ShrewsburyExeter City

Shrewsbury v Exeter City result

Full-time · Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City

League Two · · The Croud Meadow

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City — Exeter City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home fouls total over 9.5.

Free pick
Home fouls total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Exeter City won 1–0 at The Croud Meadow in League Two on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Shrewsbury out-shot Exeter City 13 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.96 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: Sonny Cox (86’, assisted by George Birch).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sonny Cox’s goal on 86 minutes.

Discipline

D. Brown showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Shrewsbury: Thomas Sang (11’), Luca Hoole (65’), W. Gary (76’) and Jay Turner-Cooke (90’); Exeter City: Jake Doyle-Hayes (43’) and Taylor Perry (77’).

What it changes

Shrewsbury move down from 13th to 18th (10 league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Exeter City move up from 19th to 13th (10 league matches played). Exeter City have scored six goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Exeter City have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Birch (Exeter City) 5.8, Sam Stubbs (Shrewsbury) 5.4 and Jack Taylor (Exeter City) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Exeter City are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Shrewsbury.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Shrewsbury fouls total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.

Exeter City next travel to Huddersfield on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Huddersfield v Exeter City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City · League Two
  • Venue: The Croud Meadow · Shrewsbury, Shropshire
  • Referee: D. Brown
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Shrewsbury 1 · draws 2 · Exeter City 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L · Exeter City 1W 2D 2L

Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · D. Brown
23.63 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameShrewsbury for / againstLineExeter City for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
0.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: D. Brown — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.63 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Goalkeeper

Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
William Michael Brook1090900 min161.6 /90111.1 /9000 /90
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
William Michael Brook n 890
1.84/3

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Boyle1090900 min121.2 /9040.4 /90131.3 /90717.1 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90
J. Ruffels783584 min91.4 /90121.8 /9040.6 /90406.2 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
S. Stubbs590450 min40.8 /9091.8 /9051 /90377.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
T. Anderson475300 min41.2 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90195.7 /9041.2 /9020.6 /90
I. Lee15252 min23.5 /9023.5 /9000 /9046.9 /9023.5 /9011.7 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Boyle n 890
1.36/4
0.65/0
J. Fitzwater
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Hoole n 890
1.16/3
0.65/0
C. Cummins
K. Berkoe n 887
0.96/1
0.65/0
C. Cummins
T. Sang n 881.8
15/2
0.43/0
C. Cummins
See more players · Pro
Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
1.36/2
L. Hoole n 890
2.18/5
K. Berkoe n 887
1.76/5
T. Sang n 881.8
1.96/3
J. Turner-Cooke n 861.3
1.36/1
See more players · Pro

Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Davison883666 min10.1 /9000 /90111.5 /9050.7 /9010.1 /9020.3 /90
Isaac Fletcher879631 min10.1 /9000 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90111.6 /9000 /90
G. Lloyd869552 min20.3 /9000 /90132.1 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
J. Gbode643258 min00 /9000 /9072.4 /9031 /9010.3 /9072.4 /90
K. M. Brown577384 min20.5 /9000 /90143.3 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9061.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
1.46/4
0.85/1
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Hoole n 890
0.52/1
0.42/1
K. Berkoe n 887
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Sang n 881.8
0.43/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.11/0
0.31/1
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Hoole n 890
0.11/0
00/0
K. Berkoe n 887
0.11/0
00/0
T. Sang n 881.8
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bycroft1091906 min292.9 /9070.7 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 890
2.86/4

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Fitzwater1091906 min191.9 /90131.3 /90161.6 /90717.1 /90101 /9010.1 /90
L. Woodhouse890716 min212.6 /90131.6 /9020.3 /90567 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
E. James889715 min70.9 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90546.8 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
L. Samuel675452 min71.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90163.2 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Ethan Sutherland650300 min61.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90154.5 /9061.8 /9020.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Fitzwater n 890
1.15/2
0.63/2
W. Boyle
C. Cummins n 890
0.95/2
2.88/6
T. Sang
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
—
G. Edwards n 865.8
2.16/4
1.56/3
—
R. Cole n 887.9
14/3
0.54/0
—
See more players · Pro
Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
1.68/3
C. Cummins n 890
1.46/3
G. Edwards n 865.8
2.26/3
R. Cole n 887.9
15/2
J. Doyle-Hayes n 876.1
1.25/2
See more players · Pro

Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Cole986775 min10.1 /9000 /90121.4 /9060.7 /90202.3 /9040.5 /90
J. Gordon969623 min00 /9000 /90142 /9071 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90
D. Rose464256 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
S. Cox438153 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Wareham392276 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9031 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
0.95/2
0.43/0
C. Cummins n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Edwards n 865.8
0.94/1
0.32/0
R. Cole n 887.9
1.56/4
0.83/2
See more players · Pro
Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Cummins n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Edwards n 865.8
00/0
0.21/0
R. Cole n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ShrewsburyExeter City
44%Possession56%
1.96Expected goals (xG)1.01
13Shots5
3Shots on target1
5Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box3
7Corners3
1Offsides2
19Fouls9
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
308Passes403
55%Pass accuracy73%

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
William Michael Brook9000000006.2
S. Stubbs9000103107.3
W. Boyle9000100206.7
J. Ruffels9000110007
J. Turner-Cooke90001012Y7
G. Lloyd9000110006.3
K. M. Brown9000001106.9
K. Berkoe8900000207.2
T. Sang74000014Y6.9
Isaac Fletcher7300111007
L. Hoole67000001Y6.2
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub2300200006.3
J. Davison sub1700002106.3
W. Gary sub16000000Y6.5
J. Gbode sub800000006.5

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bycroft9000000008.2
L. Samuel9000001107.5
J. Fitzwater9000000006.9
L. Woodhouse9000000107.3
J. Taylor9000000207
C. Cummins9000100106.7
J. Doyle-Hayes90000020Y7.3
Jack Taylor9000000207.9
George Birch8901001107
J. Gordon8900200006.7
T. Perry78000000Y6.3
A. Scully6900000006.7
Ethan Sutherland sub2100001007.2
S. Cox sub1210110007.7
E. James sub10000000–
V. Harper sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shrewsbury v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ShrewsburyLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Exeter CityDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Shrewsbury 1 · 2 draws · Exeter City 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 Exeter City 2–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2024-10-17 Shrewsbury 0–2 Exeter City
  • 2024-03-12 Shrewsbury 0–3 Exeter City
  • 2023-11-28 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2023-02-14 Exeter City 0–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2022-09-13 Shrewsbury 3–2 Exeter City
League standing · 2026/27
Shrewsbury#15 pos18 pts14 pl-5 GD
Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Shrewsbury scored1.21
Exeter City scored0.79
Shrewsbury conceded1.57
Exeter City conceded0.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Shrewsbury v Exeter City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shrewsbury v Exeter City was Home fouls total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Shrewsbury and Exeter City?
In their last 6 meetings, Shrewsbury won 1, Exeter City won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shrewsbury and Exeter City?
Recent form — Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L; Exeter City 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+