Exeter CityAccrington ST

Exeter City v Accrington ST result

Full-time · Exeter City 2–0 Accrington ST

League Two · · St James Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Exeter City 2–0 Accrington ST — Exeter City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 2.00 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Exeter City beat Accrington ST 2–0 at St James Park in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Accrington ST are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Exeter City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: Jackson Fitzwater (2’, assisted by Luca Woodhouse) and Gwion Edwards (13’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jackson Fitzwater’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Exeter City 2.27, Accrington ST 0.29, from 19 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Jackson showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Exeter City: Jayden Wareham (48’), Vincent Harper (55’) and Jackson Fitzwater (68’); Accrington ST: Josh Woods (45+1’) and Tom Moore (85’).

What it changes

Exeter City move up from 18th to 11th (shared) (two league matches played).

Accrington ST move down from third to 17th (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luca Woodhouse (Exeter City) 7.6, Devon Matthews (Accrington ST) 6.3 and Jackson Fitzwater (Exeter City) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Exeter City are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Accrington ST, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Exeter City to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Exeter City next host Cheltenham on 14 November 2026.

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Exeter City 2–0 Accrington ST · League Two
  • Venue: St James Park · Exeter
  • Referee: S. Jackson
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Exeter City 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 0 · 2.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Exeter City 0W 2D 3L · Accrington ST 0W 3D 2L

Exeter City 2–0 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.63 yellows
Referee · S. Jackson
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameExeter City for / againstLineAccrington ST for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 18 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: S. Jackson — 3.63 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 24 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bycroft293186 min73.4 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 891.6
57/6

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. James293186 min31.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90104.8 /9031.5 /9000 /90
J. Fitzwater293186 min62.9 /9021 /9083.9 /90167.7 /9010.5 /9000 /90
L. Woodhouse293186 min41.9 /9031.5 /9000 /90157.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Ethan Sutherland12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.2 /9028.2 /90
C. Cummins293186 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90146.8 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Wareham n 891.6
2.68/7
0.94/2
J. Woods
C. Cummins n 883.8
1.36/3
1.17/1
S. Conneely
E. James n 885.5
1.16/2
1.25/3
F. Rawson
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.74/1
0.73/1
F. Rawson
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.64/0
1.76/3
F. Rawson
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cummins n 883.8
2.67/6
J. Fitzwater n 884
1.75/4
E. James n 885.5
1.64/3
L. Woodhouse n 873
1.45/2
J. Wareham n 891.6
0.95/2
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Wareham293186 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Cole281162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9042.2 /9000 /90
J. Gordon23263 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9011.4 /9000 /9011.4 /90
C. Cummins293186 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9021 /90
A. Oluwabori277154 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9042.3 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wareham n 891.6
2.27/5
16/1
E. James n 885.5
0.75/0
0.11/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.53/0
0.21/0
C. Cummins n 883.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Wareham n 891.6
0.42/1
00/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
00/0
0.21/0
J. Bycroft n 891.6
0.11/0
00/0
E. James n 885.5
00/0
00/0
J. Fitzwater n 884
00/0
00/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Moulden290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Rawson290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90
Devon Matthews275149 min10.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90127.2 /9042.4 /9000 /90
T. Moore261121 min10.7 /9000 /9000 /9096.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
C. O'Brien290180 min42 /9010.5 /9000 /90126 /9052.5 /9000 /90
D. Love290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Rawson n 890
1.36/3
0.53/1
L. Woodhouse
C. O'Brien n 883.1
1.14/1
0.74/1
—
D. Love n 881.6
1.14/3
1.25/2
—
J. Woods n 882
1.46/3
0.84/2
J. Wareham
S. Conneely n 874.6
1.25/3
1.84/3
C. Cummins
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. O'Brien n 883.1
3.58/7
D. Love n 881.6
1.46/3
F. Rawson n 890
15/2
J. Woods n 882
1.56/4
S. Conneely n 874.6
1.25/2
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Woods289177 min00 /9000 /9052.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9000 /90
C. Caton259118 min21.5 /9000 /9086.1 /9064.6 /9000 /9032.3 /90
C. Stockton23977 min00 /9000 /9022.3 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
S. Whalley17575 min00 /9011.2 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9044.8 /9022.4 /90
C. O'Brien290180 min00 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Love n 881.6
0.84/2
00/0
F. Rawson n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
C. O'Brien n 883.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Woods n 882
2.27/5
1.25/3
S. Conneely n 874.6
1.13/2
0.53/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Rawson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. O'Brien n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
D. Love n 881.6
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 882
0.53/1
00/0
S. Conneely n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Exeter CityAccrington ST
36%Possession64%
2.27Expected goals (xG)0.29
19Shots14
5Shots on target2
9Shots off target4
5Blocked shots8
15Shots inside the box6
9Corners1
0Offsides4
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
232Passes421
54%Pass accuracy71%

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bycroft9000000006.6
E. James9000201006.9
J. Fitzwater90102101Y8
L. Woodhouse9001002208.9
C. Cummins9000001007.3
J. Wareham90004201Y6
G. Edwards8900101207
J. Doyle-Hayes8100001307.5
R. Cole8100224006.7
V. Harper70000001Y6.5
J. Gordon7000201105.9
Ethan Sutherland sub2000001007
S. Cox sub2000000006.7
G. Birch sub900001007
T. Perry sub900100106.7
A. Oluwabori sub10000000–

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Moulden9000000007.2
T. Moore90000010Y6.7
F. Rawson9000000106.6
Devon Matthews9000000307.2
D. Love9000002106.3
Joseph Anderson9000103306.9
J. Woods90001021Y6.7
C. O'Brien7800000006.2
S. Conneely7800001006.3
C. Caton7800100005.7
S. Whalley6300211006
C. Stockton sub2600110006.5
Alex Henderson sub1200000106.7
Stefan Mols sub1200000006.5
L. Coyle sub1200000006.3
C. Brown sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Exeter City v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Exeter CityDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Accrington STDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Exeter City 2 · 2 draws · Accrington ST 0 · 2.25 goals/game
  • 2023-03-25 Exeter City 5–0 Accrington ST
  • 2022-08-27 Accrington ST 0–0 Exeter City
  • 2018-04-14 Accrington ST 1–1 Exeter City
  • 2017-11-25 Exeter City 2–0 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Exeter City scored0.79
Accrington ST scored1.64
Exeter City conceded0.64
Accrington ST conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Exeter City v Accrington ST?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Exeter City v Accrington ST was Home win (best price 2.00 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Exeter City and Accrington ST?
In their last 4 meetings, Exeter City won 2, Accrington ST won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Exeter City and Accrington ST?
Recent form — Exeter City 0W 2D 3L; Accrington ST 0W 3D 2L.

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