GillinghamGrimsby

Gillingham v Grimsby result

Full-time · Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gillingham · Grimsby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby won 4–1 at Gillingham in League Two on Saturday 18 April. Grimsby have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: Andrew Cook (42’, assisted by Kieran Green), J. Kabia (74’), Kieran Green (80’, assisted by Charles Vernam) and Charles Vernam (85’, assisted by Kieran Green); Gillingham: Garath McCleary (55’, assisted by Armani Little).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Kabia’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Gillingham 0.98, Grimsby 2.58, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Mackey showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gillingham: Armani Little (45+3’) and Ronan Hale (90+3’); Grimsby: Justin Amaluzor (45’).

What it changes

Gillingham stay 17th after this result (44 league matches played). Gillingham have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Gillingham have conceded 72 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby stay eighth after this result (43 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Grimsby have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 44, across 12 matches. Gillingham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Green (Grimsby) 12.9, Andrew Cook (Grimsby) 7.5 and Charles Vernam (Grimsby) 7.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Grimsby are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Gillingham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gillingham or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Gillingham next travel to Colchester on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby · League Two
  • Referee: O. Mackey
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 1 · draws 2 · Grimsby 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 1W 2D 2L · Grimsby 3W 0D 2L

Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.86 yellows
Referee · O. Mackey
26.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: O. Mackey — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Gillingham

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hutton n 885.6
0.74/1
0.83/2
C. McJannet
S. Gale n 890
1.47/2
1.16/2
C. McJannet
M. Clark n 887.3
1.55/3
0.43/0
H. Rodgers
R. McKenzie n 870.3
1.14/1
0.64/0
—
B. Dack n 865.4
2.26/3
2.16/4
—
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Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Hutton n 885.6
1.36/3
S. Gale n 890
1.66/4
M. Clark n 887.3
2.46/4
R. McKenzie n 870.3
1.35/2
B. Dack n 865.4
3.17/5
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Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Hutton n 885.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Gale n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 887.3
0.63/2
00/0
R. McKenzie n 870.3
13/2
0.21/0
B. Dack n 865.4
1.25/2
0.52/1
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Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Hutton n 885.6
00/0
00/0
S. Gale n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 887.3
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
B. Dack n 865.4
00/0
00/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith23902078 min462 /90221 /9010 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
1.22/2

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet46904127 min611.3 /90410.9 /90270.6 /903537.7 /90290.6 /9070.2 /90
H. Rodgers46863971 min521.2 /90290.7 /90160.4 /902696.1 /90190.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton30762267 min502 /90261 /9060.2 /901626.4 /90150.6 /9030.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren21801684 min351.9 /90301.6 /90150.8 /901246.6 /90201.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
0.94/3
S. Gale
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.74/1
0.73/1
M. Clark
K. Green n 887.3
0.85/1
0.43/0
—
Jaze Kabia n 877.1
0.64/0
2.57/7
—
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
1.27/2
H. Rodgers n 883.6
1.26/3
K. Green n 887.3
1.36/3
Jaze Kabia n 877.1
1.66/4
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia42702959 min150.5 /9020.1 /90571.7 /90351.1 /90200.6 /90170.5 /90
A. Cook19641223 min70.5 /9020.1 /90332.4 /90181.3 /90151.1 /9060.4 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green42793332 min120.3 /9020.1 /90551.5 /90270.7 /90521.4 /90220.6 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.22/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
1.77/4
17/1
Jaze Kabia n 877.1
2.27/4
1.55/4
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.3
0.53/1
00/0
Jaze Kabia n 877.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamGrimsby
49%Possession51%
0.98Expected goals (xG)2.58
9Shots14
3Shots on target6
6Shots off target3
0Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box10
5Corners3
4Offsides1
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
298Passes320
65%Pass accuracy68%

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Morris9000000006
R. Hutton9000000305.7
S. Gale9000000206.5
M. Clark9000112406.3
A. Little90011033Y7.3
S. Palmer-Houlden9000101006
Ronan Hale90003000Y6
N. Khumbeni8800000106.3
G. McCleary8710210007.2
Lenni Rae Cirino7900000206.7
C. Masterson7800000006.9
S. Vokes sub1200000006.3
B. Dack sub1100000006.5
Travis Akomeah sub1000000006.9
H. Waldock sub900110106.9

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000007.3
H. Rodgers9000000106.9
M. Kacurri9000000006.9
C. McJannet9000000207.3
K. Green90122230010
A. Cook9010321107
C. Oduor8800001206.2
R. Staunton7600001007.2
Justin Amaluzor76000010Y5.5
Jaze Kabia7610110107.3
J. Walker6600100306.7
G. Turi sub2400000006.9
J. Sweeney sub1400000006.6
D. Burns sub1400000006.3
C. Vernam sub1411211007.9
T. Warren sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GrimsbyWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 1 · 2 draws · Grimsby 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Grimsby 1–0 Gillingham
  • 2025-01-28 Grimsby 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-10-01 Gillingham 0–1 Grimsby
  • 2024-03-16 Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2023-09-02 Grimsby 2–0 Gillingham
  • 2023-02-14 Gillingham 2–1 Grimsby
League standing · 2025/26
Gillingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-19 GD
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.15
Grimsby scored1.61
Gillingham conceded1.57
Grimsby conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Grimsby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 1, Grimsby won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Grimsby?
Recent form — Gillingham 1W 2D 2L; Grimsby 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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