Crawley TownGrimsby

Crawley Town v Grimsby result

Full-time · Crawley Town 0–2 Grimsby

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Crawley Town 0–2 Grimsby — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby won 2–0 at Crawley Town in League Two on Monday 6 April.

The goals

Grimsby led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: J. Kabia (23’, assisted by Andrew Cook) and Harvey Rodgers (36’). Jay Williams (47’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Kabia’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Crawley Town 0.23, Grimsby 1.21, from 7 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Madley showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Crawley Town: H. Forster (66’); Grimsby: Reece Staunton (82’).

What it changes

Crawley Town stay 20th after this result (42 league matches played). Crawley Town have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Crawley Town have conceded 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby move up from 10th to eighth (40 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Grimsby have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jaze Kabia (Grimsby) 6.9, Harvey Rodgers (Grimsby) 6.2 and Andrew Cook (Grimsby) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Crawley Town or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Crawley Town next travel to Wimborne Town on 8 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crawley Town: Wimborne Town v Crawley Town, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crawley Town 0–2 Grimsby · League Two
  • Referee: R. Madley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crawley Town 2 · draws 1 · Grimsby 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crawley Town 2W 2D 1L · Grimsby 2W 1D 2L

Crawley Town 0–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.25 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrawley Town for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Madley.

Crawley Town

Crawley Town Defensive

Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Barker n 890
0.96/1
27/4
C. McJannet
J. Flint n 888.8
0.94/3
1.15/3
—
J. Williams n 890
1.35/3
1.46/4
—
H. McKirdy n 850.4
25/3
0.42/0
K. Green
H. Forster n 848.8
0.94/0
2.37/3
—
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Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Barker n 890
1.55/4
J. Flint n 888.8
1.56/3
J. Williams n 890
27/4
H. McKirdy n 850.4
0.73/0
H. Forster n 848.8
1.44/2
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Crawley Town Attacking

Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Barker n 890
0.54/0
00/0
J. Flint n 888.8
1.45/3
0.53/1
J. Williams n 890
1.17/1
0.53/1
H. McKirdy n 850.4
26/3
1.13/2
H. Forster n 848.8
0.93/1
0.52/0
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Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Barker n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Flint n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Williams n 890
0.11/0
00/0
H. McKirdy n 850.4
0.41/1
00/0
H. Forster n 848.8
00/0
0.52/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith20901808 min452.2 /90180.9 /9010 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
23/3

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet43903857 min591.4 /90370.9 /90240.6 /903387.9 /90270.6 /9070.2 /90
H. Rodgers43873760 min511.2 /90280.7 /90150.4 /902596.2 /90190.5 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton27741997 min431.9 /90241.1 /9050.2 /901466.6 /90110.5 /9010 /90
J. Sweeney22821798 min351.8 /90201 /90100.5 /90984.9 /90211.1 /9030.2 /90
T. Warren19861625 min341.9 /90301.7 /90140.8 /901196.6 /90191.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 888.4
0.43/0
1.35/4
C. Barker
H. Rodgers n 888.5
0.64/1
0.95/1
—
K. Green n 881.8
0.85/1
0.43/0
H. McKirdy
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
Jaze Kabia n 866.8
1.95/3
2.76/5
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 888.4
1.37/2
H. Rodgers n 888.5
1.57/5
K. Green n 881.8
1.14/3
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
Jaze Kabia n 866.8
1.25/1
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia39692703 min130.4 /9020.1 /90511.7 /90311 /90190.6 /90160.5 /90
A. Cook1661971 min50.5 /9000 /90242.2 /90151.4 /9090.8 /9060.6 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green39793092 min110.3 /9020.1 /90531.5 /90250.7 /90511.5 /90210.6 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 888.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 888.5
0.62/2
0.31/1
K. Green n 881.8
1.98/4
16/1
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
Jaze Kabia n 866.8
1.54/2
13/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 888.5
00/0
00/0
K. Green n 881.8
0.63/1
00/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
Jaze Kabia n 866.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crawley TownGrimsby
47%Possession53%
0.23Expected goals (xG)1.21
7Shots16
0Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box12
3Corners9
2Offsides3
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
3Saves0
294Passes328
64%Pass accuracy72%

Crawley Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Chapman9000000005.9
C. Barker9000100206.2
S. Malone9000200006.9
M. Anderson9000000005.9
H. Forster90000020Y6.3
Tobi Adeyemo9000100106.3
L. Richards7100001306.9
H. McKirdy7100000006.3
A. Adeyemo6000000306.6
J. Williams47001011R5.3
T. Richards4100000006.3
L. Watson sub4900000106.5
Louie George Copley sub3000000107
Johnny Russell sub1900000106.2
D. Pereira sub1900001007.5

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000006.9
H. Rodgers9010211107.9
M. Kacurri9000000107.2
C. McJannet9000100107.7
R. Staunton90000041Y8.2
G. Turi9000002106.9
D. Burns9000100106.3
Jaze Kabia8810320207.3
A. Cook8101211106.3
K. Green6800111107.2
C. Oduor6700001307
J. Sweeney sub2300000006.7
J. Walker sub2200002406.9
J. Svanþórsson sub1000000006.3
Justin Amaluzor sub900001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crawley Town v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crawley TownDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
GrimsbyDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crawley Town 2 · 1 draw · Grimsby 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-02 Grimsby 3–0 Crawley Town
  • 2024-04-27 Crawley Town 2–0 Grimsby
  • 2023-09-23 Grimsby 2–3 Crawley Town
  • 2023-03-28 Crawley Town 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2022-10-08 Grimsby 3–0 Crawley Town
  • 2021-02-23 Grimsby 2–1 Crawley Town
League standing · 2025/26
Crawley Town#22 pos40 pts46 pl-24 GD
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Crawley Town scored0.96
Grimsby scored1.61
Crawley Town conceded1.48
Grimsby conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crawley Town v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crawley Town v Grimsby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Crawley Town and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Crawley Town won 2, Grimsby won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crawley Town and Grimsby?
Recent form — Crawley Town 2W 2D 1L; Grimsby 2W 1D 2L.

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