Crawley Town v Barnet prediction

League Two · Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Broadfield Stadium

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 15:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Crawley Town v Barnet, League Two on Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crawley Town host Barnet in League Two on Tuesday 24 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in every one of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions (100%). Barnet have scored 28 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Crawley Town have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Barnet have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Crawley Town have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Crawley Town have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Crawley Town have conceded 21 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

12 of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Away from home, Barnet have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.38. Barnet have conceded 18 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Barnet are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Crawley Town (24th) and Barnet (second) are 17 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barnet the stronger side, 314 rating points above Crawley Town (Barnet 1624, Crawley Town 1311, after at least 105 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet.

Team news

Predicted Crawley Town XI (4-2-3-1): V. Mannone, P. Farquharson, L. Richards, K. Gordon, C. Barker, J. Arthurs, K. Jennings, S. Duke-McKenna, A. Adeyemo, N. Tinsdale, D. Orsi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dylan Morgan (4.4 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Ade Adeyemo (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, one goal) have been Crawley Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crawley Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dylan Morgan averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 462 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances. Ade Adeyemo averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1071 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Barnet XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cox, D. Collinge, A. Senior, R. Crichlow-Noble, N. Tavares, O. Gallagher, C. Lakin, B. Comley, I. Kanu, N. Ofoborh, K. Tshimanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kabongo Tshimanga (5.4 per match over 14 appearances, 11 goals and five assists) and Charlie Lakin (5.0 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Barnet’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barnet (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kabongo Tshimanga averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1238 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Charlie Lakin averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1197 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · League Two · Broadfield Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Crawley Town 2 · draws 1 · Barnet 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Crawley Town 1W 2D 2L · Barnet 2W 2D 1L

Crawley Town v Barnet (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2

Goals

against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.63 / 6.63

Corners

against 5.5 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.13

Cards

against 2.63 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Crawley Town for / against	Line	Barnet for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Crawley Town

Crawley Town Goalkeeper

Crawley Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Mannone	8	86687 min	273.5 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
N. Michalski	5	81405 min	163.6 /90	92 /90	10.2 /90
Jackson Izquierdo	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Crawley Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Mannone n 8	85.9	3.5 6/5
N. Michalski n 5	81	3.6 4/3

Crawley Town Defensive

Crawley Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. Farquharson	13	861122 min	171.4 /90	201.6 /90	70.6 /90	705.6 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
C. Barker	11	90988 min	80.7 /90	181.6 /90	90.8 /90	544.9 /90	100.9 /90	40.4 /90
K. Gordon	10	62619 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	172.5 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
Johnny Russell	9	65589 min	111.7 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90	609.2 /90	111.7 /90	40.6 /90
A. Odimayo	8	62492 min	132.4 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	295.3 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
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Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Arthurs n 8	90	1 5/2	1.5 7/3	—
P. Farquharson n 8	85	1.1 4/3	1.2 7/2	—
A. Adeyemo n 8	84.1	1.1 6/2	0.7 5/0	—
Osman Kamara n 8	68.9	1.1 5/2	1.1 6/1	—
C. Barker n 8	88.3	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1	—
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Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Arthurs n 8	90	2.1 6/4
P. Farquharson n 8	85	0.9 4/3
A. Adeyemo n 8	84.1	2.1 8/6
Osman Kamara n 8	68.9	2 6/4
C. Barker n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
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Crawley Town Attacking

Crawley Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Osman Kamara	12	61733 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90	131.6 /90	151.8 /90
P. Aderoju	11	44488 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	71.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90
D. Orsi	9	58526 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	61 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
G. Di Biase	7	41290 min	30.9 /90	00 /90	72.2 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
D. Morgan	6	77462 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	112.1 /90	30.6 /90	91.8 /90	132.5 /90
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Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Arthurs n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.4 3/0
P. Farquharson n 8	85	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
A. Adeyemo n 8	84.1	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1
Osman Kamara n 8	68.9	1.5 5/2	0.5 3/0
C. Barker n 8	88.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
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Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Arthurs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Farquharson n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Adeyemo n 8	84.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Osman Kamara n 8	68.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Barker n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Barnet

Barnet Goalkeeper

Barnet — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Cox	14	901260 min	342.4 /90	100.7 /90	00 /90

Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Cox n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Collinge	14	901260 min	161.1 /90	110.8 /90	40.3 /90	976.9 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
A. Senior	14	881234 min	251.8 /90	90.7 /90	60.4 /90	826 /90	60.4 /90	00 /90
Z. Williams	12	73879 min	80.8 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	747.6 /90	141.4 /90	20.2 /90
N. Tavares	9	79711 min	121.5 /90	70.9 /90	81 /90	627.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
R. Crichlow-Noble	7	66461 min	142.7 /90	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	479.2 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90
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Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.8 5/1	—
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	1.9 7/3	0.3 2/0	—
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.5 4/0	0.8 4/1	—
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.5 2/1	1.6 6/3	—
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.9 5/2
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0
A. Senior n 8	86.8	1.9 5/5
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1
O. Gallagher n 8	81.6	1.5 7/3
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Tshimanga	14	881238 min	110.8 /90	50.4 /90	261.9 /90	171.2 /90	171.2 /90	50.4 /90
T. Knowles	14	48670 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	141.9 /90	70.9 /90	141.9 /90	91.2 /90
J. Maskell	6	27159 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
D. Ajayi	4	36144 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	31.9 /90
I. Williams	2	2039 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90
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Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	2.3 6/5	1.5 6/4
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.9 3/2	0.3 2/0
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	2.8 7/6	1.5 5/3
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Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Collinge n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cox n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tshimanga n 8	87.5	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
A. Senior n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lakin n 8	84.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crawley Town v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Crawley TownDLLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

BarnetWLDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Crawley Town 2 · 1 draw · Barnet 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-17 Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet
2026-01-01 Barnet 2–1 Crawley Town
2018-01-13 Crawley Town 2–0 Barnet
2017-09-23 Barnet 1–2 Crawley Town

League standing · 2026/27

Crawley Town#24 pos9 pts12 pl-8 GD

Barnet#2 pos26 pts13 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Crawley Town scored1.08

Barnet scored2.15

Crawley Town conceded1.75

Barnet conceded1.38

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Crawley Town v Barnet?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Crawley Town v Barnet is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crawley Town and Barnet?: In their last 4 meetings, Crawley Town won 2, Barnet won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crawley Town and Barnet?: Recent form — Crawley Town 1W 2D 2L; Barnet 2W 2D 1L.

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