Rochdale v Crawley Town result
Team pages: Rochdale · Crawley Town
The model’s pre-match pick
Rochdale 1–2 Crawley Town — Crawley Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Crawley Town won 2–1 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Rochdale are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Crawley Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Crawley Town: P. Aderoju (8’) and Louie Watson (72’ pen); Rochdale: Ethan Ebanks-Landell (54’, assisted by Ryan East).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Louie Watson’s goal on 72 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rochdale 0.93, Crawley Town 2.60, from 7 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Z. Kennard-Kettle showed eight yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Rochdale: Daniel Moss (28’), Kaiden Wilson (34’), Sam Sherring (45+1’) and Nils Ramming (69’); Crawley Town: Priestley Farquharson (13’), Johnny Russell (48’), Jude Arthurs (48’) and Louie Watson (69’).
What it changes
Rochdale stay 24th after this result (two league matches played).
Crawley Town move up from 20th to 14th (two league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ethan Ebanks-Landell (Rochdale) 7.0, P. Aderoju (Crawley Town) 6.0 and Ryan East (Rochdale) 5.3 led the match.
Head-to-head
Crawley Town are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rochdale, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Rochdale or Crawley Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.
Crawley Town next travel to Wimborne Town on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Crawley Town: Wimborne Town v Crawley Town, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Rochdale 1–2 Crawley Town · League Two
- Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
- Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Rochdale 0 · draws 1 · Crawley Town 3 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Rochdale 1W 2D 2L · Crawley Town 1W 2D 2L
Rochdale 1–2 Crawley Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Rochdale | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.60 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 389 | Passes | 338 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Rochdale Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Ramming | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| S. Sherring | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.3 |
| E. Ebanks-Landell | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Kaiden Wilson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| D. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Adebayo-Rowling | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Dieseruvwe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Moss | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| H. Gilmour | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Francis | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. East | 82 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| I. Henderson sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Z. Silcott-Duberry sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Kane Taylor sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| B. Adeeko sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Crawley Town Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Michalski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Odimayo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. Farquharson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Barker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Adeyemo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Arthurs | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.5 |
| Osman Kamara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Watson | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| Kai Jennings | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. Aderoju | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Johnny Russell | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| L. Richards sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Fourcroy sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Orsi sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Rochdale v Crawley Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-03-25 Crawley Town 2–0 Rochdale
- 2022-08-27 Rochdale 1–1 Crawley Town
- 2022-03-26 Crawley Town 1–0 Rochdale
- 2021-10-09 Rochdale 0–1 Crawley Town
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Crawley Town?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Crawley Town was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Crawley Town?
- In their last 4 meetings, Rochdale won 0, Crawley Town won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rochdale and Crawley Town?
- Recent form — Rochdale 1W 2D 2L; Crawley Town 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.