Crewe v Barnet prediction

League Two · · Alexandra Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Crewe v Barnet, League Two on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crewe host Barnet in League Two on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in every one of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions (100%). Barnet have scored 27 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Barnet have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Crewe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Crewe’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Crewe have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14. Crewe have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crewe have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

13 of Barnet’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Away from home, Barnet have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43. Barnet have conceded 17 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Crewe (fourth) and Barnet (second) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barnet the stronger side, 181 rating points above Crewe (Barnet 1638, Crewe 1457, after at least 104 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Barnet are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Crewe. The most recent meeting, on 3 February 2026, finished Barnet 1–1 Crewe.

Team news

Predicted Crewe XI (4-2-3-1): T. Booth, L. Offord, L. Billington, J. Stephenson, K. Ure, J. Gibson, J. Tabiner, O. Lunt, M. Holíček, J. White, J. March — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Gibson (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Reece Hutchinson (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Crewe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crewe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Gibson averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 967 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Reece Hutchinson averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 687 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Barnet XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cox, D. Collinge, A. Senior, Z. Williams, R. Crichlow-Noble, C. Lakin, O. Gallagher, I. Kanu, B. Comley, N. Ofoborh, K. Tshimanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kabongo Tshimanga (5.9 per match over 13 appearances, 11 goals and five assists) and Charlie Lakin (5.4 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Barnet’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barnet (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kabongo Tshimanga averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 1158 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Charlie Lakin averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1121 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

H. Blair takes charge; across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 3.4 yellow cards a game and 0.20 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Alexandra Stadium
  • Referee: H. Blair
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Crewe 1 · draws 1 · Barnet 2 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crewe 3W 0D 2L · Barnet 3W 1D 1L

Crewe v Barnet (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.38 / 7
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.4 yellows
Referee · H. Blair
21.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrewe for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.5 against n 8

Referee: H. Blair — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Crewe

Crewe Goalkeeper

Crewe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Booth15901350 min483.2 /9090.6 /9000 /90
Crewe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Booth n 890
2.96/5

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Offord15881313 min161.1 /90292 /9080.5 /90714.9 /90161.1 /9010.1 /90
L. Billington15851280 min130.9 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90503.5 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Stephenson13871133 min131 /90252 /9050.4 /90756 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
R. Hutchinson1069687 min222.9 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90486.3 /9081 /9000 /90
Kyle Ure960537 min213.5 /90101.7 /9040.7 /90315.2 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Booth n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
L. Offord n 890
16/2
1.45/3
—
L. Billington n 890
0.32/0
0.53/1
—
J. Gibson n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
J. March n 886.6
0.85/1
2.15/3
—
See more players · Pro
Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Offord n 890
14/2
L. Billington n 890
1.35/3
J. Gibson n 869.3
1.15/2
J. March n 886.6
0.84/2
J. Tabiner n 870.5
0.53/0
See more players · Pro

Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. March14871220 min30.2 /9020.1 /90211.5 /9050.4 /90201.5 /9050.4 /90
A. Thibaut1045451 min10.2 /9000 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
C. McNeill1040400 min10.2 /9010.2 /90112.5 /9071.6 /9010.2 /9030.7 /90
J. Gibson1564967 min50.5 /9020.2 /90252.3 /90111 /90161.5 /90262.4 /90
J. Tabiner1462873 min00 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90151.5 /90101 /90
See more players · Pro
Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Booth n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Offord n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Billington n 890
0.54/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 869.3
2.16/4
1.36/2
J. March n 886.6
0.84/2
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Booth n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Offord n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Billington n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Gibson n 869.3
0.84/1
0.32/0
J. March n 886.6
00/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Barnet

Barnet Goalkeeper

Barnet — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cox13901170 min322.5 /90100.8 /9000 /90
Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cox n 890
2.46/4

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Collinge13901170 min151.2 /9090.7 /9040.3 /90917 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
A. Senior13881144 min191.5 /9090.7 /9060.5 /90745.8 /9060.5 /9000 /90
Z. Williams1177850 min80.8 /90101.1 /9030.3 /90717.5 /90141.5 /9020.2 /90
N. Tavares878621 min101.4 /9060.9 /9081.2 /90547.8 /9060.9 /9000 /90
R. Crichlow-Noble667400 min122.7 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90378.3 /9071.6 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Collinge n 890
0.42/1
0.96/1
—
M. Cox n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
K. Tshimanga n 888.6
1.97/3
0.43/0
—
A. Senior n 886.8
0.65/0
0.63/1
—
C. Lakin n 886.4
0.32/0
1.77/3
—
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Collinge n 890
0.95/2
K. Tshimanga n 888.6
0.11/0
A. Senior n 886.8
1.24/3
C. Lakin n 886.4
0.74/1
O. Gallagher n 881.6
1.78/3
See more players · Pro

Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Tshimanga13891158 min110.9 /9050.4 /90262 /90171.3 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90
T. Knowles1347609 min20.3 /9010.1 /90121.8 /9060.9 /90142.1 /9071 /90
J. Maskell526130 min00 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /9021.4 /9000 /90
D. Ajayi436144 min00 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
I. Williams22039 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Collinge n 890
0.93/3
00/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 888.6
2.77/6
1.77/4
A. Senior n 886.8
1.34/3
0.43/0
C. Lakin n 886.4
3.18/7
1.76/4
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Collinge n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 888.6
17/1
0.32/0
A. Senior n 886.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Lakin n 886.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crewe v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CreweWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
BarnetWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Crewe 1 · 1 draw · Barnet 2 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2026-02-03 Barnet 1–1 Crewe
  • 2025-09-13 Crewe 1–2 Barnet
  • 2018-03-30 Barnet 2–1 Crewe
  • 2017-08-19 Crewe 1–0 Barnet
League standing · 2026/27
Crewe#4 pos21 pts13 pl0 GD
Barnet#2 pos25 pts12 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Crewe scored1.23
Barnet scored2.25
Crewe conceded1.23
Barnet conceded1.42

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Crewe v Barnet?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Barnet is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Barnet?
In their last 4 meetings, Crewe won 1, Barnet won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crewe and Barnet?
Recent form — Crewe 3W 0D 2L; Barnet 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+