Oldham v Milton Keynes Dons result

Full-time · Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons

League Two · Mon, 06 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Oldham · Milton Keynes Dons · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons drew 1–1 in League Two on Monday 6 April. Oldham have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Milton Keynes Dons led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Milton Keynes Dons: Marvin Ekpiteta (30’, assisted by Curtis Nelson); Oldham: M. Fondop-Talum (84’, assisted by Joshua Hawkes).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Fondop-Talum’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Milton Keynes Dons, from fewer shots (12 to 13), created the better chances, 1.77 xG to 1.00 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

S. Copeland showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Milton Keynes Dons: Alexander Gilbey (65’) and Curtis Nelson (72’).

What it changes

Oldham move down from eighth to ninth (41 league matches played). Oldham have scored 60 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Oldham have conceded 44 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons stay second after this result (42 league matches played). Milton Keynes Dons have scored 86 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 45 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marvin Ekpiteta (Milton Keynes Dons) 9.5, W. Sutton (Oldham) 8.4 and M. Fondop-Talum (Oldham) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Oldham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Oldham or Milton Keynes Dons (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Oldham next host Sheffield Wednesday on 8 November 2026.

Milton Keynes Dons next host Burton Albion on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oldham: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons · League Two
Referee: S. Copeland
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Oldham 1 · draws 2 · Milton Keynes Dons 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Oldham 4W 0D 1L · Milton Keynes Dons 2W 1D 2L

Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.5 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.5

Corners

against 5.25 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.86 yellows

Referee · S. Copeland

21.14 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Oldham for / against	Line	Milton Keynes Dons for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Copeland — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Oldham

Oldham Defensive

Oldham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Monthe n 8	90	1.4 5/4	0.8 6/0	M. Ekpiteta
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Robson n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1 6/2	M. Ekpiteta
R. Woods n 8	88	0.9 6/1	1.8 8/4	L. Kelly
D. Daniels n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1 6/2	M. Ekpiteta
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Oldham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Monthe n 8	90	1.4 6/2
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0
J. Robson n 8	90	1.6 8/5
R. Woods n 8	88	1.3 6/2
D. Daniels n 8	90	1.3 5/3
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Oldham Attacking

Oldham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Monthe n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Robson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
R. Woods n 8	88	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Daniels n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
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Oldham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Monthe n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Hudson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Robson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
R. Woods n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Daniels n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
A. Gilbey n 8	90	1.6 8/5	1.3 6/4	—
L. Offord n 8	85.9	1.3 5/3	1.3 4/3	—
L. Kelly n 8	74.4	0.6 4/0	0.9 4/2	R. Woods
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.5	1.3 7/1	1.5 6/3	D. Daniels
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	1 3/3
L. Offord n 8	85.9	1.6 6/4
L. Kelly n 8	74.4	1.7 8/3
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.5	2 6/6
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	1.3 5/3	0.5 4/0
L. Offord n 8	85.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Kelly n 8	74.4	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.5	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Offord n 8	85.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Kelly n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	84.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Oldham		Milton Keynes Dons
59%	Possession	41%
1.00	Expected goals (xG)	1.77
13	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	6
6	Shots inside the box	10
8	Corners	2
1	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	10
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
417	Passes	292
62%	Pass accuracy	53%

Oldham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Hudson	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
W. Sutton	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	8.3
D. Daniels	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
E. Monthe	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.9
J. Robson	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	6.9
R. Woods	90	0	0	1	1	3	2	7
M. Fondop-Talum	90	1	0	5	2	0	0	6.6
T. Pett	85	0	0	0	0	2	1	7.2
K. Drummond	85	0	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
Kane Taylor	56	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.5
C. Kavanagh	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
J. Garner sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Hawkes sub	34	0	1	1	1	1	1	6.9
O. Hammond sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Kai Payne sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. MacGillivray	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
M. Ekpiteta	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.7
C. Nelson	90	0	1	1	0	2	1	Y	7.5
J. Sanders	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Wiles	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Gilbey	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
C. Paterson	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
G. Jones	89	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
A. Nemane	89	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
L. Kelly	74	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
A. Collins	64	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
C. Lemonheigh-Evans sub	26	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
N. Mendez-Laing sub	16	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.3
J. Tomlinson sub	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–
R. Hepburn-Murphy sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oldham v Milton Keynes Dons — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OldhamWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Milton Keynes DonsWWLLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Oldham 1 · 2 draws · Milton Keynes Dons 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-12-06 Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 Oldham
2025-08-02 Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 Oldham
2019-01-29 Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Oldham
2018-08-04 Oldham 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2018-02-13 Oldham 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons
2017-10-21 Milton Keynes Dons 4–4 Oldham

League standing · 2025/26

Oldham#10 pos68 pts46 pl+16 GD

Milton Keynes Dons#2 pos86 pts46 pl+41 GD

Goals per game

Oldham scored1.3

Milton Keynes Dons scored1.87

Oldham conceded0.96

Milton Keynes Dons conceded0.98

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Oldham v Milton Keynes Dons?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Oldham v Milton Keynes Dons was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons?: In their last 6 meetings, Oldham won 1, Milton Keynes Dons won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons?: Recent form — Oldham 4W 0D 1L; Milton Keynes Dons 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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