Shrewsbury v Exeter City result
Team pages: Shrewsbury · Exeter City · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City — Exeter City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home fouls total over 9.5.
The result
Exeter City won 1–0 at The Croud Meadow in League Two on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Shrewsbury out-shot Exeter City 13 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.96 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: Sonny Cox (86’, assisted by George Birch).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sonny Cox’s goal on 86 minutes.
Discipline
D. Brown showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Shrewsbury: Thomas Sang (11’), Luca Hoole (65’), W. Gary (76’) and Jay Turner-Cooke (90’); Exeter City: Jake Doyle-Hayes (43’) and Taylor Perry (77’).
What it changes
Shrewsbury move down from 13th to 18th (10 league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.
Exeter City move up from 19th to 13th (10 league matches played). Exeter City have scored six goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Exeter City have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Birch (Exeter City) 5.8, Sam Stubbs (Shrewsbury) 5.4 and Jack Taylor (Exeter City) 5.4 led the match.
Head-to-head
Exeter City are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Shrewsbury.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Shrewsbury fouls total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.
Exeter City next travel to Huddersfield on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Huddersfield v Exeter City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City · League Two
- Venue: The Croud Meadow · Shrewsbury, Shropshire
- Referee: D. Brown
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Shrewsbury 1 · draws 2 · Exeter City 3 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L · Exeter City 1W 2D 2L
Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Shrewsbury for / against | Line | Exeter City for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 0.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: D. Brown — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.63 fouls over 8 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michael Brook | 10 | 90900 min | 161.6 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
Shrewsbury Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle | 10 | 90900 min | 121.2 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 717.1 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| J. Ruffels | 7 | 83584 min | 91.4 /90 | 121.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 406.2 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| S. Stubbs | 5 | 90450 min | 40.8 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 377.4 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| T. Anderson | 4 | 75300 min | 41.2 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 195.7 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| I. Lee | 1 | 5252 min | 23.5 /90 | 23.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 46.9 /90 | 23.5 /90 | 11.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.6 | J. Fitzwater |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.6 | C. Cummins |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.9 | 0.6 | C. Cummins |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 1 | 0.4 | C. Cummins |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 1.7 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 1.9 |
| J. Turner-Cooke n 8 | 61.3 | 1.3 |
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Shrewsbury Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davison | 8 | 83666 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| Isaac Fletcher | 8 | 79631 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Lloyd | 8 | 69552 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 132.1 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| J. Gbode | 6 | 43258 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 72.4 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 72.4 /90 |
| K. M. Brown | 5 | 77384 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 143.3 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 61.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Exeter City
Exeter City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bycroft | 10 | 91906 min | 292.9 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Bycroft n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Exeter City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fitzwater | 10 | 91906 min | 191.9 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 161.6 /90 | 717.1 /90 | 101 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| L. Woodhouse | 8 | 90716 min | 212.6 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 567 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| E. James | 8 | 89715 min | 70.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 546.8 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| L. Samuel | 6 | 75452 min | 71.4 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 163.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Ethan Sutherland | 6 | 50300 min | 61.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 154.5 /90 | 61.8 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fitzwater n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.6 | W. Boyle |
| C. Cummins n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 2.8 | T. Sang |
| J. Bycroft n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| G. Edwards n 8 | 65.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| R. Cole n 8 | 87.9 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Fitzwater n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| C. Cummins n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| G. Edwards n 8 | 65.8 | 2.2 |
| R. Cole n 8 | 87.9 | 1 |
| J. Doyle-Hayes n 8 | 76.1 | 1.2 |
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Exeter City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Cole | 9 | 86775 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 121.4 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 202.3 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
| J. Gordon | 9 | 69623 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 142 /90 | 71 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
| D. Rose | 4 | 64256 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Cox | 4 | 38153 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.8 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Wareham | 3 | 92276 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.6 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fitzwater n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| C. Cummins n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| J. Bycroft n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Edwards n 8 | 65.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| R. Cole n 8 | 87.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fitzwater n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Bycroft n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Cummins n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Edwards n 8 | 65.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| R. Cole n 8 | 87.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Shrewsbury | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Possession | 56% |
| 1.96 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.01 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 308 | Passes | 403 |
| 55% | Pass accuracy | 73% |
Shrewsbury Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michael Brook | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Stubbs | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| W. Boyle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Ruffels | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Turner-Cooke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| G. Lloyd | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. M. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Berkoe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Sang | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| Isaac Fletcher | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Hoole | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Davison sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Gary sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| J. Gbode sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Exeter City Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bycroft | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| L. Samuel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Fitzwater | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Woodhouse | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Taylor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Cummins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Doyle-Hayes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| Jack Taylor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| George Birch | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Gordon | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Perry | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Scully | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Ethan Sutherland sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Cox sub | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| E. James sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| V. Harper sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Shrewsbury v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-08 Exeter City 2–0 Shrewsbury
- 2024-10-17 Shrewsbury 0–2 Exeter City
- 2024-03-12 Shrewsbury 0–3 Exeter City
- 2023-11-28 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury
- 2023-02-14 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury
- 2022-09-13 Shrewsbury 3–2 Exeter City
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Shrewsbury v Exeter City?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Shrewsbury v Exeter City was Home fouls total over 9.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Shrewsbury and Exeter City?
- In their last 6 meetings, Shrewsbury won 1, Exeter City won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Shrewsbury and Exeter City?
- Recent form — Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L; Exeter City 1W 2D 2L.
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