RotherhamGillingham

Rotherham v Gillingham result

Full-time · Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham

League Two · · AESSEAL New York Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rotherham · Gillingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham won 4–1 at AESSEAL New York Stadium in League Two on Saturday 10 October. It is Gillingham’s first win over Rotherham since 28 October 2017, after four meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Rotherham: Paul Mullin (17’, assisted by Kian Spence); Gillingham: Ronan Hale (34’, assisted by Lamin Sillah; 67’ pen), Lamin Sillah (60’, assisted by James Brophy) and T. Eaves (89’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lamin Sillah’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rotherham 1.52, Gillingham 2.05, from 12 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Davis showed five yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rotherham: Julian Eyestone (66’), Dominic Iorfa (75’) and Sonny Aljofree (88’); Gillingham: James Brophy (47’) and L. Dobbs (51’).

What it changes

Rotherham move down from 15th to 19th (10 league matches played). Rotherham have scored 18 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Rotherham have conceded 25 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Gillingham move up from 10th to fourth (10 league matches played). Gillingham have scored 20 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Gillingham have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Gillingham’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 10, across 12 matches. Rotherham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamin Sillah (Gillingham) 11.1, Ronan Hale (Gillingham) 9.6 and T. Eaves (Gillingham) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rotherham are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Gillingham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rotherham or Gillingham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Rotherham next travel to Bromley on 7 November 2026.

Gillingham next host Barrow on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rotherham: Bromley v Rotherham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham · League Two
  • Venue: AESSEAL New York Stadium · Rotherham, South Yorkshire
  • Referee: W. Davis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Rotherham 4 · draws 0 · Gillingham 1 · 3.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rotherham 1W 2D 2L · Gillingham 3W 1D 1L

Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.38
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.63 yellows
Referee · W. Davis
22.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineGillingham for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
9.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: W. Davis — 2.63 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rotherham

Rotherham Goalkeeper

Rotherham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Cann691544 min172.8 /90101.7 /9000 /90
J. Eyestone490360 min102.5 /9041 /9000 /90
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
3.17/4
J. Eyestone n 490
2.53/2

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Hall1089886 min202 /90161.6 /9040.4 /90495 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Sonny Aljofree1089886 min111.1 /90141.4 /9070.7 /90505.1 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
E. Otoo891724 min101.2 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90394.8 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
K. Ngwenya560300 min20.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90123.6 /9061.8 /9010.3 /90
J. Rafferty535174 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9094.7 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hall n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
J. Brophy
Sonny Aljofree n 890
0.93/2
0.64/1
O. Beckles
P. Mullin n 873
1.56/4
1.26/2
—
T. Bradshaw n 838.5
1.83/1
1.54/1
—
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.74/2
0.22/0
—
See more players · Pro
Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
1.86/5
Sonny Aljofree n 890
1.16/2
P. Mullin n 873
0.53/0
T. Bradshaw n 838.5
00/0
E. Otoo n 890.5
1.25/4
See more players · Pro

Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mullin972646 min40.6 /9000 /90172.4 /90101.4 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90
T. Bradshaw936326 min10.3 /9000 /9061.7 /9041.1 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Fábio Tavares877619 min20.3 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9071 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90
A. Nemane644263 min10.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Marvin Marvellous Kaleta251101 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9032.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mullin n 873
2.37/7
1.45/4
T. Bradshaw n 838.5
1.85/1
1.24/0
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.74/2
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mullin n 873
0.64/0
00/0
T. Bradshaw n 838.5
0.31/0
00/0
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Gillingham

Gillingham Goalkeeper

Gillingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Oliver Wright790630 min223.1 /9020.3 /9000 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /90
O. Mason19090 min88 /9033 /9000 /90
Gillingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Wright n 790
3.16/4

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Beckles1090900 min181.8 /90141.4 /9080.8 /90575.7 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
A. Smith1088875 min141.4 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90454.6 /90101 /9010.1 /90
L. Dobbs1077773 min121.4 /90151.7 /9030.3 /90515.9 /90131.5 /9020.2 /90
J. Daley32267 min00 /9000 /9000 /9034 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
L. Gordon13737 min12.4 /9000 /9000 /9037.3 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Beckles n 890
16/2
0.53/1
Sonny Aljofree
N. Freeman n 890
0.43/0
0.54/0
—
J. Brophy n 889.1
0.83/2
1.87/5
D. Hall
A. Smith n 886.9
0.95/2
1.46/3
—
Ronan Hale n 877.6
16/1
0.95/1
—
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Freeman n 890
1.98/3
O. Beckles n 890
1.98/4
J. Brophy n 889.1
2.38/6
A. Smith n 886.9
1.75/4
Ronan Hale n 877.6
0.63/1
See more players · Pro

Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ronan Hale1078778 min20.2 /9010.1 /90202.3 /9091 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90
W. Goodwin843343 min00 /9000 /90112.9 /9071.8 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
L. Sillah469275 min10.3 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9031 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Sullivan Booth12323 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Freeman n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
O. Beckles n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Brophy n 889.1
1.15/2
0.53/1
A. Smith n 886.9
00/0
00/0
Ronan Hale n 877.6
2.37/5
0.95/1
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Freeman n 890
00/0
0.43/0
O. Beckles n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 889.1
0.42/1
00/0
A. Smith n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
Ronan Hale n 877.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RotherhamGillingham
62%Possession38%
1.52Expected goals (xG)2.05
12Shots8
5Shots on target4
3Shots off target4
4Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box6
2Corners2
2Offsides1
16Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves4
468Passes291
78%Pass accuracy63%

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Eyestone90000000Y5.5
Sonny Aljofree90000001Y6.2
K. Ngwenya9000000106.2
D. Hall9000102206.9
J. Buyabu9000101006
Brandon Ashley Cover9000221306.7
P. Mullin9010112007.2
D. Iorfa84000001Y6.5
K. Spence6801111206.3
J. Austerfield6100001207.5
O. Ashley4500000006.7
Jamie Jellis sub4500000206.5
T. Bradshaw sub2900000006.9
A. Nemane sub2200111006.9
Jayce Fitzgerald sub1500100006.2

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver Wright9000000006.6
A. Smith9000000006.7
O. Beckles9000101107
N. Freeman9000000206.9
R. McKenzie9000002006.9
J. Brophy90010010Y6.9
L. Dobbs83000000Y6.6
L. Sillah8211311207.6
Ronan Hale8220220008.3
H. Waldock7800000006.3
A. Little7700000106.6
J. Daley sub1600000006.7
E. Coleman sub1300000006.7
B. Dack sub1200000006.7
S. Kendall sub800100006.6
T. Eaves sub810110007.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v Gillingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GillinghamWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Rotherham 4 · 0 draws · Gillingham 1 · 3.2 goals/game
  • 2022-04-30 Gillingham 0–2 Rotherham
  • 2021-12-07 Rotherham 5–1 Gillingham
  • 2019-11-02 Gillingham 0–3 Rotherham
  • 2018-04-17 Gillingham 0–1 Rotherham
  • 2017-10-28 Rotherham 1–3 Gillingham
League standing · 2026/27
Rotherham#22 pos12 pts14 pl-7 GD
Gillingham#8 pos20 pts14 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Rotherham scored1.29
Gillingham scored1.43
Rotherham conceded1.79
Gillingham conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v Gillingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v Gillingham was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Rotherham and Gillingham?
In their last 5 meetings, Rotherham won 4, Gillingham won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Gillingham?
Recent form — Rotherham 1W 2D 2L; Gillingham 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+