (41’, assisted by Reece Staunton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Liam Mandeville’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chesterfield 1.32, Grimsby 1.07, from 14 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed six yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chesterfield: Armando Dobra (59’), Thomas Naylor (90+1’) and Ryan Stirk (90+4’); Grimsby: Andrew Cook (51’), Géza Turi (63’) and Reece Staunton (82’).

What it changes

Chesterfield stay seventh after this result (43 league matches played). Chesterfield have scored 71 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Chesterfield have conceded 56 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby stay eighth after this result (42 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Grimsby have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Chesterfield have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Grimsby have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Reece Staunton (Grimsby) 6.3, Jaze Kabia (Grimsby) 6.2 and Ryan Boot (Chesterfield) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chesterfield are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Grimsby.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chesterfield or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Chesterfield next travel to Bristol Rovers on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chesterfield: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby · League Two
  • Referee: T. Reeves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chesterfield 3 · draws 1 · Grimsby 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chesterfield 3W 1D 1L · Grimsby 4W 0D 1L

Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.63 / 5.88
Corners
against 3 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.71 yellows
Referee · T. Reeves
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChesterfield for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.63 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 8 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: T. Reeves — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Hemming40903600 min942.4 /90561.4 /9020.1 /90
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Hemming n 890
2.17/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. McFadzean35873060 min511.5 /90331 /90150.4 /902196.4 /90501.5 /90100.3 /90
C. Dunkley30872613 min230.8 /90270.9 /90180.6 /902388.2 /90421.4 /9060.2 /90
L. Gordon26812115 min391.7 /90231 /9090.4 /90873.7 /9080.3 /9030.1 /90
Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza15681015 min211.9 /90111 /9050.4 /90494.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
A. Lewis848381 min81.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90204.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Bonis n 844.8
2.85/4
13/1
—
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Naylor n 884.4
0.73/1
0.54/0
K. Green
D. Markanday n 878
0.63/1
15/2
—
K. McFadzean n 878.8
27/4
1.15/3
C. McJannet
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bonis n 844.8
0.52/0
T. Naylor n 884.4
0.53/1
D. Markanday n 878
1.45/2
K. McFadzean n 878.8
1.65/4
R. Stirk n 875.3
1.66/2
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Bonis43602567 min100.4 /9020.1 /90541.9 /90331.2 /90180.6 /9060.2 /90
W. Grigg26431126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90201.6 /90121 /90121 /9020.2 /90
T. Naylor37782887 min80.2 /9010 /90280.9 /90130.4 /90240.7 /9070.2 /90
D. Markanday36712563 min70.2 /9040.1 /90260.9 /90130.5 /90361.3 /90551.9 /90
R. Stirk35822885 min00 /9010 /9090.3 /9030.1 /90190.6 /90130.4 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Bonis n 844.8
0.83/0
0.52/0
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Naylor n 884.4
1.55/3
0.73/2
D. Markanday n 878
15/1
0.63/1
K. McFadzean n 878.8
0.63/1
00/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Bonis n 844.8
0.31/0
00/0
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Naylor n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Markanday n 878
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. McFadzean n 878.8
00/0
00/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith22901988 min452 /90200.9 /9010 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
1.22/2

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet45904037 min611.4 /90380.8 /90260.6 /903487.8 /90290.6 /9070.2 /90
H. Rodgers45873916 min521.2 /90280.6 /90150.3 /902666.1 /90190.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton29752177 min461.9 /90241 /9060.2 /901546.4 /90140.6 /9020.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren20821649 min351.9 /90301.6 /90140.8 /901226.7 /90191 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
0.94/3
K. McFadzean
H. Rodgers n 885.5
0.74/1
0.73/1
—
K. Green n 887.3
0.85/1
0.43/0
T. Naylor
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
0.84/1
2.57/6
—
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
1.27/2
H. Rodgers n 885.5
1.47/4
K. Green n 887.3
1.36/3
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
1.66/3
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia41702881 min140.4 /9020.1 /90551.7 /90331 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90
A. Cook18631133 min70.6 /9020.2 /90302.4 /90181.4 /90131 /9060.5 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green41793242 min120.3 /9020.1 /90551.5 /90270.7 /90521.4 /90210.6 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.22/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 885.5
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
1.88/4
1.28/1
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
2.16/3
1.34/3
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 885.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
0.64/1
00/0
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
0.63/1
0.21/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChesterfieldGrimsby
58%Possession42%
1.32Expected goals (xG)1.07
14Shots8
3Shots on target3
8Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box7
8Corners4
1Offsides2
13Fouls9
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves1
401Passes306
76%Pass accuracy65%

Chesterfield Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Boot9000000007.7
S. Curtis9000002308.3
K. McFadzean9000300106.7
S. Swinkels9000000006.9
S. Braybrooke9001001207.5
R. Stirk90001001Y7
T. Naylor90003011Y5.9
A. Dobra90000013Y6.9
L. Bonis9010320007
L. Gordon7401003107.2
L. Mandeville7310114007.6
D. Markanday sub1700001006.3
J. Donacien sub1600000006.5

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000007.2
M. Kacurri9000000406.9
C. McJannet9000000006.9
R. Staunton90011124Y6.6
G. Turi90000002Y6.3
K. Green9000000106.2
A. Cook90003020Y6.9
Jaze Kabia7810220206.9
D. Burns6800000006.3
C. Oduor6800000106.2
H. Rodgers5500002006.3
T. Warren sub3500000006.9
Justin Amaluzor sub2200000007.2
J. Walker sub2200000006.3
C. Vernam sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chesterfield v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChesterfieldLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
GrimsbyWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chesterfield 3 · 1 draw · Grimsby 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-15 Grimsby 0–1 Chesterfield
  • 2025-01-18 Grimsby 1–1 Chesterfield
  • 2024-09-07 Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby
  • 2022-04-02 Chesterfield 1–4 Grimsby
  • 2021-12-11 Grimsby 0–1 Chesterfield
  • 2018-12-02 Chesterfield 0–2 Grimsby
League standing · 2025/26
Chesterfield#6 pos79 pts46 pl+15 GD
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Chesterfield scored1.54
Grimsby scored1.61
Chesterfield conceded1.22
Grimsby conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chesterfield v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chesterfield v Grimsby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Chesterfield won 3, Grimsby won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Grimsby?
Recent form — Chesterfield 3W 1D 1L; Grimsby 4W 0D 1L.

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