GrimsbyCrewe

Grimsby v Crewe result

Full-time · Grimsby 3–2 Crewe

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Crewe · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 3–2 Crewe — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Crewe 3–2 in League Two on Saturday 11 April. It is Grimsby’s first win over Crewe since 13 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: Andrew Cook (10’, assisted by Harvey Rodgers; 58’, assisted by Darragh Burns) and Kieran Green (49’, assisted by Andrew Cook); Crewe: T. O'Reilly (88’ pen) and Mickey Demetriou (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Andrew Cook’s goal on 10 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 2.06, Crewe 2.00, from 16 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Rock showed one yellow card — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Maldini Kacurri (62’).

What it changes

Grimsby stay eighth after this result (41 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Grimsby have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Crewe move down from eighth to 10th (43 league matches played). Crewe have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Crewe have conceded 58 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrew Cook (Grimsby) 11.7, Darragh Burns (Grimsby) 8.4 and Mickey Demetriou (Crewe) 6.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Crewe are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Grimsby.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby or Crewe (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 3–2 Crewe · League Two
  • Referee: D. Rock
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 3 · draws 0 · Crewe 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 3W 0D 2L · Crewe 3W 1D 1L

Grimsby 3–2 Crewe (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.88 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.73 yellows
Referee · D. Rock
24.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineCrewe for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 8.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: D. Rock — 4.73 yellow cards a game, 0.45 red cards, 24.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith21901898 min452.1 /90180.9 /9010 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
23/3

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet44903947 min601.4 /90370.8 /90240.5 /903447.8 /90280.6 /9070.2 /90
H. Rodgers44883850 min521.2 /90280.7 /90150.4 /902666.2 /90190.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton28752087 min441.9 /90241 /9060.3 /901506.5 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren19861625 min341.9 /90301.7 /90140.8 /901196.6 /90191.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
1.25/4
J. Connolly
H. Rodgers n 888.5
0.64/1
0.84/1
R. Hutchinson
K. Green n 880.4
0.85/1
0.43/0
T. O'Reilly
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
1.45/2
2.97/6
—
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
1.27/2
H. Rodgers n 888.5
1.47/4
K. Green n 880.4
1.35/3
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
1.46/2
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia40702791 min140.5 /9020.1 /90541.7 /90331.1 /90190.6 /90170.5 /90
A. Cook17621052 min50.4 /9010.1 /90262.2 /90161.4 /90100.9 /9060.5 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green40793160 min110.3 /9020.1 /90541.5 /90260.7 /90521.5 /90210.6 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.22/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 888.5
0.93/3
0.42/1
K. Green n 880.4
28/4
1.17/1
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
1.95/3
1.34/3
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
K. Green n 880.4
0.63/1
00/0
Jaze Kabia n 870.6
0.63/1
0.21/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
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Crewe

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Billington n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
T. O'Reilly n 883.1
2.37/6
2.36/5
K. Green
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
1.25/3
0.94/1
H. Rodgers
Calum Agius n 874.9
1.13/2
0.85/0
—
J. Connolly n 876.4
1.54/3
1.35/2
C. McJannet
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Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
1.57/4
T. O'Reilly n 883.1
2.38/5
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
2.28/3
Calum Agius n 874.9
2.18/4
J. Connolly n 876.4
0.73/2
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Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
0.53/1
00/0
T. O'Reilly n 883.1
1.65/5
1.15/2
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Calum Agius n 874.9
0.83/1
0.32/0
J. Connolly n 876.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Billington n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. O'Reilly n 883.1
00/0
0.42/1
R. Hutchinson n 885.3
0.11/0
00/0
Calum Agius n 874.9
00/0
00/0
J. Connolly n 876.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyCrewe
46%Possession54%
2.06Expected goals (xG)2.00
16Shots8
3Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
9Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box7
2Corners5
0Offsides1
8Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
291Passes348
60%Pass accuracy64%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000006.7
M. Kacurri90000002Y6.5
C. McJannet9000000106.7
R. Staunton9000003206.9
D. Burns9001004307.3
Jaze Kabia9000101206.3
K. Green8210110107.7
A. Cook8121423009.3
G. Turi7600000407.2
C. Oduor7600000206.7
H. Rodgers6601001007
T. Warren sub2400000106.2
J. Walker sub1400002007.3
J. Sweeney sub1400000105.3
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell sub900101006.2
Justin Amaluzor sub800001006.7

Crewe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Lawlor9000000005.3
L. Billington9000001106.9
J. Connolly9000000105.9
M. Demetriou9010110107.2
M. Sanders9000000207.3
T. O'Reilly9010111106.2
M. Holíček9000002407.2
R. Hutchinson8400100005.7
J. March7600100106.2
E. Tezgel7600100006.3
J. Powell5900002206.5
Calum Agius sub3100000307.3
A. Thibaut sub1400000006.5
O. Bogle sub1400000106.2
S. Tracey sub1400000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Crewe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CreweDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 3 · 0 draws · Crewe 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Crewe 3–2 Grimsby
  • 2025-04-01 Crewe 2–0 Grimsby
  • 2024-12-14 Grimsby 0–2 Crewe
  • 2024-04-13 Crewe 0–3 Grimsby
  • 2023-12-09 Grimsby 2–1 Crewe
  • 2023-04-25 Grimsby 2–0 Crewe
League standing · 2025/26
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Crewe#11 pos67 pts46 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.61
Crewe scored1.39
Grimsby conceded1.09
Crewe conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Crewe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Crewe was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Crewe?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 3, Crewe won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Crewe?
Recent form — Grimsby 3W 0D 2L; Crewe 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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