GrimsbyHarrogate Town

Grimsby v Harrogate Town result

Full-time · Grimsby 1–3 Harrogate Town

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Harrogate Town · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 1–3 Harrogate Town — Harrogate Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Harrogate Town won 3–1 at Grimsby in League Two on Friday 3 April. It is Harrogate Town’s first win over Grimsby since 9 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Harrogate Town led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Harrogate Town: T. Brenan (21’, assisted by Reece Smith), Jack Evans (27’, assisted by T. Brenan) and B. Morris (80’, assisted by L. Sutton); Grimsby: Kieran Green (39’, assisted by Cameron McJannet).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kieran Green’s goal on 39 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 0.00, Harrogate Town 0.00, from 19 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Humphries showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Darragh Burns (30’); Harrogate Town: C. Headman (60’), B. Morris (90+1’) and H. Gray (90+5’).

What it changes

Grimsby move down from seventh to 10th (39 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Grimsby have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Harrogate Town stay 23rd after this result (41 league matches played). Harrogate Town have scored 39 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Harrogate Town have conceded 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Evans (Harrogate Town) 8.0, Tobias Brenan (Harrogate Town) 7.4 and Cameron McJannet (Grimsby) 7.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Grimsby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Harrogate Town.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Harrogate Town next host Altrincham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Altrincham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 1–3 Harrogate Town · League Two
  • Referee: A. Humphries
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 1 · draws 3 · Harrogate Town 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 3W 1D 1L · Harrogate Town 1W 0D 4L

Grimsby 1–3 Harrogate Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 0.88
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.86 yellows
Referee · A. Humphries
19.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineHarrogate Town for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Humphries — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0.71 red cards, 19.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith19901710 min452.4 /90150.8 /9010.1 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 890
2.34/3

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet42903759 min581.4 /90360.9 /90240.6 /903277.8 /90270.6 /9070.2 /90
H. Rodgers42873662 min491.2 /90280.7 /90150.4 /902576.3 /90180.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton26731899 min432 /90231.1 /9050.2 /901436.8 /90110.5 /9010 /90
J. Sweeney22821798 min351.8 /90201 /90100.5 /90984.9 /90211.1 /9030.2 /90
T. Warren19861625 min341.9 /90301.7 /90140.8 /901196.6 /90191.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 887.4
0.43/0
14/3
J. Slater
H. Rodgers n 887.5
0.64/1
16/1
J. Slater
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.52/1
0.52/1
—
K. Green n 880.8
1.46/2
0.43/0
R. Smith
Jaze Kabia n 864.6
1.74/3
2.66/4
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 887.4
1.37/2
H. Rodgers n 887.5
1.87/5
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.93/2
K. Green n 880.8
1.45/4
Jaze Kabia n 864.6
0.95/0
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia38692605 min130.4 /9020.1 /90501.7 /90311.1 /90170.6 /90140.5 /90
A. Cook1558873 min50.5 /9000 /90232.4 /90141.4 /9080.8 /9060.6 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
C. Vernam39742904 min100.3 /9090.3 /90672.1 /90421.3 /90692.1 /90300.9 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 887.4
00/0
00/0
H. Rodgers n 887.5
0.62/2
0.31/1
C. Vernam n 861.8
27/4
1.56/2
K. Green n 880.8
1.57/3
0.85/1
Jaze Kabia n 864.6
1.43/2
13/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 887.4
00/0
00/0
H. Rodgers n 887.5
00/0
00/0
C. Vernam n 861.8
0.53/0
0.42/0
K. Green n 880.8
0.42/1
00/0
Jaze Kabia n 864.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town Defensive

Harrogate Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Smith n 883.3
0.11/0
0.74/1
K. Green
J. Evans n 888.8
1.67/4
0.94/1
—
B. Morris n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
—
J. Slater n 890
0.84/2
27/6
H. Rodgers
A. O'Connor n 881.3
1.16/2
0.32/0
—
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Harrogate Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
28/6
J. Evans n 888.8
3.37/7
B. Morris n 884.4
1.67/4
J. Slater n 890
1.68/4
A. O'Connor n 881.3
1.24/3
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Harrogate Town Attacking

Harrogate Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
1.67/3
0.85/1
J. Evans n 888.8
0.95/2
0.63/2
B. Morris n 884.4
0.84/2
0.32/0
J. Slater n 890
0.65/0
00/0
A. O'Connor n 881.3
15/1
0.11/0
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Harrogate Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Evans n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
B. Morris n 884.4
00/0
00/0
J. Slater n 890
00/0
00/0
A. O'Connor n 881.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyHarrogate Town
70%Possession30%
19Shots6
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target2
7Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box3
8Corners2
2Offsides4
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves5
424Passes188
71%Pass accuracy52%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9800000006.2
H. Rodgers9800000206.2
C. McJannet9801112107.2
R. Staunton9800003006.7
K. Green9810310007.3
Jaze Kabia9800102306.9
A. Cook9800111006.3
M. Kacurri8500000006
G. Turi8500102306.9
J. Walker7200320106.9
D. Burns60000010Y6.2
Justin Amaluzor sub3800210006.7
J. Svanþórsson sub2600000106.6
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell sub1300001006.7
C. Oduor sub1300000106.6

Harrogate Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Gray98000000Y8
Cathal Heffernan9800000106.3
L. Gibson9800000306.6
J. Slater9800000106.2
B. Morris98101103Y7.3
J. Evans9810110507.9
Tobias Brenan7911111007.9
C. Headman72001000Y6.2
G. Thomson7200001006.5
R. Smith7201001106.5
S. McCoulsky6700000006
E. Acquah sub3100000006.7
L. Sutton sub2601002006.6
L. Cass sub2600000006.6
B. Faulkner sub2600000006.9
E. Taylor sub1900100006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Harrogate Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Harrogate TownLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 1 · 3 draws · Harrogate Town 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Harrogate Town 3–3 Grimsby
  • 2025-04-12 Harrogate Town 2–2 Grimsby
  • 2024-12-26 Grimsby 2–1 Harrogate Town
  • 2024-04-09 Harrogate Town 1–0 Grimsby
  • 2023-12-23 Grimsby 1–2 Harrogate Town
  • 2023-02-21 Grimsby 0–0 Harrogate Town
League standing · 2025/26
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Harrogate Town#23 pos39 pts46 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.61
Harrogate Town scored0.85
Grimsby conceded1.09
Harrogate Town conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Harrogate Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Harrogate Town was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Harrogate Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 1, Harrogate Town won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Harrogate Town?
Recent form — Grimsby 3W 1D 1L; Harrogate Town 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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