Exeter City v Rochdale prediction

League Two · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · St James Park

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Exeter City v Rochdale, League Two on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Exeter City host Rochdale in League Two on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Exeter City have conceded nine goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Rochdale have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Rochdale are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Three of Exeter City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%). Both teams scored in four of Exeter City’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Exeter City have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.29. Exeter City have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Rochdale have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Rochdale have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Exeter City (12th) and Rochdale (20th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Exeter City the stronger side, 286 rating points above Rochdale (Exeter City 1573, Rochdale 1287, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 April 2022, finished Exeter City 2–0 Rochdale.

Team news

Predicted Exeter City XI (4-2-3-1): J. Bycroft, J. Fitzwater, L. Woodhouse, L. Samuel, J. Taylor, C. Cummins, G. Birch, A. Scully, T. Perry, J. Doyle-Hayes, J. Gordon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luca Woodhouse (4.4 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Jack Taylor (4.4 per match over five appearances) have been Exeter City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Exeter City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Luca Woodhouse averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1166 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Taylor averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 397 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last six appearances.

Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): S. Waller, A. Flint, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, S. Sherring, H. Gilmour, G. Middleton, B. Adeeko, E. Francis, C. Hayes, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sam Waller (3.9 per match over five appearances) and Charlie Tasker (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sam Waller averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last five appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · League Two · St James Park
Head-to-head (last 2): Exeter City 1 · draws 1 · Rochdale 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Exeter City 3W 1D 1L · Rochdale 0W 2D 3L

Exeter City v Rochdale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5

Corners

against 4.5 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 2.63 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Exeter City for / against	Line	Rochdale for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Bycroft	15	901356 min	412.7 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 8	90	2.3 4/4

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Fitzwater	15	901356 min	231.5 /90	161.1 /90	181.2 /90	916 /90	161.1 /90	40.3 /90
L. Woodhouse	13	901166 min	312.4 /90	211.6 /90	50.4 /90	967.4 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
L. Samuel	11	82902 min	121.2 /90	151.5 /90	20.2 /90	303 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
Ethan Sutherland	9	42376 min	71.7 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	163.8 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
E. James	8	89715 min	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90	546.8 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Fitzwater n 8	90	1.5 6/2	0.5 3/1	—
C. Cummins n 8	90	1.4 6/3	3 8/7	—
J. Bycroft n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
J. Gordon n 8	68.8	1.6 7/2	2.3 6/3	—
L. Woodhouse n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.9 4/3	—
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cummins n 8	90	1.3 6/3
J. Fitzwater n 8	90	1.1 6/2
J. Gordon n 8	68.8	1.3 5/3
L. Woodhouse n 8	90	2.5 8/6
R. Cole n 8	61.8	0.9 3/1
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Gordon	14	65908 min	00 /90	00 /90	191.9 /90	70.7 /90	80.8 /90	80.8 /90
S. Cox	8	44348 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Rose	4	64256 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
J. Wareham	3	92276 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.6 /90	31 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Ajay Matthews	1	1919 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cummins n 8	90	1.5 7/3	0.6 4/1
J. Fitzwater n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
J. Bycroft n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Gordon n 8	68.8	1.6 6/3	0.5 2/1
L. Woodhouse n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.4 3/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Cummins n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Fitzwater n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bycroft n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Gordon n 8	68.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Woodhouse n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Nils Ramming	10	90900 min	333.3 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Sam Waller	5	90450 min	153 /90	51 /90	00 /90

Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 8	90	2.8 6/4
Sam Waller n 5	90	3 4/3

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kaiden Wilson	15	781176 min	131 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90	372.8 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
C. Tasker	10	85853 min	131.4 /90	141.5 /90	30.3 /90	363.8 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
A. Flint	9	90810 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	111.2 /90	444.9 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling	9	75677 min	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	344.5 /90	101.3 /90	30.4 /90
S. Sherring	7	81569 min	121.9 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	284.4 /90	60.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Brown n 8	84.3	2 8/5	1.2 6/2	—
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	1.8 6/4	1.6 7/4	—
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0.6 4/0	0.7 4/1	—
E. Francis n 8	62.6	2 7/3	0.5 2/1	—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	0.4 2/1
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	1.1 5/2
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	2.1 8/7
B. Adeeko n 8	79	1.6 7/3
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0.7 3/1
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Brown	15	821229 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	332.4 /90	141 /90	70.5 /90	131 /90
E. Dieseruvwe	9	61551 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90
I. Henderson	2	4079 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
J. Paterson	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
H. Gilmour	14	831158 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90	70.5 /90	40.3 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	2.9 8/6	1.2 7/2
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Exeter City v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Exeter CityWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

RochdaleDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Exeter City 1 · 1 draw · Rochdale 0 · 2 goals/game

2022-04-23 Exeter City 2–0 Rochdale
2021-11-27 Rochdale 1–1 Exeter City

League standing · 2026/27

Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD

Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Exeter City scored0.79

Rochdale scored1.21

Exeter City conceded0.64

Rochdale conceded1.86

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Exeter City and Rochdale?: In their last 2 meetings, Exeter City won 1, Rochdale won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Exeter City and Rochdale?: Recent form — Exeter City 3W 1D 1L; Rochdale 0W 2D 3L.

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