Rochdale v Swindon Town result

Full-time · Rochdale 1–0 Swindon Town

League Two · Sat, 03 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Spotland Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rochdale · Swindon Town · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 1–0 Swindon Town — Rochdale won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home corners total under 6.5.

Free pick

Home corners total under 6.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale beat Swindon Town 1–0 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Saturday 3 October. It is Rochdale’s first win over Swindon Town since 13 April 2021, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rochdale: Cian Hayes (88’, assisted by Aden Flint). Kaelan Majekodunmi (85’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cian Hayes’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rochdale 2.42, Swindon Town 1.53, from 15 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Dale showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Kaelan Majekodunmi (81’) and Kaelan Majekodunmi (85’).

What it changes

Rochdale move up from 13th to 11th (nine league matches played). Rochdale have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town move down from 10th to 13th (nine league matches played). Swindon Town have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Swindon Town have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs.

Rochdale are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Swindon Town are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Glenn Middleton (Rochdale) 6.5, Aden Flint (Rochdale) 5.9 and Dan Butler (Swindon Town) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rochdale.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rochdale corners total under 6.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rochdale next host York on 14 November 2026.

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Rochdale 1–0 Swindon Town · League Two
Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
Referee: A. Dale
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 1 · draws 3 · Swindon Town 2 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Rochdale 3W 1D 1L · Swindon Town 2W 1D 2L

Rochdale 1–0 Swindon Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.5 / 8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.75 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.56 yellows

Referee · A. Dale

21.11 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rochdale for / against	Line	Swindon Town for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.13 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8.75 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.38 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Dale — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Nils Ramming	8	90720 min	283.5 /90	81 /90	00 /90
Sam Waller	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 8	90	3.5 6/5

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kaiden Wilson	9	73654 min	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	40.6 /90	202.8 /90	101.4 /90	10.1 /90
D. Moss	6	85508 min	61.1 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90	244.3 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling	6	75452 min	102 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	255 /90	71.4 /90	20.4 /90
E. Ebanks-Landell	5	76382 min	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	184.2 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
C. Tasker	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	82 /90	20.5 /90	133.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Brown n 8	86.1	2 6/5	1.7 7/4	—
Kaiden Wilson n 8	78.4	1.4 5/3	0.6 3/1	K. Majekodunmi
Nils Ramming n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
H. Gilmour n 8	77.3	1.7 6/4	1.6 6/3	—
B. Adeeko n 7	79.6	1 6/0	0.3 2/0	A. Drinan
See more players · Pro

Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	86.1	0 0/0
Kaiden Wilson n 8	78.4	0.7 3/2
H. Gilmour n 8	77.3	2.3 7/6
B. Adeeko n 7	79.6	0.8 2/2
L. Hannant n 7	61.3	1.5 4/2
See more players · Pro

Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Brown	9	80716 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	151.9 /90	81 /90	40.5 /90	70.9 /90
E. Dieseruvwe	6	81485 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.3 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
C. Hayes	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90	13.5 /90
H. Gilmour	8	77618 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
B. Adeeko	7	80557 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	20.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	86.1	1.7 7/3	0.8 5/1
Kaiden Wilson n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nils Ramming n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	77.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 7	79.6	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	86.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Kaiden Wilson n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nils Ramming n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	77.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 7	79.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Ripley	9	90810 min	353.9 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 8	90	4.1 7/7

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Negru	9	90810 min	182 /90	121.3 /90	161.8 /90	525.8 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
K. Majekodunmi	8	73581 min	162.5 /90	121.9 /90	81.2 /90	578.8 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
M. Clark	7	83581 min	142.2 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90	426.5 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
B. Kirkman	5	71353 min	235.9 /90	123.1 /90	10.3 /90	5012.7 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
R. Tafazolli	5	55275 min	72.3 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	247.9 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Negru n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
C. Ripley n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Drinan n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	B. Adeeko
K. Majekodunmi n 8	72.6	1.1 4/2	0.2 1/0	Kaiden Wilson
M. Clark n 7	83	1.1 4/2	0.9 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Negru n 8	90	1.9 7/3
A. Drinan n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0
K. Majekodunmi n 8	72.6	2.5 5/3
M. Clark n 7	83	2.2 7/3
A. Munda n 7	79.7	2.7 5/4
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Drinan	9	89797 min	50.6 /90	00 /90	212.4 /90	121.4 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
J. Hungbo	6	46278 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	61.9 /90
L. Millard	6	40240 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
P. Glatzel	5	60302 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
O. Palmer	5	43214 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Negru n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Ripley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Drinan n 8	88.4	2.3 8/4	1.5 7/2
K. Majekodunmi n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Clark n 7	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Negru n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Ripley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Drinan n 8	88.4	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
K. Majekodunmi n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Clark n 7	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rochdale		Swindon Town
61%	Possession	39%
2.42	Expected goals (xG)	1.53
15	Shots	12
5	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	5
5	Blocked shots	5
12	Shots inside the box	9
11	Corners	5
4	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	18
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
2	Saves	4
468	Passes	307
82%	Pass accuracy	77%

Rochdale Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
B. Adeeko	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
Nils Ramming	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Kaiden Wilson	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
S. Sherring	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.7
G. Middleton	90	0	0	1	1	6	3	8.5
H. Gilmour	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.7
A. Flint	90	0	1	4	1	1	0	8
D. Brown	90	0	0	2	1	1	2	6.9
C. Tasker	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	8.2
E. Francis	73	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.7
J. Smith	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Hannant sub	49	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. Hayes sub	18	1	0	1	1	0	0	7
E. Dieseruvwe sub	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.6

Swindon Town Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Negru	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Munda	90	1	1	0	2	0	6.5
A. Hackford	90	2	1	2	0	0	6.7
D. Butler	90	0	0	2	4	0	7.7
J. Ball	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.5
C. Ripley	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Jack Thomson	89	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
B. Kirkman	89	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
K. Majekodunmi	85	0	0	0	0	RY	7
A. Drinan	83	3	0	1	0	0	6.2
T. Nichols	69	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
O. Clarke sub	21	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Hungbo sub	15	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
D. Butterworth sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–
L. Millard sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

RochdaleWLDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Swindon TownWWLLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rochdale 1 · 3 draws · Swindon Town 2 · 3.67 goals/game

2023-03-18 Rochdale 4–4 Swindon Town
2022-08-20 Swindon Town 3–0 Rochdale
2022-04-02 Rochdale 0–0 Swindon Town
2021-10-16 Swindon Town 2–2 Rochdale
2021-04-13 Rochdale 2–1 Swindon Town
2020-09-12 Swindon Town 3–1 Rochdale

League standing · 2026/27

Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD

Swindon Town#13 pos19 pts14 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Rochdale scored1.21

Swindon Town scored1.07

Rochdale conceded1.86

Swindon Town conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Swindon Town?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Swindon Town was Home corners total under 6.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Swindon Town?: In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 1, Swindon Town won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and Swindon Town?: Recent form — Rochdale 3W 1D 1L; Swindon Town 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.