Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere result

Full-time · Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 Tranmere

League Two · Sat, 25 Apr 2026 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Milton Keynes Dons · Tranmere · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 Tranmere — Milton Keynes Dons won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Milton Keynes Dons beat Tranmere 3–0 in League Two on Saturday 25 April. It is Milton Keynes Dons’s first win over Tranmere since 13 January 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Milton Keynes Dons led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Milton Keynes Dons: Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (18’), Alexander Gilbey (21’, assisted by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing) and Callum Paterson (78’, assisted by Liam Kelly).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nathaniel Mendez-Laing’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Milton Keynes Dons 1.29, Tranmere 0.83, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed two yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tranmere: Samuel Finley (66’) and E. Bristow (77’).

What it changes

Milton Keynes Dons move up from second to first (45 league matches played).

Tranmere stay 20th after this result (45 league matches played).

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (Milton Keynes Dons) 9.1, Alexander Gilbey (Milton Keynes Dons) 7.1 and Callum Paterson (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Tranmere.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Milton Keynes Dons or Tranmere (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Milton Keynes Dons next host Burton Albion on 14 November 2026.

Tranmere next travel to Fleetwood Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 Tranmere · League Two
Referee: T. Reeves
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Milton Keynes Dons 2 · draws 3 · Tranmere 1 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 2W 2D 1L · Tranmere 1W 1D 3L

Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 Tranmere (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5

Corners

against 5.13 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.13

Cards

against 2 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.71 yellows

Referee · T. Reeves

21 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Milton Keynes Dons for / against	Line	Tranmere for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: T. Reeves — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Gilbey n 8	90	1.9 8/6	1.4 7/4	Charlie Jay Whitaker
L. Kelly n 8	76.8	1.3 6/2	1.2 5/3	—
L. Offord n 8	85.9	1.3 5/3	1.3 4/3	—
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.6	1.3 6/2	1.2 5/2	N. Smith
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	0.8 3/2
L. Kelly n 8	76.8	1.8 7/4
L. Offord n 8	85.9	1.6 6/4
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.6	1.9 6/5
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
L. Kelly n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
L. Offord n 8	85.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.6	1.3 6/3	0.7 4/1
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Kelly n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Offord n 8	85.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Smith n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.3 7/3	M. Ekpiteta
P. Brough n 8	83.6	2 8/4	0.3 2/0	—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 8	55	1.2 5/1	2.5 7/3	A. Gilbey
C. Norman n 8	44.1	2.5 5/3	1.5 5/1	—
O. Patrick n 8	71.8	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 8	90	0.6 4/1
P. Brough n 8	83.6	1.7 7/3
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 8	55	3.3 6/5
C. Norman n 8	44.1	2.3 5/3
O. Patrick n 8	71.8	1.1 4/2
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
P. Brough n 8	83.6	0.7 5/0	0.4 3/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 8	55	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/0
C. Norman n 8	44.1	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
O. Patrick n 8	71.8	1.9 5/4	1.1 5/2
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Brough n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 8	55	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Norman n 8	44.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Patrick n 8	71.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Milton Keynes Dons		Tranmere
53%	Possession	47%
1.29	Expected goals (xG)	0.83
18	Shots	11
7	Shots on target	1
5	Shots off target	5
6	Blocked shots	5
10	Shots inside the box	6
6	Corners	2
1	Offsides	3
8	Fouls	7
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
361	Passes	321
81%	Pass accuracy	71%

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
C. MacGillivray	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Ekpiteta	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	7.7
C. Nelson	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	7.6
J. Sanders	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	7.6
A. Gilbey	90	1	0	2	2	1	2	8.9
J. Tomlinson	90	0	0	3	2	2	3	7.2
B. Wiles	88	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.5
C. Paterson	88	1	0	1	1	1	0	7.2
L. Kelly	80	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.2
N. Mendez-Laing	73	1	1	2	1	3	2	8.3
G. Jones	72	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
A. Nemane sub	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Collins sub	17	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
D. Crowley sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.9
L. Offord sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Hepburn-Murphy sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Tranmere Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Maroši	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
W. Tamen	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
N. Smith	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
S. Negru	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Jayden Joseph	90	1	0	0	4	0	6.6
R. Watson	90	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
Charlie Jay Whitaker	90	1	0	5	1	0	7.5
S. Finley	79	0	0	2	2	Y	6.2
J. Plant	70	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
K. Woolery	45	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
O. Patrick	38	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. Ironside sub	52	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. Dennis sub	45	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
E. Bristow sub	20	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
N. Kenneh sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Milton Keynes DonsLDDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

TranmereLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Milton Keynes Dons 2 · 3 draws · Tranmere 1 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-11-22 Tranmere 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2025-02-15 Tranmere 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons
2024-10-05 Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Tranmere
2024-01-13 Tranmere 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2023-08-12 Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Tranmere
2019-11-02 Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 Tranmere

League standing · 2025/26

Milton Keynes Dons#2 pos86 pts46 pl+41 GD

Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD

Goals per game

Milton Keynes Dons scored1.87

Tranmere scored1.17

Milton Keynes Dons conceded0.98

Tranmere conceded1.72

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Tranmere?: In their last 6 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 2, Tranmere won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Tranmere?: Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 2W 2D 1L; Tranmere 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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