RochdaleShrewsbury

Rochdale v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury

League Two · · Spotland Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rochdale · Shrewsbury · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury — Rochdale won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.95 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale beat Shrewsbury 3–0 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 1 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Shrewsbury out-shot Rochdale 16 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.39 xG to 0.90 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Rochdale led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Rochdale: Babajide Adeeko (33’), Luke Hannant (43’, assisted by Emmanuel Dieseruvwe) and Jonathan Smith (80’, assisted by Dajaune Brown).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Babajide Adeeko’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

S. Mather showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rochdale: Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling (74’); Shrewsbury: Thomas Anderson (27’), William Boyle (50’), Joseph Gbode (69’) and W. Gary (83’).

What it changes

Rochdale move up from 24th to 19th (four league matches played).

Shrewsbury move down from 18th to 21st (four league matches played).

Rochdale’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 4, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Pasquoto (Shrewsbury) 7.7, W. Gary (Shrewsbury) 7.0 and Babajide Adeeko (Rochdale) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Rochdale next host York on 14 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury · League Two
  • Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
  • Referee: S. Mather
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 4 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 0W 1D 4L · Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L

Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.14
Corners
against 6.75 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
2.25 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3.17 / 1.57
Cards
against 2.33 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · S. Mather
20.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRochdale for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.75 against n 4
9.5standard
5.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
8 for · 14.5 against n 4
19.5standard
11.43 for · 9.57 against n 7
Shots on target
2.25 for · 5.75 against n 4
8.5standard
3.29 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11.25 against n 4
21.5standard
12.57 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
3.17 for · 2.33 against n 6
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming490360 min153.8 /9082 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 490
3.83/3

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Ebanks-Landell490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90184.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
S. Sherring483333 min71.9 /9000 /9030.8 /90143.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
Kaiden Wilson457227 min31.2 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90114.4 /9062.4 /9010.4 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90144.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
D. Moss289177 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90105.1 /9031.5 /9021 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
Nils Ramming n 490
00/0
0.52/0
—
S. Sherring n 483.3
0.83/0
0.82/1
—
R. East n 482.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
—
H. Gilmour n 481.5
1.43/2
1.73/2
—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
1.55/2
S. Sherring n 483.3
1.94/1
R. East n 482.5
1.44/1
H. Gilmour n 481.5
1.94/3
D. Brown n 474.3
00/0
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Brown474297 min00 /9000 /9041.2 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9041.2 /90
E. Dieseruvwe374223 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /90
R. East483330 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9051.4 /9020.5 /90
H. Gilmour482326 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Z. Silcott-Duberry362187 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.4 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.53/1
0.42/1
Nils Ramming n 490
00/0
00/0
S. Sherring n 483.3
0.52/0
00/0
R. East n 482.5
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 481.5
0.31/0
00/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 490
00/0
00/0
S. Sherring n 483.3
00/0
00/0
R. East n 482.5
00/0
0.31/0
H. Gilmour n 481.5
00/0
00/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Goalkeeper

Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
William Michael Brook490360 min20.5 /9092.3 /9000 /90
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
William Michael Brook n 890
12/1

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Ruffels490360 min71.8 /9092.3 /9030.8 /90246 /9020.5 /9000 /90
W. Boyle490360 min51.3 /9010.3 /9051.3 /90358.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
L. Hoole486342 min123.2 /9061.6 /9010.3 /90246.3 /9041.1 /9000 /90
T. Anderson268135 min32 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90149.3 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
K. Berkoe487348 min51.3 /9061.6 /9010.3 /90246.2 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
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Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Ruffels n 883
0.95/1
0.43/0
—
W. Boyle n 890
0.84/2
0.54/0
—
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Davison n 488.5
2.34/3
1.34/1
—
K. Berkoe n 885.6
0.73/2
2.16/4
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ruffels n 883
1.57/3
W. Boyle n 890
0.85/1
J. Davison n 488.5
0.31/0
K. Berkoe n 885.6
1.46/2
L. Hoole n 873.1
3.18/4
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Davison489354 min10.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Isaac Fletcher479315 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9061.7 /9000 /90
J. Gbode447189 min00 /9000 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9000 /9041.9 /90
G. Lloyd24794 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9021.9 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Berkoe487348 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9041 /9030.8 /90
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Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
J. Ruffels n 883
0.75/0
0.32/0
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Davison n 488.5
0.83/0
0.52/0
K. Berkoe n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Ruffels n 883
0.11/0
00/0
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Davison n 488.5
0.31/0
00/0
K. Berkoe n 885.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RochdaleShrewsbury
65%Possession35%
0.90Expected goals (xG)1.39
7Shots16
3Shots on target4
2Shots off target8
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box10
1Corners3
2Offsides3
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves0
534Passes274
86%Pass accuracy72%

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nils Ramming9000000007.5
Kaiden Wilson9000000007.4
E. Francis9000000206.7
E. Dieseruvwe9001101106.9
Kane Taylor9000002206.6
O. Adebayo-Rowling90000002Y6.6
D. Moss9000001107.4
D. Brown8701301007.7
B. Adeeko8710110008.2
L. Hannant7710110008.2
Z. Silcott-Duberry6800001006.3
E. Ebanks-Landell2200000007
J. Smith1310110007.7
I. Henderson300000006.5
H. Gilmour300000006.8

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hoole9000000206.1
J. Davison9000410206.2
W. Boyle90002101Y6
K. Berkoe9000000205.6
William Michael Brook9000000005.3
W. Gary90000037Y7.2
T. Sang7600102106.2
T. Anderson75001010Y5.9
Isaac Fletcher6500002106.3
J. Gbode46001012Y6.7
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd4500103206.6
J. Turner-Cooke4500310006.1
J. Ruffels4400000005.8
K. M. Brown2500100006
G. Lloyd1500111006.5
M. Golding1400100105.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
ShrewsburyDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rochdale 4 · 1 draw · Shrewsbury 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2021-08-24 Shrewsbury 0–2 Rochdale
  • 2021-03-09 Rochdale 0–2 Shrewsbury
  • 2020-10-24 Shrewsbury 1–2 Rochdale
  • 2020-02-01 Rochdale 1–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2019-08-17 Shrewsbury 0–0 Rochdale
  • 2019-03-09 Rochdale 2–1 Shrewsbury
League standing · 2026/27
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Shrewsbury#15 pos18 pts14 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.21
Shrewsbury scored1.21
Rochdale conceded1.86
Shrewsbury conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Shrewsbury was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.95 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Shrewsbury?
In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 4, Shrewsbury won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Rochdale 0W 1D 4L; Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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