GrimsbyCarlisle

Grimsby v Carlisle result

Full-time · Grimsby 2–1 Carlisle

League Two · · Blundell Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Carlisle · Head-to-head

Grimsby 2–1 Carlisle — Grimsby won this League Two match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Carlisle 2–1 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 8 February.

The goals

Grimsby came from behind: Carlisle led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: Samuel Lavelle (5’, assisted by E. Embleton); Grimsby: Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu (62’, assisted by E. Khouri) and Daniel Rose (83’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 0.00, Carlisle 0.00, from 26 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Z. Kennard-Kettle showed six yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Grimsby: E. Khouri (71’); Carlisle: Joseph Hugill (44’), Samuel Lavelle (51’), E. Embleton (75’), E. Robson (82’) and T. Thomas (90+4’).

What it changes

Grimsby have scored 61 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Carlisle have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Rose (Grimsby) 9.5, George McEachran (Grimsby) 8.6 and J. Williams (Carlisle) 5.7 led the match.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 2–1 Carlisle · League Two
  • Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
  • Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 1 · draws 3 · Carlisle 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 1W 2D 2L · Carlisle 1W 0D 4L

Grimsby 2–1 Carlisle (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 6.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.75
Cards
against 2 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 February 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 February 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineCarlisle for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle.

Grimsby

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 889.1
0.63/2
0.85/1
S. Lavelle
E. Khouri n 886.9
15/3
1.67/3
—
D. Hume n 885
1.15/2
0.94/3
—
D. Rose n 858.8
1.34/2
2.95/3
—
H. Rodgers n 890
0.11/0
0.95/2
S. Lavelle
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 889.1
1.36/3
E. Khouri n 886.9
2.17/4
D. Hume n 885
1.56/3
D. Rose n 858.8
0.63/0
H. Rodgers n 890
16/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 889.1
0.53/1
0.43/0
E. Khouri n 886.9
1.26/3
0.64/1
D. Hume n 885
0.31/1
00/0
D. Rose n 858.8
2.56/4
1.15/1
H. Rodgers n 890
0.32/0
00/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 889.1
0.32/0
00/0
E. Khouri n 886.9
0.32/0
00/0
D. Hume n 885
00/0
0.43/0
D. Rose n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
H. Rodgers n 890
00/0
00/0
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Carlisle

Carlisle Defensive

Carlisle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Lavelle n 887.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
H. Rodgers
J. Mellish n 886.5
0.32/0
1.36/3
—
D. Sadi n 883.3
1.55/2
1.98/4
—
C. Harper n 870.8
0.53/0
0.63/1
—
H. Neal n 849
2.55/3
1.14/1
—
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Carlisle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 887.4
1.55/3
J. Mellish n 886.5
1.36/2
D. Sadi n 883.3
3.28/6
C. Harper n 870.8
1.46/2
H. Neal n 849
4.48/6
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Carlisle Attacking

Carlisle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 887.4
0.53/1
0.31/1
J. Mellish n 886.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Sadi n 883.3
0.94/2
0.74/1
C. Harper n 870.8
0.21/0
00/0
H. Neal n 849
0.51/1
0.21/0
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Carlisle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 1 February 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 887.4
0.11/0
00/0
J. Mellish n 886.5
00/0
0.11/0
D. Sadi n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
C. Harper n 870.8
00/0
00/0
H. Neal n 849
00/0
00/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyCarlisle
50%Possession50%
26Shots6
11Shots on target3
6Shots off target1
9Blocked shots2
18Shots inside the box3
12Corners4
3Offsides1
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Saves9
325Passes333
67%Pass accuracy63%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000006.5
H. Rodgers9000112107.9
D. Tharme9000001107.2
J. Svanþórsson9000112108.2
G. McEachran9000001807.7
D. Hume9000118107.7
D. Rose9010220306.9
E. Khouri88010022Y7.3
K. Green8700511107.6
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu8410530106.9
C. McJannet7900001106.9
C. Vernam sub1300221007.2
T. Warren sub1100000006.3
C. Thompson sub1000000106.6
Luca Barrington sub900000006.3

Carlisle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Breeze9000000008.3
J. Williams9000001706.7
T. Thomas90000002Y7
C. McArthur9000000406.5
C. Whelan9000000106.2
K. Harris9000101306.7
J. Hugill90000001Y6.7
S. Lavelle89101102Y7.2
E. Embleton77012220Y7.3
W. Patching6400000106.6
S. Wearne6300001106.3
J. Bevan sub2700000106.2
E. Robson sub26000001Y6.7
C. Scott sub1300000006.3
B. Barclay sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CarlisleLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 1 · 3 draws · Carlisle 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2024-09-28 Carlisle 2–3 Grimsby
  • 2023-03-04 Carlisle 2–0 Grimsby
  • 2022-09-27 Grimsby 1–2 Carlisle
  • 2021-03-09 Carlisle 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2020-10-24 Grimsby 1–1 Carlisle
  • 2019-12-14 Carlisle 0–0 Grimsby
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Grimsby#9 pos68 pts46 pl-6 GD
Carlisle#23 pos42 pts46 pl-27 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.33
Carlisle scored0.96
Grimsby conceded1.46
Carlisle conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Carlisle?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 1, Carlisle won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Carlisle?
Recent form — Grimsby 1W 2D 2L; Carlisle 1W 0D 4L.

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