This Matchweek

Newport CountyTranmere

Newport County v Tranmere result

Full-time · Newport County 2–2 Tranmere

League Two · · Rodney Parade

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newport County · Tranmere · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Newport County 2–2 Tranmere — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.15 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Newport County and Tranmere drew 2–2 at Rodney Parade in League Two on Saturday 29 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Tranmere out-shot Newport County 15 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.50 xG to 0.94 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Newport County led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Newport County: Shaquille Gwengwe (11’, assisted by Harrison Biggins; 90’); Tranmere: Zane Okoro (71’, assisted by Joel Senior) and Dylan Jones (75’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Shaquille Gwengwe’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

E. Heaslip showed four yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newport County: Christian Doidge (43’) and Matthew Dibley-Dias (84’); Tranmere: J. Slater (15’) and Thomas Ince (73’).

What it changes

Newport County move down from sixth to ninth (three league matches played).

Tranmere move down from third to fifth (three league matches played).

Tranmere are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Newport County have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Tranmere have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Shaquille Gwengwe (Newport County) 7.9, Joel Senior (Tranmere) 6.8 and Harrison Biggins (Newport County) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Tranmere next travel to Barnet on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newport County 2–2 Tranmere · League Two
  • Venue: Rodney Parade · Newport
  • Referee: E. Heaslip
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newport County 1 · draws 1 · Tranmere 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newport County 3W 1D 1L · Tranmere 1W 3D 1L

Newport County 2–2 Tranmere (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.71 / 4.14
Corners
against 6.29 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 5.14 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2.29
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · E. Heaslip
25.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNewport County for / againstLineTranmere for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
13.14 for · 14.29 against n 7
19.5standard
9.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 5.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.43 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.86 for · 11.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7

Referee: E. Heaslip — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Wright290180 min52.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Newport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Wright n 890
3.46/6

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Norman290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90168 /9031.5 /9000 /90
K. Cameron290180 min31.5 /9021 /9021 /9073.5 /9021 /9000 /90
L. Jenkins290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90178.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
T. Davies282164 min31.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90105.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Alfie Merritt22141 min00 /9000 /9000 /9036.6 /9012.2 /9012.2 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jenkins n 877.6
1.25/3
1.35/4
N. Smith
C. Brennan n 869.9
1.15/2
0.53/0
—
C. Norman n 889.6
14/3
1.97/5
N. Smith
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
H. Biggins n 889.4
0.83/2
2.38/6
Charlie Jay Whitaker
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Norman n 889.6
1.97/4
L. Jenkins n 877.6
1.65/4
C. Brennan n 869.9
1.43/2
H. Biggins n 889.4
1.36/4
T. Davies n 859.6
1.77/2
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Doidge270139 min00 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9000 /90
C. Brennan290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90
H. Biggins290179 min10.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Y. Bamba288175 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
Shaquille Gwengwe285170 min21.1 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9021.1 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Norman n 889.6
1.16/3
0.43/0
L. Jenkins n 877.6
0.64/0
0.32/0
C. Brennan n 869.9
0.63/1
0.53/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 889.4
1.37/2
0.64/1
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Norman n 889.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 877.6
00/0
00/0
C. Brennan n 869.9
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 889.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Tranmere

Tranmere Goalkeeper

Tranmere — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Male272143 min42.5 /9010.6 /9000 /90

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Faulkner290180 min21 /9021 /9031.5 /902211 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. Senior290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
N. Smith290180 min52.5 /9000 /9021 /902412 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
P. Brough275149 min63.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90127.2 /9042.4 /9000 /90
J. Turnbull13737 min12.4 /9012.4 /9000 /90614.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Smith n 890
0.95/2
1.36/3
C. Norman
J. Ironside n 875.1
1.55/2
1.36/3
—
P. Brough n 879.8
28/4
0.11/0
—
S. Finley n 871.4
1.46/2
0.82/2
—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
1.25/2
2.57/5
H. Biggins
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
1.14/4
J. Ironside n 875.1
0.42/1
P. Brough n 879.8
2.47/4
S. Finley n 871.4
1.76/5
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
2.97/4
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Ironside290179 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9021 /9000 /90
Charlie Jay Whitaker19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9033 /90
W. Vaulks290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9042 /9000 /90
T. Ince290179 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Davies282163 min10.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
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Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Ironside n 875.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
P. Brough n 879.8
0.64/0
0.43/0
S. Finley n 871.4
0.83/1
0.52/1
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
1.45/2
0.52/1
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Ironside n 875.1
00/0
0.11/0
P. Brough n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
S. Finley n 871.4
0.21/0
00/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Newport CountyTranmere
41%Possession59%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.50
11Shots15
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box9
4Corners6
2Offsides2
14Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
228Passes345
51%Pass accuracy65%

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000005.9
C. Norman9000100106.9
L. Jenkins9000000106.2
K. Cameron9000000206.9
H. Biggins9001103107.3
Shaquille Gwengwe9020220007.7
C. Brennan7800110106.7
C. Evans7100000106.7
Y. Bamba7100000005.9
Y. Bamba7100000005.9
C. Doidge54002010Y6.9
Alfie Merritt4500000106.3
D. Sassi sub4500000005.6
C. Jarvis sub3600110006.2
K. Evans sub1900000106.7
M. Dibley-Dias sub19000001Y6.3
Joe Thomas sub1200000106.9

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Vaulks9000411107.2
J. Senior9001001306.6
J. Ironside9000000007
T. Ince90002220Y5.9
B. Faulkner9000000107.5
L. McGee9000000006.2
Z. Okoro8010311007.3
Charlie Jay Whitaker7800003106.3
N. Smith6600001006.9
T. Conlon6600002107
J. Slater65001013Y6.5
J. Turnbull sub2500000106.6
S. Finley sub2400000006.7
D. Jones sub2410110007.2
L. O'Connor sub1200000006.3
P. Brough sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v Tranmere — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Newport CountyWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
TranmereLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newport County 1 · 1 draw · Tranmere 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-03 Newport County 3–1 Tranmere
  • 2025-09-13 Tranmere 1–1 Newport County
  • 2025-05-03 Newport County 1–4 Tranmere
  • 2024-11-09 Tranmere 2–1 Newport County
  • 2024-04-13 Newport County 1–2 Tranmere
  • 2023-12-09 Tranmere 2–1 Newport County
League standing · 2026/27
Newport County#14 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Tranmere#11 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Newport County scored1.43
Tranmere scored1.36
Newport County conceded1.21
Tranmere conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newport County v Tranmere?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Tranmere was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.15 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Tranmere?
In their last 6 meetings, Newport County won 1, Tranmere won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Tranmere?
Recent form — Newport County 3W 1D 1L; Tranmere 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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