Notts CountyBarnet

Notts County v Barnet result

Full-time · Notts County 1–2 Barnet

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Notts County · Barnet · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Notts County 1–2 Barnet — Barnet won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnet won 2–1 at Notts County in League Two on Saturday 18 April. Barnet have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Barnet: Kabongo Tshimanga (32’, assisted by Ryan Glover; 69’, assisted by C. Stead); Notts County: Jodi Jones (36’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kabongo Tshimanga’s goal on 69 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Notts County 1.28, Barnet 2.25, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed two yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Notts County: T. Hall (90’); Barnet: Adam Senior (89’).

What it changes

Notts County stay fourth after this result (44 league matches played). Notts County have scored 78 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 52 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Barnet move down from eighth to ninth (44 league matches played). Barnet have scored 70 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Barnet have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Barnet are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Stead (Barnet) 8.8, Kabongo Tshimanga (Barnet) 7.4 and Jodi Jones (Notts County) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Notts County are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Barnet, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Notts County or Barnet (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Notts County next travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026.

Barnet next host Tranmere on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Notts County: Altrincham v Notts County, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Barnet: Barnet v Tranmere, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Notts County 1–2 Barnet · League Two
  • Referee: T. Reeves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Notts County 5 · draws 1 · Barnet 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Notts County 2W 0D 3L · Barnet 4W 1D 0L

Notts County 1–2 Barnet (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 6.88
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.71 yellows
Referee · T. Reeves
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNotts County for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: T. Reeves — 2.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 884.4
1.96/4
0.53/1
—
Tom Iorpenda n 890
15/3
2.57/4
—
M. Dennis n 856
2.26/3
0.63/0
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.56/2
1.96/4
—
C. Grant n 861.5
0.94/1
1.56/2
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
1.76/4
Tom Iorpenda n 890
2.68/7
M. Dennis n 856
12/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.55/3
C. Grant n 861.5
2.47/4
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Dennis n 856
14/1
0.63/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
C. Grant n 861.5
1.55/3
1.14/2
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Dennis n 856
00/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
00/0
00/0
C. Grant n 861.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Barnet

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Glover n 885.9
1.36/3
0.95/2
—
A. Senior n 890
0.65/0
1.46/3
—
D. Collinge n 887.4
0.43/0
0.95/2
—
N. Ofoborh n 890
1.16/2
1.15/2
—
I. Kanu n 866.5
14/2
37/6
—
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.9
1.36/1
A. Senior n 890
1.56/3
D. Collinge n 887.4
15/2
N. Ofoborh n 890
1.97/5
I. Kanu n 866.5
15/1
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.9
1.46/4
0.52/1
A. Senior n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 887.4
1.35/3
0.53/1
N. Ofoborh n 890
0.94/2
0.32/0
I. Kanu n 866.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.9
00/0
0.43/0
A. Senior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 887.4
0.32/0
00/0
N. Ofoborh n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Kanu n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Notts CountyBarnet
55%Possession45%
1.28Expected goals (xG)2.25
9Shots14
4Shots on target2
3Shots off target11
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box10
1Corners7
2Offsides1
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves3
416Passes342
74%Pass accuracy68%

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000000006.3
L. Ness9000000307.2
R. McDonald9000001006.3
J. Bedeau9000001206.6
M. Palmer9000101006.9
Tom Iorpenda9000211106.9
L. Ndlovu9000112007.3
J. Jones8410110206.6
O. Norburn7500000106.3
K. Bennetts6000000206.6
M. Dennis6000110106.3
Maziar Kouhyar sub3000000106.7
J. Luker sub3000000106.2
T. Hall sub15000001Y6.7
B. Enoru sub1500100006.7

Barnet Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Slicker9000000007.6
A. Senior90001002Y6.3
N. Tavares9000000207.7
R. Crichlow-Noble9000000006.3
M. Shelton9000100206.7
C. Stead9001302607.2
K. Tshimanga9020420007
R. Glover8601202106.3
A. Hartigan8000003006.7
I. Kanu6100001106.6
N. Ofoborh6100201106.9
K. Smith sub2900000006.7
P. Chinedu sub2900001006.3
D. Jaiyesimi sub1300000006.6
Ben Winterburn sub1000000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Notts CountyLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
BarnetWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Notts County 5 · 1 draw · Barnet 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Barnet 0–1 Notts County
  • 2023-03-18 Barnet 1–1 Notts County
  • 2023-02-14 Notts County 4–1 Barnet
  • 2022-02-08 Notts County 6–1 Barnet
  • 2021-08-21 Barnet 0–5 Notts County
  • 2021-05-08 Barnet 1–4 Notts County
League standing · 2025/26
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Barnet#8 pos76 pts46 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Notts County scored1.61
Barnet scored1.52
Notts County conceded1.13
Barnet conceded1.15

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Notts County v Barnet?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Barnet was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Notts County and Barnet?
In their last 6 meetings, Notts County won 5, Barnet won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Barnet?
Recent form — Notts County 2W 0D 3L; Barnet 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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