GrimsbySwindon Town

Grimsby v Swindon Town result

Full-time · Grimsby 4–0 Swindon Town

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Swindon Town · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 4–0 Swindon Town — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Swindon Town 4–0 in League Two on Saturday 25 April. Grimsby have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: J. Kabia (8’ pen; 43’, assisted by Reece Staunton; 58’) and Maldini Kacurri (22’, assisted by Reece Staunton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Kabia’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Grimsby 1.76, Swindon Town 0.40, from 16 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Brook showed two yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Filozofe Mabete (88’) and Joel McGregor (90+6’).

What it changes

Grimsby move up from seventh to fifth (45 league matches played).

Swindon Town move down from fifth to seventh (45 league matches played).

It is Grimsby’s first win over Swindon Town since 20 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Grimsby have won their last three matches in all competitions. Swindon Town are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jaze Kabia (Grimsby) 14.7, Reece Staunton (Grimsby) 10.1 and Maldini Kacurri (Grimsby) 8.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Grimsby.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 4–0 Swindon Town · League Two
  • Referee: C. Brook
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 1 · draws 1 · Swindon Town 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 4W 0D 1L · Swindon Town 1W 3D 1L

Grimsby 4–0 Swindon Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 7.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · C. Brook
21.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineSwindon Town for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
7.88 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
7.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: C. Brook — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith25902258 min492 /90241 /9020.1 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
1.12/1

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet48904307 min641.3 /90450.9 /90270.6 /903697.7 /90290.6 /9070.1 /90
H. Rodgers48864151 min551.2 /90320.7 /90170.4 /902806.1 /90200.4 /9070.2 /90
R. Staunton32762432 min532 /90281 /9060.2 /901756.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren21801684 min351.9 /90301.6 /90150.8 /901246.6 /90201.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.22/0
1.16/3
—
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.53/1
0.52/1
—
K. Green n 884.6
0.74/1
0.54/0
O. Palmer
Jaze Kabia n 887.5
0.95/2
2.28/6
—
C. Vernam n 854.1
0.62/1
0.62/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
1.17/2
H. Rodgers n 883.6
1.16/2
K. Green n 884.6
1.15/2
Jaze Kabia n 887.5
1.97/5
C. Vernam n 854.1
0.62/1
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia44713125 min160.5 /9020.1 /90591.7 /90361 /90210.6 /90180.5 /90
A. Cook21671403 min80.5 /9020.1 /90392.5 /90201.3 /90161 /90120.8 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green44793491 min140.4 /9040.1 /90591.5 /90310.8 /90561.4 /90260.7 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
0.22/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.52/2
0.11/0
K. Green n 884.6
1.77/4
1.37/3
Jaze Kabia n 887.5
1.88/3
1.25/3
C. Vernam n 854.1
1.96/3
1.55/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 883.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 884.6
0.85/1
0.31/1
Jaze Kabia n 887.5
0.85/1
0.11/0
C. Vernam n 854.1
0.63/0
0.42/0
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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley46894100 min1202.6 /90581.3 /9010 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
3.66/5

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Wright34802716 min531.8 /90301 /90190.6 /901464.8 /90210.7 /9050.2 /90
Joel McGregor31591837 min592.9 /90321.6 /9040.2 /901728.4 /90211 /9040.2 /90
R. Tafazolli22751644 min221.2 /90221.2 /90311.7 /901628.9 /9070.4 /9030.2 /90
Filozofe Mabete21561174 min241.8 /90201.5 /90100.8 /90685.2 /90131 /9020.2 /90
B. Kirkman959533 min203.4 /90111.9 /9061 /90376.2 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.73/1
14/1
—
O. Palmer n 844.9
1.34/1
1.85/2
K. Green
A. Drinan n 888
0.52/2
0.63/2
—
T. Nichols n 856.1
1.25/1
0.84/0
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
2.88/7
O. Palmer n 844.9
0.83/0
A. Drinan n 888
00/0
T. Nichols n 856.1
26/3
D. Oldaker n 878.9
1.98/3
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Palmer40612429 min90.3 /9020.1 /90501.9 /90301.1 /90291.1 /90240.9 /90
G. Kilkenny41843453 min10 /9010 /90200.5 /9070.2 /90270.7 /90240.6 /90
A. Drinan39863342 min220.6 /9040.1 /90732 /90441.2 /90280.8 /90220.6 /90
T. Nichols38692613 min10 /9000 /90100.3 /9050.2 /90170.6 /90190.7 /90
D. Oldaker37702576 min10 /9050.2 /90200.7 /9070.2 /90250.9 /90240.8 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 844.9
1.85/1
1.33/1
A. Drinan n 888
1.77/4
0.95/2
T. Nichols n 856.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.32/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
00/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 844.9
0.31/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 888
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Nichols n 856.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbySwindon Town
39%Possession61%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.40
16Shots11
6Shots on target2
6Shots off target2
4Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box6
9Corners5
2Offsides0
7Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
250Passes408
52%Pass accuracy68%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000007.5
M. Kacurri9010110108.5
C. McJannet9000110007.2
R. Staunton9002114308
G. Turi9000003107.2
A. Cook9000100006.3
Justin Amaluzor7800100106.5
K. Green7800200406.9
Jaze Kabia6230330209.6
H. Rodgers6100000106.9
C. Oduor6100000006.3
T. Warren sub2900000107.2
J. Walker sub2900000207.3
C. Vernam sub2800100006.6
D. Burns sub1200100106.6
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell sub1200001006.5

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000006
W. Wright9000001205.9
Jake Thomas Batty9000001005.7
T. Nichols9000000606.9
Aidan Borland9000002006.2
O. Palmer9000210006.3
A. Drinan7100000006.7
Jamie Knight-Lebel4500000105.7
T. Wilson-Brown4500000006
B. Bodin4500000006.2
J. Hoilett4500000106
Joel McGregor sub45001000Y5.9
Filozofe Mabete sub45000000Y6
M. Olakigbe sub4500001106.3
F. Holman sub4500110006.3
B. Middlemas sub1900001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Swindon TownDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 1 · 1 draw · Swindon Town 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Swindon Town 2–2 Grimsby
  • 2025-04-18 Grimsby 0–4 Swindon Town
  • 2024-12-21 Swindon Town 3–1 Grimsby
  • 2024-04-20 Grimsby 2–0 Swindon Town
  • 2023-09-30 Swindon Town 2–1 Grimsby
  • 2023-01-14 Swindon Town 5–0 Grimsby
League standing · 2025/26
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.61
Swindon Town scored1.52
Grimsby conceded1.09
Swindon Town conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Swindon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Swindon Town was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Swindon Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 1, Swindon Town won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Swindon Town?
Recent form — Grimsby 4W 0D 1L; Swindon Town 1W 3D 1L.

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