Fleetwood Town v Rochdale result

Full-time · Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale

League Two · · Highbury Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fleetwood Town · Rochdale · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale — Rochdale won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.29 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale won 2–1 at Highbury Stadium in League Two on Saturday 26 September. Fleetwood Town have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rochdale led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Rochdale: Dajaune Brown (8’, assisted by Glenn Middleton) and Aden Flint (14’, assisted by Dajaune Brown); Fleetwood Town: Mark Helm (30’, assisted by Aaron Loupalo-Bi). Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling (69’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mark Helm’s goal on 30 minutes.

What it changes

Fleetwood Town move down from eighth to 11th (eight league matches played).

Rochdale move up from 16th to 13th (eight league matches played).

Rochdale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dajaune Brown (Rochdale) 7.7, Glenn Middleton (Rochdale) 6.3 and Lewis McCann (Fleetwood Town) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fleetwood Town or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Fleetwood Town next travel to Cheltenham on 20 October 2026.

Rochdale next host Grimsby on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fleetwood Town: Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v Grimsby, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale · League Two
  • Venue: Highbury Stadium · Fleetwood, Lancashire
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fleetwood Town 3 · draws 2 · Rochdale 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fleetwood Town 2W 2D 1L · Rochdale 2W 1D 2L

Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.38
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.13
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFleetwood Town for / againstLineRochdale for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
7.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Will Davies n 852
35/4
1.95/3
—
D. Andrew n 855.5
2.45/3
0.82/1
—
C. Evans n 861.8
25/4
0.74/0
Kane Taylor
R. Coughlan n 846.1
23/3
1.75/2
—
L. McCann n 890
1.47/2
1.47/3
—
Fleetwood Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Evans n 861.8
2.48/3
0.52/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
M. Helm n 880.6
1.85/4
0.11/0
A. Cannon n 862.6
1.86/2
0.73/1
A. Loupalo-Bi n 832.8
1.74/1
0.72/0
Fleetwood Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Coughlan n 846.1
0.73/0
0.21/0
C. Evans n 861.8
0.41/1
0.42/0
A. Loupalo-Bi n 832.8
0.72/0
00/0
Will Davies n 852
0.63/0
00/0
M. Helm n 880.6
00/0
0.31/1
Fleetwood Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Loupalo-Bi n 832.8
2.75/3
Rafaele Cirino n 853.9
2.55/4
A. Cannon n 862.6
2.35/3
L. McCann n 890
2.17/4
S. Rooney n 890
27/4
Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Lynch n 890
2.46/4
Rochdale
Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Henderson n 857.3
25/3
0.83/1
—
D. Brown n 879
1.96/4
1.76/4
—
H. Gilmour n 866.6
1.96/3
1.75/3
—
Z. Silcott-Duberry n 844.9
1.86/1
0.83/0
—
Kane Taylor n 871.4
1.65/2
2.27/4
C. Evans
Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Smith n 826.9
2.14/1
0.41/0
D. Brown n 879
1.77/3
0.95/1
L. Hannant n 862.5
1.34/2
0.53/0
D. Rodney n 853.6
1.33/1
0.61/1
L. Maguire n 850
1.35/1
0.52/0
Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kane Taylor n 871.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
B. Adeeko n 863.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. East n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Rodney n 853.6
0.41/1
00/0
J. Smith n 826.9
0.41/0
00/0
Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 862.5
3.18/5
H. Gilmour n 866.6
2.26/5
B. Bilongo n 855.8
1.83/3
Kane Taylor n 871.4
1.76/3
C. Tasker n 565.4
1.73/1
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 890
3.56/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fleetwood TownRochdale
54%Possession46%
21Shots12
5Shots on target6
13Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box10
5Corners5
0Offsides1
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
4Saves3
448Passes398

Fleetwood Town player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Potter9000101106.6
C. Evans9000422106.3
M. Helm9010211207.3
A. Loupalo-Bi9001302006.8
L. McCann9000314206.2
H. Neal9000402106.4
J. Lynch9000000006.4
S. Rooney9000000005.8
Rafaele Cirino90001011Y5.3
A. Murphy7000004106.4
Kayden Hughes6400100006.2
Jake Thomas Batty2600001105.9
R. Coughlan2000212207.2

Rochdale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Adeeko9000000306.4
A. Flint9010110007.3
C. Tasker9000200306.4
Kaiden Wilson9000000006.9
Sam Waller9000000006.1
H. Gilmour8800000306.4
D. Brown8411321008.6
G. Middleton8401213007.7
O. Adebayo-Rowling69000002R5.6
J. Smith6400421006.5
Kane Taylor6400002206.3
E. Francis2600000006.3
C. Hayes2600001106.7
E. Dieseruvwe600000006
D. Rodney600000106.6
S. Sherring200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fleetwood Town v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fleetwood TownDWDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
RochdaleLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fleetwood Town 3 · 2 draws · Rochdale 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2021-04-10 Fleetwood Town 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2020-10-03 Rochdale 2–1 Fleetwood Town
  • 2019-12-26 Rochdale 2–3 Fleetwood Town
  • 2019-09-21 Fleetwood Town 2–1 Rochdale
  • 2019-01-19 Rochdale 1–1 Fleetwood Town
  • 2018-08-18 Fleetwood Town 2–2 Rochdale
League standing · 2026/27
Fleetwood Town#12 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD
Rochdale#13 pos14 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Fleetwood Town scored1.09
Rochdale scored1.18
Fleetwood Town conceded1
Rochdale conceded1.36

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Fleetwood Town v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fleetwood Town v Rochdale was Home or Draw (best price 1.29 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Fleetwood Town and Rochdale?
In their last 6 meetings, Fleetwood Town won 3, Rochdale won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fleetwood Town and Rochdale?
Recent form — Fleetwood Town 2W 2D 1L; Rochdale 2W 1D 2L.

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