Newport County v Chesterfield prediction

League Two · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Rodney Parade

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newport County · Chesterfield · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Newport County v Chesterfield, League Two on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.85 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newport County host Chesterfield in League Two on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newport County have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.83. Newport County have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newport County have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Chesterfield have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.13. Chesterfield have scored 23 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Chesterfield have conceded 17 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Newport County are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Newport County (16th) and Chesterfield (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chesterfield the stronger side, 139 rating points above Newport County (Chesterfield 1556, Newport County 1418, after at least 155 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Newport County 2–1 Chesterfield.

Team news

Predicted Newport County XI (4-2-3-1): J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Norman, J. Thomas, C. Brennan, M. Dibley-Dias, H. Biggins, M. Adu-Poku, Y. Bamba, G. Garner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ciaran Brennan (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, one assist) and Y. Bamba (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Newport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ciaran Brennan averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 1258 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Y. Bamba averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.

Predicted Chesterfield XI (4-2-3-1): R. Boot, J. Simpson, R. Hutton, L. Gordon, K. McFadzean, G. McEachran, L. Marsh, R. Stirk, D. Markanday, L. Mandeville, L. Bonis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dilan Markanday (5.2 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and one assist) and George McEachran (4.4 per match over 14 appearances, one assist) have been Chesterfield’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chesterfield (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dilan Markanday averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1201 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. George McEachran averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

Z. Kennard-Kettle takes charge; across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions) the referee has shown 5.1 yellow cards a game and 0.00 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · League Two · Rodney Parade
Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Newport County 2 · draws 0 · Chesterfield 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Newport County 1W 3D 1L · Chesterfield 2W 2D 1L

Newport County v Chesterfield (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.13 / 7.5

Corners

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2

Cards

against 3 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Newport County for / against	Line	Chesterfield for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.13 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle.

Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Wright	13	901170 min	312.4 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Newport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Wright n 8	90	2.1 5/4

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Cameron	13	901170 min	191.5 /90	80.6 /90	70.5 /90	594.5 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90
L. Jenkins	13	901170 min	201.5 /90	100.8 /90	80.6 /90	927.1 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
C. Norman	13	891151 min	211.6 /90	70.5 /90	50.4 /90	977.6 /90	221.7 /90	30.2 /90
M. Jacob	7	80557 min	101.6 /90	61 /90	00 /90	396.3 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
Joe Thomas	7	69480 min	112.1 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	285.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Cameron n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.9 5/2	—
L. Jenkins n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.4 6/4	—
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.6 4/1	2 7/6	—
C. Brennan n 8	90	1.3 7/3	1 4/2	—
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Cameron n 8	90	1.5 6/4
L. Jenkins n 8	90	1.3 5/2
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.5 3/1
C. Brennan n 8	90	2.8 8/8
C. Norman n 8	87.6	1.5 7/2
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Doidge	7	77541 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	111.8 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
G. Garner	3	47140 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
T. Nyakuhwa	3	40120 min	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	43 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
K. Etete	3	3296 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	54.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	43.8 /90
H. Biggins	13	891159 min	30.2 /90	30.2 /90	221.7 /90	90.7 /90	282.2 /90	90.7 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 8	90	1.1 4/3	0.1 1/0
K. Cameron n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	2 8/5	0.9 5/2
C. Brennan n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Cameron n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Brennan n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Boot	13	901170 min	262 /90	110.8 /90	10.1 /90
Z. Hemming	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Boot n 8	90	1.9 4/3
Z. Hemming n 8	90	1.9 6/2

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Simpson	14	901260 min	141 /90	251.8 /90	20.1 /90	755.4 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
R. Hutton	14	881233 min	191.4 /90	90.7 /90	20.1 /90	604.4 /90	181.3 /90	20.1 /90
L. Gordon	14	821152 min	201.6 /90	80.6 /90	00 /90	433.4 /90	40.3 /90	30.2 /90
K. McFadzean	11	90990 min	171.5 /90	151.4 /90	60.5 /90	565.1 /90	90.8 /90	50.5 /90
A. Pond	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90	175.7 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Simpson n 8	90	1 5/2	0.5 4/0	—
R. Hutton n 8	88.4	1.1 6/3	0.5 3/1	—
D. Markanday n 8	85.9	0.9 5/1	1.3 7/2	—
L. Gordon n 8	78.6	0.6 3/1	0.7 5/0	—
G. McEachran n 8	81.5	1.4 6/3	1.8 5/5	—
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Simpson n 8	90	0.5 2/2
R. Hutton n 8	88.4	1 5/3
D. Markanday n 8	85.9	1.6 5/4
L. Gordon n 8	78.6	1.1 6/2
G. McEachran n 8	81.5	4.7 8/8
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Bonis	14	731025 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	312.7 /90	111 /90	131.1 /90	40.4 /90
F. Bryden	6	35211 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	73 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
D. Markanday	14	861201 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	302.2 /90	151.1 /90	251.9 /90	241.8 /90
G. McEachran	14	811137 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90	110.9 /90	70.6 /90
R. Stirk	13	871130 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	211.7 /90	90.7 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Simpson n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
R. Hutton n 8	88.4	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
D. Markanday n 8	85.9	2.5 7/7	1.3 6/4
L. Gordon n 8	78.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
G. McEachran n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	0.4 3/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Simpson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Hutton n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Markanday n 8	85.9	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
L. Gordon n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. McEachran n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v Chesterfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Newport CountyDWDDL

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

ChesterfieldWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Newport County 2 · 0 draws · Chesterfield 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-01-24 Newport County 2–1 Chesterfield
2025-09-27 Chesterfield 4–1 Newport County
2025-03-08 Chesterfield 2–1 Newport County
2024-10-18 Newport County 0–3 Chesterfield
2018-05-01 Chesterfield 1–0 Newport County
2017-08-26 Newport County 4–1 Chesterfield

League standing · 2026/27

Newport County#16 pos15 pts13 pl0 GD

Chesterfield#7 pos19 pts13 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Newport County scored1.23

Chesterfield scored1.77

Newport County conceded1.23

Chesterfield conceded1.31

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Newport County v Chesterfield?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Chesterfield is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.85 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Chesterfield?: In their last 6 meetings, Newport County won 2, Chesterfield won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Chesterfield?: Recent form — Newport County 1W 3D 1L; Chesterfield 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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