Grimsby v Fleetwood Town result

Full-time · Grimsby 2–2 Fleetwood Town

League Two · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Blundell Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Fleetwood Town

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 2–2 Fleetwood Town — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby and Fleetwood Town drew 2–2 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 29 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Grimsby out-shot Fleetwood Town 15 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.80 xG to 1.39 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Fleetwood Town: Will Davies (6’, assisted by Chedwyn Evans) and Finley Potter (69’, assisted by Ronan Coughlan); Grimsby: Cian Doyle (37’, assisted by Kieran Green) and Andrew Cook (64’, assisted by Géza Turi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Finley Potter’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Grimsby: Harvey Rodgers (25’) and Maldini Kacurri (78’); Fleetwood Town: Andy Cannon (28’), Finley Potter (45+1’), Will Davies (57’) and Rhys Bennett (61’).

What it changes

Grimsby move down from second to fifth (shared) (three league matches played).

Fleetwood Town move down from fourth to fifth (shared) (three league matches played).

Grimsby are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Fleetwood Town are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cian Doyle (Grimsby) 8.3, C. Doyle (Grimsby) 8.3 and Andrew Cook (Grimsby) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Grimsby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Fleetwood Town.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby or Fleetwood Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Fleetwood Town next host Rochdale on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Fleetwood Town: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Grimsby 2–2 Fleetwood Town · League Two
Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes
Referee: R. Massey-Ellis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Grimsby 3 · draws 0 · Fleetwood Town 1 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Grimsby 1W 2D 2L · Fleetwood Town 3W 2D 0L

Grimsby 2–2 Fleetwood Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5

Goals

against 1 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6.86 / 5

Corners

against 4.86 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.14 / 4

Shots on target

against 2.43 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

0.86 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.14 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Grimsby for / against	Line	Fleetwood Town for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.86 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.5 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.14 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.86 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Massey-Ellis.

Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Pym	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Pym n 8	85.4	0.9 3/0

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. McJannet	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90	186 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
H. Rodgers	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	124 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
J. Sweeney	3	90270 min	155 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	237.7 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
M. Kacurri	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90	196.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
C. Vernam	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	113.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Sweeney n 8	80.4	1.4 4/3	1.1 5/2	S. Rooney
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.1 4/3	0.1 1/0	R. Bennett
C. McJannet n 8	90	0.9 4/1	0.8 5/1	R. Bennett
H. Rodgers n 8	82	0.4 3/0	0.5 2/1	F. Potter
C. Vernam n 8	57.9	0.4 1/1	1.4 4/2	—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Sweeney n 8	80.4	3.2 7/6
C. McJannet n 8	90	1.6 6/4
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.6 7/4
H. Rodgers n 8	82	1 5/2
C. Vernam n 8	57.9	0.6 2/1
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Cook	3	78234 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	41.5 /90	31.2 /90
Iwan Morgan	3	2471 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	78.9 /90
J. Andrews	2	1631 min	00 /90	00 /90	25.8 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90	00 /90
C. Vernam	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	20.7 /90
G. Turi	3	90269 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Vernam n 8	57.9	1.2 4/2	0.6 2/1
C. McJannet n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.5 3/1
H. Rodgers n 8	82	0.8 3/2	0.4 2/1
J. Sweeney n 8	80.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Vernam n 8	57.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
H. Rodgers n 8	82	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. McJannet n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Pym n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town Goalkeeper

Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Lynch	4	90360 min	112.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Fleetwood Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Lynch n 8	90	2.5 5/5

Fleetwood Town Defensive

Fleetwood Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Potter	4	90360 min	41 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	143.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
R. Bennett	4	90360 min	41 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	184.5 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
S. Rooney	4	90360 min	112.8 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	338.3 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
D. Andrew	3	36108 min	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	65 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
H. Neal	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90	225.5 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
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Fleetwood Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. McCann n 8	72.1	2.2 6/4	1.1 5/1	—
S. Rooney n 8	84.3	1.7 8/3	1.3 5/3	J. Sweeney
H. Neal n 8	87.6	1.4 7/2	0.9 4/2	—
R. Bennett n 8	79.8	0.8 4/1	1 6/1	C. McJannet
F. Potter n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0	H. Rodgers
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Fleetwood Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Neal n 8	87.6	2.6 7/6
S. Rooney n 8	84.3	2.5 6/5
L. McCann n 8	72.1	2.2 6/3
F. Potter n 8	90	1.1 4/2
R. Bennett n 8	79.8	1.1 4/2
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Fleetwood Town Attacking

Fleetwood Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Evans	4	76303 min	41.2 /90	00 /90	103 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90
Will Davies	4	75298 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
A. Loupalo-Bi	2	4488 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90
H. Neal	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
L. McCann	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90
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Fleetwood Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. McCann n 8	72.1	1.2 4/4	0.3 2/0
S. Rooney n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
F. Potter n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Neal n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Bennett n 8	79.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Fleetwood Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fleetwood Town before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Potter n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Lynch n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Neal n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Rooney n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Bennett n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Grimsby		Fleetwood Town
58%	Possession	42%
2.80	Expected goals (xG)	1.39
15	Shots	11
5	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	4
6	Blocked shots	3
11	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	5
4	Offsides	3
15	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
385	Passes	285
74%	Pass accuracy	66%

Grimsby Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Turi	90	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	6.9
A. Cook	90	1	0	4	3	1	0	0	7.9
K. Green	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7
M. Kacurri	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
C. McJannet	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
H. Rodgers	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	6.9
J. Sweeney	90	0	0	1	0	4	3	0	6.3
C. Pym	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Cian Doyle	83	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.2
C. Doyle	83	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.2
C. Vernam	74	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
Justin Amaluzor	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
S. Finch sub	45	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.3
Iwan Morgan sub	16	0	0	1	1	1	4	0	7
J. Walker sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Fleetwood Town Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Potter	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.6
C. Evans	90	0	1	3	0	1	1	0	7.7
M. Helm	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
L. McCann	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
H. Neal	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
J. Lynch	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
S. Rooney	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.5
R. Bennett	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Rafaele Cirino	85	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Cannon	77	0	0	0	0	4	0	Y	6.3
Will Davies	60	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.2
R. Coughlan sub	30	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
A. Murphy sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Andrew sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Fleetwood Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GrimsbyLDLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Fleetwood TownDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Grimsby 3 · 0 draws · Fleetwood Town 1 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-03-17 Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town
2026-01-01 Fleetwood Town 0–1 Grimsby
2025-02-22 Grimsby 2–1 Fleetwood Town
2024-08-10 Fleetwood Town 1–0 Grimsby

League standing · 2026/27

Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD

Fleetwood Town#16 pos17 pts14 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Grimsby scored1.71

Fleetwood Town scored1.29

Grimsby conceded1.29

Fleetwood Town conceded1.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Fleetwood Town?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Fleetwood Town was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Fleetwood Town?: In their last 4 meetings, Grimsby won 3, Fleetwood Town won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Fleetwood Town?: Recent form — Grimsby 1W 2D 2L; Fleetwood Town 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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